Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore, Syfe

Syfe

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore

Syfe is an investment platform offering Managed Portfolios, Brokerage services, and Cash Management solutions to help people build wealth for a better future.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  </li><li>Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.</li><li>The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.</li></ul>

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> shareholders voted overwhelmingly for the merger between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine. The transaction is expected to close by 28 February.  </li>
<li>The divestment of Keppel O&amp;M will further move <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit its 15% ROE target.</li>
<li>Pre-Dividend in specie distribution, our Keppel SoTP valuation based on Sembcorp Marine’s reference issue price (S$0.122) and last close (S$0.136) is S$8.49 and S$8.72 per share, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shareholders voted overwhelmingly for the merger between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine. The transaction is expected to close by 28 February.  
The divestment of Keppel O&amp;M will further move Keppel Corp (KEP SP) towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit its 15% ROE target.
Pre-Dividend in specie distribution, our Keppel SoTP valuation based on Sembcorp Marine’s reference issue price (S$0.122) and last close (S$0.136) is S$8.49 and S$8.72 per share, respectively. 


Keppel (KEP SP): Keppel O&M/Sembcorp Marine Transaction Moves Towards Completion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “<em>not prejudicial</em>” to minorities.</li>
<li>Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). </li>
<li>The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.</li>
</ul>



Keppel Corp (KEP SP)’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “not prejudicial” to minorities.
Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). 
The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.


Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

<ul>
<li>The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> was revised from 56%:44% to 54%:46%. </li>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> shareholders, the revised terms will lower the overall value but in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS accretion and higher in-specie distribution of SMM shares.</li>
<li>The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our revised Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.17 per share, which is 23% above the last close.</li>
</ul>


The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) was revised from 56%:44% to 54%:46%. 
For Keppel Corp (KEP SP) shareholders, the revised terms will lower the overall value but in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS accretion and higher in-specie distribution of SMM shares.
The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our revised Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.17 per share, which is 23% above the last close.


Keppel: Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Revised Terms

<ul>
<li>The terms for the proposed combination of Keppel O&amp;M and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> were announced. The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. </li>
<li>The proposed combination will require <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> and Sembcorp Marine shareholder approvals at separate EGMs and is expected to close in 4Q2022.</li>
<li>The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as the proposed combination creates S$9.4 billion of value, which is around 80% of Keppel’s market cap at the last close.</li>
</ul>


The terms for the proposed combination of Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) were announced. The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. 
The proposed combination will require Keppel Corp (KEP SP) and Sembcorp Marine shareholder approvals at separate EGMs and is expected to close in 4Q2022.
The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as the proposed combination creates S$9.4 billion of value, which is around 80% of Keppel’s market cap at the last close.


Keppel: A Massive Winner from Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Combination

Singapore

Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT operates as a real estate investment trust with properties located in the United States. The Company invests in a diversified portfolio of income-producing commercial and real estate assets in key growth markets of the US.

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Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP)

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed. According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median...

Syfe

Keppel (KEP SP): Keppel O&M/Sembcorp Marine Transaction Moves Towards Completion

The divestment of Keppel O&M will further move Keppel towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit...

Arun George

Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

The transaction is a win-win for both sets of shareholders. The vote requires majority shareholder approval. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30...

Arun George

Keppel: Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Revised Terms

Revised terms are an acceptable compromise for KEP shareholders - lower the overall value but result in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS...

Arun George

Keppel: A Massive Winner from Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Combination

The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine is 56%:44%. The transaction is a big win for Keppel shareholders as...

Arun George

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