Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Paradise is one of the largest foreigners only casino operators in Korea which should benefit from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea.</li>
<li>However, Paradise will face additional competition from the opening of the new Inspire Entertainment Resort in Incheon which is expected to open by the end of 2023. </li>
<li>Paradise is likely to benefit from a combination of higher earnings and valuation multiples in the coming months. </li>
</ul>


Paradise is one of the largest foreigners only casino operators in Korea which should benefit from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea.
However, Paradise will face additional competition from the opening of the new Inspire Entertainment Resort in Incheon which is expected to open by the end of 2023. 
Paradise is likely to benefit from a combination of higher earnings and valuation multiples in the coming months. 


Paradise: Boost from End of Ban of Chinese Group Tours to Korea Vs Inspire Resort Opening in Incheon

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The ETF operator (TIGER)'s index tracking conformity was high enough to create trading opportunities aimed at the rebalancing flow.</li>
<li>Flow/Price directions were mostly synched with only a few exceptions. Of particular importance is that the price impact was substantial compared to the passive flow size. </li>
<li>The yield of the tradable names suitable for a basket based on the projected passive impact size was 4.51%.</li>
</ul>


The ETF operator (TIGER)'s index tracking conformity was high enough to create trading opportunities aimed at the rebalancing flow.
Flow/Price directions were mostly synched with only a few exceptions. Of particular importance is that the price impact was substantial compared to the passive flow size. 
The yield of the tradable names suitable for a basket based on the projected passive impact size was 4.51%.


WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing: Conformity of Passive Flow to Price Return

<ul>
<li>Among the local theme indexes in Korea, we have three noteworthy ones for July. They are the WISE theme indexes. They will all rebalance on July 15.</li>
<li>Due to some constituents' recent significant price movements, we can now expect some notable passive flows.</li>
<li>These names are worthy of our attention: SKIET, Solus Advanced, Kangwon Land, Hanatour, T'way Air, Yong Pyong Resort, HYBE, CJ ENM, and Studio Dragon.</li>
</ul>


Among the local theme indexes in Korea, we have three noteworthy ones for July. They are the WISE theme indexes. They will all rebalance on July 15.
Due to some constituents' recent significant price movements, we can now expect some notable passive flows.
These names are worthy of our attention: SKIET, Solus Advanced, Kangwon Land, Hanatour, T'way Air, Yong Pyong Resort, HYBE, CJ ENM, and Studio Dragon.


WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs): Rebalancing Flow Estimations

<ul>
<li>This ETF's AUM has decreased by 17% over the past three months to ₩200B. It has 18 constituents, and it is unlikely that there will be any addition/deletion.</li>
<li>The first thing to note is Hana Tour because the increase in the number of shares through an offering will be reflected its the market cap right before the rebalancing.</li>
<li>Among the top stocks by market cap, Asiana Airlines (020560 KS) (+0,.20x ADTV) and Kangwon Land (035250 KS) (-0.21x ADTV) will likely have a significant passive impact.</li>
</ul>


This ETF's AUM has decreased by 17% over the past three months to ₩200B. It has 18 constituents, and it is unlikely that there will be any addition/deletion.
The first thing to note is Hana Tour because the increase in the number of shares through an offering will be reflected its the market cap right before the rebalancing.
Among the top stocks by market cap, Asiana Airlines (020560 KS) (+0,.20x ADTV) and Kangwon Land (035250 KS) (-0.21x ADTV) will likely have a significant passive impact.


TIGER Theme ETF "Tour Leisure" Rebalancing Projections: Hanatour, Asiana, Kangwon Land, & T'way Air

South Korea

Kangwon Land Inc. is a casino and hotel services provider located in the Kangwon province area of South Korea.  The Company develops abandoned mines and builds gaming and entertainment facilities.  Kangwon Land operates a number of game tables and slot machines for domestic and international customers under its gaming licenses.

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Kangwon Land (035250 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

Paradise: Boost from End of Ban of Chinese Group Tours to Korea Vs Inspire Resort Opening in Incheon

Paradise will receive a big boost from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea. However, Paradise will face additional competition from...

Douglas Kim

WISE Theme Indexes Rebalancing: Conformity of Passive Flow to Price Return

This post provides the noteworthy points of the passive flow/price impact correlation from yesterday's rebalancing of WISE's three thematic indexes

Sanghyun Park

WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs): Rebalancing Flow Estimations

This post contains the estimations of the passive flows for the constituents of the three WISE theme indexes, which rebalance on July 14.

Sanghyun Park

TIGER Theme ETF "Tour Leisure" Rebalancing Projections: Hanatour, Asiana, Kangwon Land, & T'way Air

This post projects the upcoming rebalancing of the TIGER Theme ETF "Tour Leisure": Hanatour, Asiana, Kangwon Land, & T'way Air.

Sanghyun Park

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