Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Hongkong Land, SOHO China, Bank Rakyat, Oil Search, JCNC

Travis Lundy

<p>On Friday 9 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> shareholders voted to approve the Media Business Spinoff and the Proposed Restructuring which will allow SPH to spin off the various media assets and some supporting assets it has heretofore controlled into a new non-profit Company Limited by Guarantee.</p><p>The idea is that the "lifting" of the restrictions of the Newspaper Printing and Presses Act (“NPPA”) would then provide SPH <em>"with greater financial flexibility to tailor its capital and shareholding structure to unlock and maximise value for all shareholders."</em></p><p>As discussed first in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-press-own-time-own-target-restructuring-lor-come-i-clap-for-you" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51141" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You)</a>,</em> the upside did not seem huge. A few months later SPH decided that the rest of the business would be taken over by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> in return for a basket of cash, units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> and units in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192:1" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a>. This was discussed in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/alamak-sph-restructuring-restructured-as-keppel-bo-jios-sph-holders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55370" rel="noopener">Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders</a>, </em>and at that, the upside did not seem huge. The price jumped from a div-adjusted S$1.88/share before the Keppel news to S$1.92/unit to close some of the gap. The remaining spread is now quite small at a bit less than 10cts on a forward div-adjusted basis, or about 5%.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/229/249/original/Screenshot+2021-09-11+at+2.04.22+PM.png?1631340279" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="229249"></figure><p></p></section><p>From the day before the Keppel announcement until now, the value of the non-cash portion of the Consideration (i.e. the 0.596 units of KREIT and the 0.782 units of SPH REIT) have fallen 2.55% in value while the value of an equal weighted Peer Basket of REITs has fallen 2.45%. That tells you that despite the first-day drop in the value of SPH REIT and Keppel REIT resulting from market participants' expectation that hedging pressure on those two REITs would cause them to underperform the market, the underperformance has been minimal. I expect the high cost of borrow and relative illiquidity of S-REITs has limited the appeal of the arb to arbitrageurs.</p><p>Now we wait for the EGM to approve the distribution of SPH REIT units and the Scheme Meeting to dispose of the SPH business in return for KREIT units and cash. That should happen in the October/November timeframe.</p><p>In the meantime, we check progress of the arb, and what the value of the Consideration is compared to a comparable Peer Basket.</p>

On Friday 9 September, Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) shareholders voted to approve the Media Business Spinoff and the Proposed Restructuring which will allow SPH to spin off the various media assets and some supporting assets it has heretofore controlled into a new non-profit Company Limited by Guarantee.The idea is that the "lifting" of the restrictions of the Newspaper Printing and Presses Act (“NPPA”) would then provide SPH "with greater financial flexibility to tailor its capital and shareholding structure to unlock and maximise value for all shareholders."As discussed first in Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You), the upside did not seem huge. A few months later SPH decided that the rest of the business would be taken over by Keppel Corp (KEP SP) in return for a basket of cash, units of SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) and units in Keppel REIT (KREIT SP). This was discussed in Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders, and at that, the upside did not seem huge. The price jumped from a div-adjusted S$1.88/share before the Keppel news to S$1.92/unit to close some of the gap. The remaining spread is now quite small at a bit less than 10cts on a forward div-adjusted basis, or about 5%.From the day before the Keppel announcement until now, the value of the non-cash portion of the Consideration (i.e. the 0.596 units of KREIT and the 0.782 units of SPH REIT) have fallen 2.55% in value while the value of an equal weighted Peer Basket of REITs has fallen 2.45%. That tells you that despite the first-day drop in the value of SPH REIT and Keppel REIT resulting from market participants' expectation that hedging pressure on those two REITs would cause them to underperform the market, the underperformance has been minimal. I expect the high cost of borrow and relative illiquidity of S-REITs has limited the appeal of the arb to arbitrageurs.Now we wait for the EGM to approve the distribution of SPH REIT units and the Scheme Meeting to dispose of the SPH business in return for KREIT units and cash. That should happen in the October/November timeframe.In the meantime, we check progress of the arb, and what the value of the Consideration is compared to a comparable Peer Basket.

SPH Shareholders Approve Spinoff - There's Still a Spread To Earn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing.  It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.</p></div><div><p>We have looked at MREITs in our earlier notes:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mreit-pre-ipo-mediocre-performance-convoluted-lease-low-asset-yield" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MREIT Pre-IPO - Mediocre performance, convoluted lease, low asset yield</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rl-commercial-reit-and-mreit-peer-comparison-one-is-much-better-shape" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT and MREIT Peer Comparison - One Is Much Better Shape</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>Apart from MREIT we have also covered prior listings of the three currently listed, and one soon to be listed, REIT in the Philippines:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/filinvest-reit-ipo-almost-like-a-single-asset-reit-covid-hasn-t-been-kind" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ddpm-reit-pre-ipo-brand-new-assets-but-not-with-the-best-of-outlooks" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/areit-pre-ipo-first-philippines-reit-listing-comes-with-its-peculiarities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AREIT Pre-IPO - First REIT listing comes with its peculiarities</a></p></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rl-commercial-reit-pre-ipo-motley-crew-of-assets-has-weathered-covid-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT Pre-IPO - Motley crew of assets has weathered COVID well</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p></div>

MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing.  It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.We have looked at MREITs in our earlier notes:
MREIT Pre-IPO - Mediocre performance, convoluted lease, low asset yield
RL Commercial REIT and MREIT Peer Comparison - One Is Much Better Shape
Apart from MREIT we have also covered prior listings of the three currently listed, and one soon to be listed, REIT in the Philippines:
Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind
DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks
AREIT Pre-IPO - First REIT listing comes with its peculiarities
RL Commercial REIT Pre-IPO - Motley crew of assets has weathered COVID well
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.

