Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET fell sharply on Monday as foreign investors remained net sellers and heavy selling persisted, while the market lacked fresh positive catalysts beyond expectations for government stimulus measures.</li><li>The index plunged sharply, forming a large black candlestick that engulfed the prior white candlestick.</li><li>We maintain our buy-on-weakness recommendation, as the index has fallen sharply and is likely to consolidate sideways while awaiting new catalysts.</li></ul>

The SET fell sharply on Monday as foreign investors remained net sellers and heavy selling persisted, while the market lacked fresh positive catalysts beyond expectations for government stimulus measures.The index plunged sharply, forming a large black candlestick that engulfed the prior white candlestick.We maintain our buy-on-weakness recommendation, as the index has fallen sharply and is likely to consolidate sideways while awaiting new catalysts.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. October 1, 2025

<ul><li>The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.</li><li>Buying from broker proprietary accounts introduced some volatility, but the index was lifted by a rotation in blue-chip stocks while selling pressure stayed light.</li><li>However, with light volume and the need for stronger fund inflows, the index remains volatile.</li></ul>

The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.Buying from broker proprietary accounts introduced some volatility, but the index was lifted by a rotation in blue-chip stocks while selling pressure stayed light.However, with light volume and the need for stronger fund inflows, the index remains volatile.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 30, 2025

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to trade sideways today, with the support at 1,284/1,270 and the resistance at 1,300/1,316.</li><li>US equities closed higher (S&amp;P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.</li><li>Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on the long-term foreign-currency issuer default ratings (IDRs) of five Thai banks—EXIM, KTB, TTB, Standard Chartered (Thai), and UOB (Thai)—to Negative from Stable.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to trade sideways today, with the support at 1,284/1,270 and the resistance at 1,300/1,316.US equities closed higher (S&amp;P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on the long-term foreign-currency issuer default ratings (IDRs) of five Thai banks—EXIM, KTB, TTB, Standard Chartered (Thai), and UOB (Thai)—to Negative from Stable.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 30, 2025

<ul><li>The SET came under profit-taking pressure amid a lack of new catalysts, while a sharp drop in DELTA added to the drag.</li><li>Fund outflows were a key factor weighing on the index, in addition to DELTA’s sharp decline.</li><li>We do not anticipate a deep correction in the index and believe it will eventually rebound.</li></ul>

The SET came under profit-taking pressure amid a lack of new catalysts, while a sharp drop in DELTA added to the drag.Fund outflows were a key factor weighing on the index, in addition to DELTA’s sharp decline.We do not anticipate a deep correction in the index and believe it will eventually rebound.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. SEPTEMBER 29, 2025

<ul><li>For the six banks under our coverage, we estimate combined net profit of Bt42bn in 3Q25E (–4.3% YoY, –7.0% QoQ).</li><li>Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and equity market recovery.</li><li>We maintain our “Neutral” sector weighting, as 3Q25E earnings are unlikely to stand out given weaker loans and NIM.</li></ul>

For the six banks under our coverage, we estimate combined net profit of Bt42bn in 3Q25E (–4.3% YoY, –7.0% QoQ).Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and equity market recovery.We maintain our “Neutral” sector weighting, as 3Q25E earnings are unlikely to stand out given weaker loans and NIM.

Banking Sector 3Q25E Profit Outlook Pressured By Loans And NIM - Neutral

South Korea

K Bank Co. Ltd. operates banking businesses. The Company provides deposits, withdrawals, loans, and other services. K Bank conducts businesses in South Korea.

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K Bank (279570 KS)

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. October 1, 2025

We maintain our buy-on-weakness recommendation, as the index has fallen sharply and is likely to consolidate sideways while awaiting new catalysts.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 30, 2025

The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 30, 2025

US equities closed higher (S&P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. SEPTEMBER 29, 2025

Fund outflows were a key factor weighing on the index, in addition to DELTA’s sharp decline. We do not anticipate a deep correction in the index...

Krungthai XSpring

Banking Sector 3Q25E Profit Outlook Pressured By Loans And NIM - Neutral

Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and...

Krungthai XSpring

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