Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219 points (75-day EMA).</li><li>In the short term, the market is still waiting for confirmation of where the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave upward structure in the Elliott Wave theory) will form before entering a correction phase.</li><li>Wave 2 is expected to retrace around 50–61.8% of Wave 1’s length. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219 points (75-day EMA).In the short term, the market is still waiting for confirmation of where the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave upward structure in the Elliott Wave theory) will form before entering a correction phase.Wave 2 is expected to retrace around 50–61.8% of Wave 1’s length. 

KTX Zoom: China’s Trade Balance - MAY 9, 2025

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Krung Thai ranks top of the Thai bank peer group on our weighted scorecard methodology, based on multiple valuation parameters, as well as balance sheet and return metrics</li>
<li>Krung Thai is driving its solid post-provision profitability higher, delivering close to double-digit ROE with a premium capital ratio for a PBV ratio of under 0.7x</li>
<li>The recent Trump tariff induced correction in the Krung Thai share price is a buying opportunity; it has scope to narrow the valuation gap with SCBx</li>
</ul>


Krung Thai ranks top of the Thai bank peer group on our weighted scorecard methodology, based on multiple valuation parameters, as well as balance sheet and return metrics
Krung Thai is driving its solid post-provision profitability higher, delivering close to double-digit ROE with a premium capital ratio for a PBV ratio of under 0.7x
The recent Trump tariff induced correction in the Krung Thai share price is a buying opportunity; it has scope to narrow the valuation gap with SCBx


Thai Banks 1Q25 Screener; Krung Thai (KTB TB), the Scorecard Stand-Out

<ul><li>KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.</li><li>Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.</li><li>On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).</li></ul>

KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).

<ul><li>KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”</li><li>Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.</li><li>Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. </li></ul>

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. 

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.</li><li>In the short term, the market is still awaiting confirmation of the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave uptrend in the Elliott Wave theory) before entering a correction phase.</li><li>Wave 2 typically retraces around 50-61.8% of Wave 1’s length.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.In the short term, the market is still awaiting confirmation of the peak of Wave 1 (of the 5-wave uptrend in the Elliott Wave theory) before entering a correction phase.Wave 2 typically retraces around 50-61.8% of Wave 1’s length.

KTX Zoom: BoE Expected to Cut Interest Rates Further - MAY 8, 2025

Thailand

Kasikornbank Public Company Limited provides commercial banking services including personal and commercial banking, international trade, as well as investment banking services, to its customers throughout Thailand.  The Bank has foreign branches in Los Angeles, Hong Kong, Cayman Islands, and Shenzhen; and representative offices in Shanghai, Beijing, and Kunmin.

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Kasikornbank (KBANK/F TB)

KTX Zoom: China’s Trade Balance - MAY 9, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,200/1,192 points and the resistance at 1,215/1,219...

Krungthai XSpring

Thai Banks 1Q25 Screener; Krung Thai (KTB TB), the Scorecard Stand-Out

Krung Thai ranks top of the Thai bank peer group based on our weighted scorecard; it is driving its solid returns higher, with close to double...

Victor Galliano

Monthly Report: May 2025

Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific...

Krungthai XSpring

Industry Update: Banking - MAY 8, 2025

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: BoE Expected to Cut Interest Rates Further - MAY 8, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support levels at 1,208/1,200 points and the resistance at 1,230/1,235 points.

Krungthai XSpring

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