Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>TPG and Anchor experienced EOD risk due to the recent plunge in Kakao Bank's stock price. So, they will sell shares if the current price rise continues a little further.</li>
<li>All three PEs of Shinhan Financial are currently expected to be seeking an early exit although they expressed last year that they would remain strategic shareholders.</li>
<li>Other notable targets are Hahn &amp; Co's Hanon Systems and K Car and MBK Partners' ConnectWave, likely via a phased stake sale in tranches.</li>
</ul>


TPG and Anchor experienced EOD risk due to the recent plunge in Kakao Bank's stock price. So, they will sell shares if the current price rise continues a little further.
All three PEs of Shinhan Financial are currently expected to be seeking an early exit although they expressed last year that they would remain strategic shareholders.
Other notable targets are Hahn &amp; Co's Hanon Systems and K Car and MBK Partners' ConnectWave, likely via a phased stake sale in tranches.


Potential Block Deal Targets in Korea for a Preemptive Position Buildup

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>More than 20 trillion won (US$16 billion) worth of deals are up for M&amp;As in 2023.</li>
<li>However, due to high interest rates and differences on valuations among buyers and sellers, the M&amp;A market in Korea is likely to continue to be weak in 2023.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&amp;As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.</li>
</ul>


More than 20 trillion won (US$16 billion) worth of deals are up for M&amp;As in 2023.
However, due to high interest rates and differences on valuations among buyers and sellers, the M&amp;A market in Korea is likely to continue to be weak in 2023.
In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&amp;As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.


Korea M&A Outlook in 2023: What's for Sale?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11776:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Financial Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-fire-marine-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20468:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.
There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Securities and Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.
Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

<ul>
<li>The target is those who purchase 25% or more of the shares of a listed company and become the largest shareholder with management rights.</li>
<li>The minimum volume of a mandatory offer is [(50% of total shares + 1 share) - the management right purchase volume].</li>
<li>We will be exposed to pro-rata risk, so it will be essential to figure out the nature and propensity of the shareholder composition to estimate the tendering rate in advance.</li>
</ul>


The target is those who purchase 25% or more of the shares of a listed company and become the largest shareholder with management rights.
The minimum volume of a mandatory offer is [(50% of total shares + 1 share) - the management right purchase volume].
We will be exposed to pro-rata risk, so it will be essential to figure out the nature and propensity of the shareholder composition to estimate the tendering rate in advance.


Mandatory Offer Arrives in Korea: Detailed Rules & Trading Ramifications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> provided a welcome respite with a positive listing, while South Korean IPOs continued to struggle.</li>
<li>There was only one large placement this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glp-j-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11009:1" rel="noopener">GLP J-REIT (3281 JP)</a> deciding to brave the markets.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Socionext (6526 JP) provided a welcome respite with a positive listing, while South Korean IPOs continued to struggle.
There was only one large placement this week, with GLP J-REIT (3281 JP) deciding to brave the markets.


ECM Weekly (16th Oct 2022) - Socionext, Betagro, Lionheart, Five-Star, Giant Biogene, GLP J-REIT

South Korea

K Car Co., Ltd. retails used automobiles. The Company distributes sedans, commercial vehicles, light trucks, utility vehicles, used vehicles, and other related automobiles. K Car markets its products throughout South Korea.

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K Car (381970 KS)

Potential Block Deal Targets in Korea for a Preemptive Position Buildup

This post screens potential block deal targets in Korea, which we should consider a preemptive position buildup in the short-term.

Sanghyun Park

Korea M&A Outlook in 2023: What's for Sale?

In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

There could be two changes in Jan & April and then another 3 changes in June. Impact on the stocks is not excessive and short interest is minimal....

Brian Freitas

Mandatory Offer Arrives in Korea: Detailed Rules & Trading Ramifications

This post details the newly introduced mandatory offer rules tabled by Korea FSC yesterday and discusses trading ramifications, including pro-rata...

Sanghyun Park

ECM Weekly (16th Oct 2022) - Socionext, Betagro, Lionheart, Five-Star, Giant Biogene, GLP J-REIT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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