Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. </li>
<li>Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).</li>
<li>Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. 
Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).
Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials


MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.</li>
<li>We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a> .</li>
<li>$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US</li>
</ul>


Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US) .
$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US


Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (MEESHO IN)</a> raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Meesho (MEESHO IN) raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Axis Bank, ICICI Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Axis Bank, ICICI Bank.


NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Jul): HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Axis Bank

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in India.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX index for the December 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there will be one index change for the BSE SENSEX index in December 2026.</li>
</ul>


BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in India.
In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX index for the December 2026 index rebal event.
As things stand, there will be one index change for the BSE SENSEX index in December 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec26: One Change Likely; One More Close to the Border

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

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JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Normal Pullback, or Something More for global equities?; Watch Resistance on $DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys in Consumer Discretionary...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

A group of investors (Elevation Capital and Peak XV) have launched an INR19bn (US$199m) selldown at a floor price of INR182.08/share, a 5% discount...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Jul): HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Axis Bank

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Dr. Reddy's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE SENSEX Dec26: One Change Likely; One More Close to the Border

Potential ADD Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) has moved into the top 21 by a narrow margin and that means at least one ADD/DEL is likely based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Normal Pullback, or Something More for global equities?; Watch Resistance on $DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys in Consumer Discretionary...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

A group of investors (Elevation Capital and Peak XV) have launched an INR19bn (US$199m) selldown at a floor price of INR182.08/share, a 5% discount...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Jul): HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Axis Bank

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in HDFC Bank, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Eternal, Dr. Reddy's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec26: One Change Likely; One More Close to the Border

Potential ADD Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) has moved into the top 21 by a narrow margin and that means at least one ADD/DEL is likely based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE SENSEX Dec26: One Change Likely; One More Close to the Border