External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We cut EPS estimate for FY22/FY23 by 4/1%. We value Jubilant at 55x P/E on Jun-23E (earlier Mar-23) EPS and derive a target price of INR 2,650. We believe a large part of the recovery is priced in (trading at 70x/59x P/E on FY23/24). Maintain REDUCE. Jubilant FoodWorks: Jubilants 4QFY21 was slightly weaker than expected with the company seeing a miss on revenue and margin. Revenue/EBITDA was up 14/47% YoY vs. expectation of 17/56%. SSG was at +12% (2-year CAGR at 4%) vs. HSIE +16%. LFL (excluding temporary closures) was at +15%.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We cut EPS estimate for FY22/FY23 by 4/1%. We value Jubilant at 55x P/E on Jun-23E (earlier Mar-23) EPS and derive a target price of INR 2,650. We believe a large part of the recovery is priced in (trading at 70x/59x P/E on FY23/24). Maintain REDUCE. Jubilant FoodWorks: Jubilants 4QFY21 was slightly weaker than expected with the company seeing a miss on revenue and margin. Revenue/EBITDA was up 14/47% YoY vs. expectation of 17/56%. SSG was at +12% (2-year CAGR at 4%) vs. HSIE +16%. LFL (excluding temporary closures) was at +15%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

<p>We cut our FY22E/FY23E EPS forecast by 12.5%/5.2% on account of: a) JUBI's lower than expected 4QFY21 result, and b) the effect of the lockdown so far in 1QFY22 due to the second COVID wave. The impact would have been more if not for the resilience shown in AprMay'21, as per the management commentary. Continued strong growth in the Delivery channel has meant that the severe impact on Dine-in was mitigated to some extent at the broader level. This led to ~90% recovery compared to the pre-COVID run-rate in these two months.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We cut our FY22E/FY23E EPS forecast by 12.5%/5.2% on account of: a) JUBI's lower than expected 4QFY21 result, and b) the effect of the lockdown so far in 1QFY22 due to the second COVID wave. The impact would have been more if not for the resilience shown in AprMay'21, as per the management commentary. Continued strong growth in the Delivery channel has meant that the severe impact on Dine-in was mitigated to some extent at the broader level. This led to ~90% recovery compared to the pre-COVID run-rate in these two months.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Result below our expectations, 1QFY22 resilient despite the lockdown

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>  aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.</p></div><div>
<p>Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.</p>
<p>We covered a little bit of the the company's history in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-filings-lack-narrative-a-little-bit-of-history-helps" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps</a>.</p>
<p>In this note, we will talk about the financials.</p>
</div>

Zomato (ZOM IN)  aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.
Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.
We covered a little bit of the the company's history in Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps.
In this note, we will talk about the financials.


Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>Last evening, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the March index review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>. The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 30 March and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)</a> has been included in the index and replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gail-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15263:1" rel="noopener">Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN)</a>. This is in line with what we expected and makes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)</a> the fifth Tata group company to be included in the index.</p><p>NSE indices have also announced a number of changes to other indices. There are 7 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 (which together with the NIFTY 50 makes up the NIFTY 100) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gail-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15263:1" rel="noopener">Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mrf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2930:1" rel="noopener">Mrf Ltd (MRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/container-corp-of-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17912:1" rel="noopener">Container Corp of India (CCRI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-ins-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25944:1" rel="noopener">General Insurance Corp Of India (GICRE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-zinc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8688:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oracle-financial-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7775:1" rel="noopener">Oracle Financial Services (OFSS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-finance-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13579:1" rel="noopener">Power Finance (POWF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consumer-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:258:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)</a>.</p><p>Changes have also been made to the index methodology. The main change from the perspective of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> is that the index reviews will be effective after the close on the second last working day of the review month. The existing methodology specifies that the index review will be effective after the close on the F&amp;O expiry day (last Thursday) of the review month.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>This Insight has been marked as Bullish since TATACONS could outperform its peers in the near term.</em></p></div>

Last evening, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the March index review for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX). The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 30 March and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN) has been included in the index and replaces Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN). This is in line with what we expected and makes Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN) the fifth Tata group company to be included in the index.NSE indices have also announced a number of changes to other indices. There are 7 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 (which together with the NIFTY 50 makes up the NIFTY 100) with Adani Enterprises (ADE IN), Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN), Gail India Ltd (GAIL IN), Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN), Mrf Ltd (MRF IN), Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) and Yes Bank (YES IN) replacing Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN), Container Corp of India (CCRI IN), General Insurance Corp Of India (GICRE IN), Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN), Oracle Financial Services (OFSS IN), Power Finance (POWF IN) and Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN).Changes have also been made to the index methodology. The main change from the perspective of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) is that the index reviews will be effective after the close on the second last working day of the review month. The existing methodology specifies that the index review will be effective after the close on the F&amp;O expiry day (last Thursday) of the review month.This Insight has been marked as Bullish since TATACONS could outperform its peers in the near term.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: TATACONS In, GAIL Out; Methodology Changes Too

