Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A.

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A. 

Port Operators - Valuations Downshift on Structural Changes

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it appears the market has gotten even weaker. I am sure our friends from Drewry have experienced this as well. A few key details below on rates that have gone even further south than 2009.In recent weeks we understand from friends that some markets in Intra-Asia have gone into negative pricing.This means that lines have to try to recoup some of their losses…

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it appears the market has gotten even weaker. I am sure our friends from Drewry have experienced this as well. A few key details below on rates that have gone even further south than 2009.In recent weeks we understand from friends that some markets in Intra-Asia have gone into negative pricing.This means that lines have to try to recoup some of their losses…

Container Shipping Industry Last Few Weeks Factoring in Doomsday

We are pleased to announce that Drewry Maritime Equity Research (DMER) has launched a model portfolio, selecting stocks within the global maritime space, ensuring a balanced approach and risks in a low return environment. The recommended stocks have been hand-picked based on the strong underlying fundamentals of each entity, coupled with near-term triggers. Objective of the DMER model portfolio is to generate moderate returns in conjunction with relatively lower risks. Given the weakness in…

We are pleased to announce that Drewry Maritime Equity Research (DMER) has launched a model portfolio, selecting stocks within the global maritime space, ensuring a balanced approach and risks in a low return environment. The recommended stocks have been hand-picked based on the strong underlying fundamentals of each entity, coupled with near-term triggers. Objective of the DMER model portfolio is to generate moderate returns in conjunction with relatively lower risks. Given the weakness in…

DMER Launches Model Stock Portfolio for the Maritime Sector

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Singapore

Keppel Ltd. is a Singaporean global asset manager and operator, providing critical infrastructure and services for renewables, clean energy, decarbonization, sustainable urban renewal, and digital connectivity. The company operates across Infrastructure, Real Estate, Connectivity, and Fund Management & Investment platforms. Keppel is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 1968.

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Keppel (KEP SP)

Port Operators - Valuations Downshift on Structural Changes

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure...

Rajan Govil

Container Shipping Industry Last Few Weeks Factoring in Doomsday

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it...

Charles De Trenck

DMER Launches Model Stock Portfolio for the Maritime Sector

We are pleased to announce that Drewry Maritime Equity Research (DMER) has launched a model portfolio, selecting stocks within the global maritime...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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