Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> stock has dropped 36% year-to-date and is now under an F&amp;O ban after open interest hit threshold limits.</li>
<li>The rumours driving the stock decline lack financial or strategic relevance with no substantial reason for long-term investors to panic.</li>
<li>The stock correction has realigned Kalyan’s P/E discount to Titan, with current levels likely to stabilise and thus provide a near term support for Kalyan Jeweller's stock price.</li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) stock has dropped 36% year-to-date and is now under an F&amp;O ban after open interest hit threshold limits.
The rumours driving the stock decline lack financial or strategic relevance with no substantial reason for long-term investors to panic.
The stock correction has realigned Kalyan’s P/E discount to Titan, with current levels likely to stabilise and thus provide a near term support for Kalyan Jeweller's stock price.


Kalyan Jewellers: Rumour-Driven Stock Slide, F&O Ban—Is There Room for Further Correction?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Steep decline in the stock price triggered a wave of speculation and rumours, further fueling the negative sentiment surrounding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The rumours ranged from serious allegations of inventory overvaluation and IT raids to concerns about changes in franchisee agreements and even accusations of bribery.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> has dismissed the overvaluation allegations, its inventory turnover ratio (ITR) has consistently lagged behind the industry leader <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a> .</li>
</ul>


Steep decline in the stock price triggered a wave of speculation and rumours, further fueling the negative sentiment surrounding Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN).
The rumours ranged from serious allegations of inventory overvaluation and IT raids to concerns about changes in franchisee agreements and even accusations of bribery.
While Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) has dismissed the overvaluation allegations, its inventory turnover ratio (ITR) has consistently lagged behind the industry leader Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN) .


Forensic Analysis: Kalyan Jewellers on Allegations and Rumours ~ Cause And Reality

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

International Gemological Institute / Equity Capital Markets

International Gemological Institute (IGIL IN)

<ul>
<li>International Gemmological Institute (India) raised around US$500m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and IPO valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


International Gemmological Institute (India) raised around US$500m in its India IPO. 
IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and IPO valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


IGI (India) IPO Trading - Decent Anchor and Strong Overall Demand

<ul>
<li>International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance and talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>


International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.
IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.
In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance and talk about the IPO valuations.


IGI (India) IPO - Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

India

Kalyan Jewellers is an Indian multinational jewellery company that designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of gold, diamond, silver, platinum, and gemstone jewellery. The company utilizes a hyperlocal strategy to cater to regional consumer preferences across its extensive network of showrooms and online platforms. It was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Thrissur, Kerala, India.

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Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)

Kalyan Jewellers: Rumour-Driven Stock Slide, F&O Ban—Is There Room for Further Correction?

Kalyan Jewellers stock drops 36% YTD. Rumours driving the stock decline lack strategic or financial relevance. Further correction may present...

Devi Subhakesan

Forensic Analysis: Kalyan Jewellers on Allegations and Rumours ~ Cause And Reality

Speculation and rumors surrounding Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) triggered by stock price decline, including allegations of inventory...

Nimish Maheshwari

IGI (India) IPO Trading - Decent Anchor and Strong Overall Demand

International Gemmological Institute (India) raised around US$500m in its India IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes,...

Sumeet Singh

IGI (India) IPO - Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months

International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kalyan Jewellers: Rumour-Driven Stock Slide, F&O Ban—Is There Room for Further Correction?

​Kalyan Jewellers stock drops 36% YTD. Rumours driving the stock decline lack strategic or financial relevance. Further correction may present...

Devi Subhakesan

Forensic Analysis: Kalyan Jewellers on Allegations and Rumours ~ Cause And Reality

​Speculation and rumors surrounding Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) triggered by stock price decline, including allegations of inventory...

Nimish Maheshwari

IGI (India) IPO Trading - Decent Anchor and Strong Overall Demand

International Gemmological Institute (India) raised around US$500m in its India IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes,...

Sumeet Singh

IGI (India) IPO - Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months

International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

Kalyan Jewellers stock drops 36% YTD. Rumours driving the stock decline lack strategic or financial relevance. Further correction may present...

Speculation and rumors surrounding Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) triggered by stock price decline, including allegations of inventory...