Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

We believe that the outlook for JSW Steel is positive, underpinned by: [1] capacity growth, especially the scheduled commencement of a 5 mtpa Dolvi expansion in Q3/21-22; and [2] high steel prices and good product spreads. Leverage is modest and will likely improve further, while liquidity is adequate. The event risk associated with the acquisition of BPSL is partly contained by the sharing structure, with JSW owning only 49% for now (option to increase to 83%). We expect positive rating pressure, particularly for Fitch. JSW is currently rated Ba2 (positive) / BB- (positive) by Moody's / Fitch. We believe Fitch may upgrade JSW's ratings by FYE 2021-22, as the company's leverage may meet the positive triggers if the operating environment does not deteriorate sharply.

  We believe that the outlook for JSW Steel is positive, underpinned by: [1] capacity growth, especially the scheduled commencement of a 5 mtpa Dolvi expansion in Q3/21-22; and [2] high steel prices and good product spreads. Leverage is modest and will likely improve further, while liquidity is adequate. The event risk associated with the acquisition of BPSL is partly contained by the sharing structure, with JSW owning only 49% for now (option to increase to 83%).   We expect positive rating pressure, particularly for Fitch. JSW is currently rated Ba2 (positive) / BB- (positive) by Moody's / Fitch. We believe Fitch may upgrade JSW's ratings by FYE 2021-22, as the company's leverage may meet the positive triggers if the operating environment does not deteriorate sharply. 

JSW Steel - Event Flash - Launches Dual-Tranche Notes Offering - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8205'>China South City</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-18561'>JSW Steel Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.China South CityJSW Steel Ltd

Morning Views Asia: China South City, JSW Steel Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-7613'>China Aoyuan Property</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-479'>Evergrande Real Estate Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-9757'>Fantasia Holdings Group Co</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-18561'>JSW Steel Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.China Aoyuan PropertyEvergrande Real Estate GroupFantasia Holdings Group CoJSW Steel Ltd

Morning Views Asia: China Aoyuan Property, Evergrande Real Estate Group, Fantasia Holdings Group Co

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss variable interest entities (VIEs) in China, including recent developments in China and the US that may complicate the future use of VIEs. We also give an overview of recent bond defaults. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss variable interest entities (VIEs) in China, including recent developments in China and the US that may complicate the future use of VIEs. We also give an overview of recent bond defaults.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Variable Interest Entities - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss Chinese developers’ urban redevelopment businesses, including local governments' role in urban renewal projects and the various redevelopment models, as well as the impact of such projects on companies' financials. We also give an overview of recent bond defaults. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss Chinese developers’ urban redevelopment businesses, including local governments' role in urban renewal projects and the various redevelopment models, as well as the impact of such projects on companies' financials. We also give an overview of recent bond defaults.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Developers’ Urban Redevelopment Businesses - Lucror Analytics

India

JSW Steel Limited is an integrated steel producer with manufacturing facilities in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and the western state of Maharashtra. The Company produces products including hot rolled coils, cold rolled coils, wire rods, galvanized coils and sheets.

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JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)

JSW Steel - Event Flash - Launches Dual-Tranche Notes Offering - Lucror Analytics

We believe that the outlook for JSW Steel is positive, underpinned by: [1] capacity growth, especially the scheduled commencement of a 5 mtpa...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: China South City, JSW Steel Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: China Aoyuan Property, Evergrande Real Estate Group, Fantasia Holdings Group Co

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Variable Interest Entities - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss variable interest entities (VIEs) in China, including recent developments in China and the US that...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Developers’ Urban Redevelopment Businesses - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss Chinese developers’ urban redevelopment businesses, including local governments' role in urban...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

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Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)