Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> is in the limelight on the back of Income Tax investigation carried in December 2023 which revealed several accounted transactions.</li>
<li>In a circular, it is hinted that the IT department has detected unaccounted cash sales worth INR 10 bn, unaccounted cash payments made by distributors, and some non-genuine expenses.</li>
<li>However our forensics framework does not hint at any alarming red flags, apart from low FA turnover ratio, stock with third parties and board composition.</li>
</ul>



Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) is in the limelight on the back of Income Tax investigation carried in December 2023 which revealed several accounted transactions.
In a circular, it is hinted that the IT department has detected unaccounted cash sales worth INR 10 bn, unaccounted cash payments made by distributors, and some non-genuine expenses.
However our forensics framework does not hint at any alarming red flags, apart from low FA turnover ratio, stock with third parties and board composition.


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>RR Kabel delivered a strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% YoY revenue growth and EBITDA doubling, driven by robust volume expansion in its high-margin Cables &amp; Wires segment.</li>
<li>Solid core performance, backed by aggressive capex and margin expansion targets, positions RR Kabel as a key beneficiary of India’s accelerating infrastructure and industrial growth cycle.</li>
<li>RR Kabel remains structurally well-placed for growth, though long-term margin gains depend on timely capex execution and a successful turnaround of its FMEG business.</li>
</ul>


RR Kabel delivered a strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% YoY revenue growth and EBITDA doubling, driven by robust volume expansion in its high-margin Cables &amp; Wires segment.
Solid core performance, backed by aggressive capex and margin expansion targets, positions RR Kabel as a key beneficiary of India’s accelerating infrastructure and industrial growth cycle.
RR Kabel remains structurally well-placed for growth, though long-term margin gains depend on timely capex execution and a successful turnaround of its FMEG business.


RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's Wires &amp; Cables sector is doubling by FY29 with a major 80% capex surge in FY26, driven by infrastructure and exports. </li>
<li>Despite robust supply growth, a significant INR 177.3 billion demand-supply gap by FY30 indicates strong absorption. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> leads with high ROIC and growth, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apar-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12511:1" rel="noopener">Apar Industries (APR IN)</a> offer strong capex-driven expansion for investors.</li>
</ul>


India's Wires &amp; Cables sector is doubling by FY29 with a major 80% capex surge in FY26, driven by infrastructure and exports. 
Despite robust supply growth, a significant INR 177.3 billion demand-supply gap by FY30 indicates strong absorption. 

Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) leads with high ROIC and growth, while Havells India (HAVL IN) and Apar Industries (APR IN) offer strong capex-driven expansion for investors.


Thematic Report: Wires & Cables Industry~ Exponential Capex Meeting Demand, Key Players to Benefit

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kaynes Technology India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaynes-technology-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36436:1" rel="noopener">Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.</li>
<li>The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.</li>
</ul>



Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.


Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sagility-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43717:1" rel="noopener">Sagility India (2058883D IN)</a> (Sagility) raised around US$250m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Sagility is a pure-play healthcare focused solutions and services provider to Payers (U.S. health insurance companies), and Providers (primarily hospitals, physicians, and diagnostic and medical devices companies).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Sagility India (2058883D IN) (Sagility) raised around US$250m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Sagility is a pure-play healthcare focused solutions and services provider to Payers (U.S. health insurance companies), and Providers (primarily hospitals, physicians, and diagnostic and medical devices companies).
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.


Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

India

KEI Industries Limited manufactures cables and stainless steel wires for the building and construction, defense, telecommunications, and other industries.

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KEI Industries (KEII IN)

Polycab India- Forensic Analysis

Polycab is under scrutiny for IT investigation that uncovered unaccounted transactions, but the forensics do give mixed signals. Attention should...

Nitin Mangal

RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside

RR Kabel sees strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% revenue growth and doubled EBITDA, driven by volume expansion in high-margin segment. Positioned for growth...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Wires & Cables Industry~ Exponential Capex Meeting Demand, Key Players to Benefit

India's Wires & Cables sector set to double by FY29 with 80% capex surge in FY26, driven by infrastructure and exports. Polycab India leads with...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

Sagility B.V. plans to offload up to 15.02% stake in Sagility India via block deals worth INR26.7bn (US$314.7m). The secondary share sale is priced...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Polycab India- Forensic Analysis

​Polycab is under scrutiny for IT investigation that uncovered unaccounted transactions, but the forensics do give mixed signals. Attention should...

Nitin Mangal

RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside

​RR Kabel sees strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% revenue growth and doubled EBITDA, driven by volume expansion in high-margin segment. Positioned for growth...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Wires & Cables Industry~ Exponential Capex Meeting Demand, Key Players to Benefit

​India's Wires & Cables sector set to double by FY29 with 80% capex surge in FY26, driven by infrastructure and exports. Polycab India leads with...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

Sagility B.V. plans to offload up to 15.02% stake in Sagility India via block deals worth INR26.7bn (US$314.7m). The secondary share sale is priced...

Akshat Shah

Polycab is under scrutiny for IT investigation that uncovered unaccounted transactions, but the forensics do give mixed signals. Attention should...

RR Kabel sees strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% revenue growth and doubled EBITDA, driven by volume expansion in high-margin segment. Positioned for growth...

India's Wires & Cables sector set to double by FY29 with 80% capex surge in FY26, driven by infrastructure and exports. Polycab India leads with...