MREIT IPO - Needs to Be Priced a Whole Lot Lower

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

RL Commercial REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rl-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33809:1" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT (1888938D PM)</a>/RLC REIT is the REIT platform of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8831:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)</a>, one of the leading property developers in the Philippines. RLC REIT has set its final offer price at PHP6.45 per unit, which is 12% below the previous maximum price of PHP7.31 per unit.</p><p>The official subscription period will run from 25 August to 3 September. The listing date is set for 14 September. RLC REIT’s listing will be quickly followed by the IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaworld-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33806:1" rel="noopener">Megaworld Real Estate Investment Trust (MREIT PM)</a> – <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/megaworld-reit-mreit-ipo-at-the-front-of-the-back-office" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55851" rel="noopener">Megaworld REIT (MREIT) IPO: At the Front of the Back Office</a>.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rl-commerical-reit-ipo-initiation-a-big-one" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56158" rel="noopener">RL Commerical REIT IPO Initiation: A Big One</a>, we noted that RLC REIT has attractive characteristics and will be the largest REIT as measured by market cap, asset size, and geographical spread to be listed on the PSE. Our valuation analysis suggests that the final IPO price is reasonable. </p></div>

RL Commercial REIT (1888938D PM)/RLC REIT is the REIT platform of Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM), one of the leading property developers in the Philippines. RLC REIT has set its final offer price at PHP6.45 per unit, which is 12% below the previous maximum price of PHP7.31 per unit.The official subscription period will run from 25 August to 3 September. The listing date is set for 14 September. RLC REIT’s listing will be quickly followed by the IPO of Megaworld Real Estate Investment Trust (MREIT PM) – Megaworld REIT (MREIT) IPO: At the Front of the Back Office.In RL Commerical REIT IPO Initiation: A Big One, we noted that RLC REIT has attractive characteristics and will be the largest REIT as measured by market cap, asset size, and geographical spread to be listed on the PSE. Our valuation analysis suggests that the final IPO price is reasonable. 

RL Commerical REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

<div>
<p>Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) plans to raise up to US$151m (S$204m) via a mix of a private placement. The company will use the proceeds to fund the recent acquisition of its first China data centre and to pay down debt. </p>
<p>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p>
<p>We have covered the listing and previous placements for KDC in our earlier notes:</p>
</div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>Sep 2019 placement for US$273m: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/keppel-dc-reit-placement-just-in-time-for-the-index-inclusion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT Placement - Just in Time for the Index Inclusion</a>
</li>
<li>May 2018 placement for US$228m: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/keppel-dc-reit-placement-accretive-acquisition-and-probably-expected-dilution" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT Placement - Accretive Acquisition and Probably Expected Dilution</a>
</li>
<li>IPO: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/first-of-its-kind-exposure-to-rapidly-growing-data-centers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">First of its kind exposure to rapidly growing data centers</a>
</li>
</ul></div>


Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) plans to raise up to US$151m (S$204m) via a mix of a private placement. The company will use the proceeds to fund the recent acquisition of its first China data centre and to pay down debt. 
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.
We have covered the listing and previous placements for KDC in our earlier notes:

Sep 2019 placement for US$273m: Keppel DC REIT Placement - Just in Time for the Index Inclusion

May 2018 placement for US$228m: Keppel DC REIT Placement - Accretive Acquisition and Probably Expected Dilution

IPO: First of its kind exposure to rapidly growing data centers



Keppel DC REIT Placement - Most of the past Deals Have Done Well, Though This Won’t Be Accretive

Singapore

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

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Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Hongkong Land, SOHO China, Bank Rakyat, Oil Search, JCNC

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

SPH Shareholders Approve Spinoff - There's Still a Spread To Earn

SPH shareholders approve the Media Biz spinoff, now there are ~4mos left until payout (assuming EGM/Scheme Mtg in Oct/Nov gives the thumbs up)....

Travis Lundy

MREIT IPO - Needs to Be Priced a Whole Lot Lower

MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing. It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.

Sumeet Singh

RL Commerical REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

RLC REIT has set its final offer price at PHP6.45 per unit, which is 12% below the previous maximum price of PHP7.31 per unit. Our valuation...

Arun George

Keppel DC REIT Placement - Most of the past Deals Have Done Well, Though This Won’t Be Accretive

Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) plans to raise up to US$151m (S$204m) via a mix of a private placement. The company will use the proceeds to fund the...

Sumeet Singh

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