Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 11 January, it was announced that Kakao Entertainment (103260 KS) has attracted large scale investments from Saudi Arabia's Sovereign Fund (Public Investment Fund - PIF) and GIC (Singapore).</li>
<li>Maekyung Business Daily reported that PIF and GIC combined invested about 1.1 trillion won to 1.2 trillion won in Kakao Entertainment, valuing the company at about 10 trillion won.</li>
<li>This major investment in Kakao Entertainment by PIF and GIC should have a positive impact on Kakao Corp (035720 KS), the controlling shareholder of the company.</li>
</ul>


On 11 January, it was announced that Kakao Entertainment (103260 KS) has attracted large scale investments from Saudi Arabia's Sovereign Fund (Public Investment Fund - PIF) and GIC (Singapore).
Maekyung Business Daily reported that PIF and GIC combined invested about 1.1 trillion won to 1.2 trillion won in Kakao Entertainment, valuing the company at about 10 trillion won.
This major investment in Kakao Entertainment by PIF and GIC should have a positive impact on Kakao Corp (035720 KS), the controlling shareholder of the company.


PIF and GIC Combined Invest About 1.2 Trillion Won in Kakao Entertainment

Private Capital Markets

SmileGate Holdings / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Established in 2002, Smilegate Holdings is well known for its globally popular games including Crossfire (a first person shooter game), Lost Ark (MMORPG), and Epic Seven.</li>
<li>In August 2020, Smilegate RPG entered into a partnership with Amazon Games, reaching an exclusive publishing agreement for North America and Europe.</li>
<li>At a P/S valuation of 6-7x using company's 2021 sales of 1.4 trillion won would suggest implied valuations of 8 trillion won to 10 trillion won for Smilegate Holdings.</li>
</ul>


Established in 2002, Smilegate Holdings is well known for its globally popular games including Crossfire (a first person shooter game), Lost Ark (MMORPG), and Epic Seven.
In August 2020, Smilegate RPG entered into a partnership with Amazon Games, reaching an exclusive publishing agreement for North America and Europe.
At a P/S valuation of 6-7x using company's 2021 sales of 1.4 trillion won would suggest implied valuations of 8 trillion won to 10 trillion won for Smilegate Holdings.


Smilegate Holdings: A Giant Korean Game Company in Partnership with Amazon Games

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 15 December, it was announced that Korea's FTC decided to refer K Cube Holdings (KCH) to the prosecution over alleged illegal execution of voting rights to Kakao companies.</li>
<li>This could signal that the financial regulators may become more forceful in enforcing numerous other regulatory pressures on Kakao Corp and its affiliated companies to reduce their monopolistic business practices</li>
<li>Our NAV valuation of Kakao Corp suggests NAV per share of 45,942 won, which is 17% lower than current price.</li>
</ul>


On 15 December, it was announced that Korea's FTC decided to refer K Cube Holdings (KCH) to the prosecution over alleged illegal execution of voting rights to Kakao companies.
This could signal that the financial regulators may become more forceful in enforcing numerous other regulatory pressures on Kakao Corp and its affiliated companies to reduce their monopolistic business practices
Our NAV valuation of Kakao Corp suggests NAV per share of 45,942 won, which is 17% lower than current price.


Kakao Corp: FTC Going After Chairman Kim Beom-Su's K Cube Holdings

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.</li>
<li>Our back-testing suggests a 67% probability of the average share price performances of the top 3 market cap companies in each month data underperforming relative to KOSPI (10/15 time periods).</li>
<li>Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers included Wemade Co., Ltd. (112040 KS), Sebitchem (107600 KS), and Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.
Our back-testing suggests a 67% probability of the average share price performances of the top 3 market cap companies in each month data underperforming relative to KOSPI (10/15 time periods).
Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers included Wemade Co., Ltd. (112040 KS), Sebitchem (107600 KS), and Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS).


Back-Testing End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository in 2H 2022

<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 58 stocks in Korea in December 2022, among which 9 are in KOSPI and 49 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 58 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 58 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include HYBE, Kakao Games, WCP, Sillajen, and Duksan Neolux. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 58 stocks in Korea in December 2022, among which 9 are in KOSPI and 49 are in KOSDAQ.
These 58 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in December and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 58 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include HYBE, Kakao Games, WCP, Sillajen, and Duksan Neolux. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 58 Companies in Korea in December 2022

South Korea

Kakao Games Corp. operates as a multiply platform gaming company. The Company provides mobile games, computer games, virtual reality games, and other related products. Kakao Games markets its products worldwide.

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Kakao Games (293490 KS)

PIF and GIC Combined Invest About 1.2 Trillion Won in Kakao Entertainment

Maekyung Business Daily reported on 11 January that PIF (Saudi Arabia) and GIC combined invested about 1.2 trillion won in Kakao Entertainment,...

Douglas Kim

Smilegate Holdings: A Giant Korean Game Company in Partnership with Amazon Games

Established in 2002, Smilegate Holdings is well known for its globally popular games including Crossfire (a first person shooter game), Lost Ark...

Douglas Kim

Kakao Corp: FTC Going After Chairman Kim Beom-Su's K Cube Holdings

On 15 December, it was announced that Korea's FTC decided to refer K Cube Holdings (KCH) to the prosecution over alleged illegal execution of...

Douglas Kim

Back-Testing End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository in 2H 2022

In this insight, we provide a back-testing of the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) in the past six months.

Douglas Kim

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 58 Companies in Korea in December 2022

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 58 stocks in Korea in December 2022, among which 9 are in KOSPI and 49 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

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