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Forensic Accounting

<p>Jubilant group is a multi-billion-dollar conglomerate in India with a wide array of businesses across retail franchise (Domino's in India and some neighboring countries), pharma and life sciences, agrochemicals and performance polymers, retail dealership (Audi cars) as well as aviation consulting and oil &amp; gas offshore EPC services.</p>
<p>Its largest business, Domino's franchise, is listed through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a>. The pharma and life sciences business is conducted through listed entity <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6853:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Life Sciences (JUBILANT IN)</a>. It also has another small listed entity, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2766:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Industries (JIND IN)</a>, which is mainly into agrochemicals, IMFL (Indian made foreign liquor) and performance polymer business. Rest of the businesses like the Audi dealership, aviation consulting and offshore EPC services are conducted through private entities such as Jubilant MotorWorks, Jubilant Enpro, etc. that are owned by the promoters of Jubilant Group - Shyam Bhartia and Hari Bhartia.</p>
<p>Below we closely analyze the annual reports of Jubilant Life Sciences ("JLL") and Jubilant Industries and discuss certain related party transactions and accounting flags that are worth noting and probing further. </p>

Jubilant group is a multi-billion-dollar conglomerate in India with a wide array of businesses across retail franchise (Domino's in India and some neighboring countries), pharma and life sciences, agrochemicals and performance polymers, retail dealership (Audi cars) as well as aviation consulting and oil &amp; gas offshore EPC services.
Its largest business, Domino's franchise, is listed through Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN). The pharma and life sciences business is conducted through listed entity Jubilant Life Sciences (JUBILANT IN). It also has another small listed entity, Jubilant Industries (JIND IN), which is mainly into agrochemicals, IMFL (Indian made foreign liquor) and performance polymer business. Rest of the businesses like the Audi dealership, aviation consulting and offshore EPC services are conducted through private entities such as Jubilant MotorWorks, Jubilant Enpro, etc. that are owned by the promoters of Jubilant Group - Shyam Bhartia and Hari Bhartia.
Below we closely analyze the annual reports of Jubilant Life Sciences ("JLL") and Jubilant Industries and discuss certain related party transactions and accounting flags that are worth noting and probing further. 

Jubilant Group: Related Party Transactions and Accounting Flags

India

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

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Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Jubilant FoodWorks

We cut EPS estimate for FY22/FY23 by 4/1%. We value Jubilant at 55x P/E on Jun-23E (earlier Mar-23) EPS and derive a target price of INR 2,650. We...

HDFC Securities

Result below our expectations, 1QFY22 resilient despite the lockdown

We cut our FY22E/FY23E EPS forecast by 12.5%/5.2% on account of: a) JUBI's lower than expected 4QFY21 result, and b) the effect of the lockdown so...

Motilal Oswal

Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x

Zomato aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: TATACONS In, GAIL Out; Methodology Changes Too

TATACONS has been added to the NIFTY50 replacing GAIL. There are changes to a bunch of other indices too and methodology changes which shift the...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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HSIE Results Daily: Jubilant FoodWorks

We cut EPS estimate for FY22/FY23 by 4/1%. We value Jubilant at 55x P/E on Jun-23E (earlier Mar-23) EPS and derive a target price of INR 2,650. We...

HDFC Securities

Result below our expectations, 1QFY22 resilient despite the lockdown

We cut our FY22E/FY23E EPS forecast by 12.5%/5.2% on account of: a) JUBI's lower than expected 4QFY21 result, and b) the effect of the lockdown so...

Motilal Oswal

Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x

Zomato aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: TATACONS In, GAIL Out; Methodology Changes Too

TATACONS has been added to the NIFTY50 replacing GAIL. There are changes to a bunch of other indices too and methodology changes which shift the...

Brian Freitas

Jubilant Group: Related Party Transactions and Accounting Flags

A forensic analysis of Jubilant Group (Promoter Group of Jubilant Foodworks & Jubilant Lifesciences) leads us to certain related party transactions...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA