Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Shift Up is target price of 95,510 won, which is 59% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (60,000 won).</li>
<li>We believe Shift Up deserves higher valuation multiples than its peers mainly due to higher sales growth, much higher operating margins, and higher ROE.</li>
<li>Since its launch in April of this year, Stellar Blade (PS console game) has ranked first in sales in eight countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Japan.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Shift Up is target price of 95,510 won, which is 59% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (60,000 won).
We believe Shift Up deserves higher valuation multiples than its peers mainly due to higher sales growth, much higher operating margins, and higher ROE.
Since its launch in April of this year, Stellar Blade (PS console game) has ranked first in sales in eight countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Japan.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone (BX US)</a> has agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a>’s 55% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a> at a rumoured valuation of JPY260 billion. </li>
<li>The potential minority offer price depends on whether the rumoured valuation refers to market cap or enterprise value and whether Teijin will share TOB tax benefits. </li>
<li>The most likely scenario is that the valuation refers to the market cap, with Teijin sharing TOB tax benefits, resulting in a minority offer of around JPY5,720 per share. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Blackstone (BX US) has agreed to acquire Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)’s 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) at a rumoured valuation of JPY260 billion. 
The potential minority offer price depends on whether the rumoured valuation refers to market cap or enterprise value and whether Teijin will share TOB tax benefits. 
The most likely scenario is that the valuation refers to the market cap, with Teijin sharing TOB tax benefits, resulting in a minority offer of around JPY5,720 per share. 


Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured JPY260bn Bid to Acquire Teijin’s Stake

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shift-up-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:144015" rel="noopener">Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case. 
We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$320m in its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>Shift Up is a South Korean games developer, which as released three games so far for the global markets.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Shift Up (462870 KS) plans to raise up to US$320m in its South Korean IPO.
Shift Up is a South Korean games developer, which as released three games so far for the global markets.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Shift Up IPO - Thoughts on Valuations - Bear/Base/Bull

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.    </li>
<li>Shift Up now focuses only on game development and has a policy of publishing games in cooperation with global partners such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The investment case rests on a stellar game development track record, several growth drivers, high profitability and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.    
Shift Up now focuses only on game development and has a policy of publishing games in cooperation with global partners such as Tencent (700 HK) and Sony Corp (6758 JP). 
The investment case rests on a stellar game development track record, several growth drivers, high profitability and cash generation.


Japan

Kadokawa Corporation operates as a publishing company. The Company provides books publication, magazines publication, and other services. Kadokawa also operates video making, network entertainment designing, and other businesses.

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Kadokawa (9468 JP)

Shift Up IPO Valuation Analysis

The first day of book building for the Shift Up IPO started on Monday and it looks excellent. Many institutional investors placed orders at prices...

Douglas Kim

Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured JPY260bn Bid to Acquire Teijin’s Stake

The potential minority offer price depends on whether the rumoured JPY260bn valuation refers to market cap or enterprise value and whether Teijin...

Arun George

Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George

Shift Up IPO - Thoughts on Valuations - Bear/Base/Bull

Shift Up (462870 KS) plans to raise up to US$320m in its South Korean IPO. We have looked at its past performance earlier, in this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on a stellar game development track record, several growth drivers, high profitability and cash generation.

Arun George

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