Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Despite President Trump postponing the 50% import tariff on the EU — which initially acted as a catalyst for a rebound in the SET — the index was quickly dragged down by weak investor confidence amid concerns over an economic slowdown.</li><li>Nevertheless, gains in DELTA, ADVANC, and SCC helped the index close slightly higher, albeit on low trading volume.</li><li>The index continued its attempt to rebound and hold above the support level at 1,173 points, which was successful.</li></ul>

Despite President Trump postponing the 50% import tariff on the EU — which initially acted as a catalyst for a rebound in the SET — the index was quickly dragged down by weak investor confidence amid concerns over an economic slowdown.Nevertheless, gains in DELTA, ADVANC, and SCC helped the index close slightly higher, albeit on low trading volume.The index continued its attempt to rebound and hold above the support level at 1,173 points, which was successful.

<ul><li>The SET attempted to rebound but failed due to a lack of supporting factors and weak investor confidence amid concerns over an economic slowdown and political uncertainties.</li><li>The market also remained under pressure from declines in other Asian bourses, which followed the negative lead from US markets.</li><li>Notably, stocks such as DELTA, MINT, TOP, CPALL, OSP, and AOT posted strong gains, while foreign investors remained net buyers for the third consecutive day.</li></ul>

The SET attempted to rebound but failed due to a lack of supporting factors and weak investor confidence amid concerns over an economic slowdown and political uncertainties.The market also remained under pressure from declines in other Asian bourses, which followed the negative lead from US markets.Notably, stocks such as DELTA, MINT, TOP, CPALL, OSP, and AOT posted strong gains, while foreign investors remained net buyers for the third consecutive day.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in June.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the SET 50 Index while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

<ul><li>KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”</li><li>Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.</li><li>Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. </li></ul>

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. 

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>Here we look at the potential ADDs/DELs and capping flows for SET 50 for the June 2025 index rebalance. Currently, we expect three ADDs and three DELs for June 2025.</li>
<li>Last time we didn't like the look of the trades, so recommended avoiding. ExpectedADDs underperformed ExpectedDELETEs by 13% since then. Expected Flows remain small.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
Here we look at the potential ADDs/DELs and capping flows for SET 50 for the June 2025 index rebalance. Currently, we expect three ADDs and three DELs for June 2025.
Last time we didn't like the look of the trades, so recommended avoiding. ExpectedADDs underperformed ExpectedDELETEs by 13% since then. Expected Flows remain small.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Capping Expected for DELTA; Three Index Changes Likely

Thailand

Kiatnakin Bank Public Company Limited provides commercial banking services including commercial, developmental, consumer, hire-purchase, and mortgage financing to its customers in Thailand. The Company also provides securities brokerage and investment advisory services.

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Kiatnakin Bank (KKP TB)

Technical Analysis - MAY 27, 2025

Despite President Trump postponing the 50% import tariff on the EU — which initially acted as a catalyst for a rebound in the SET — the index was...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - MAY 23, 2025

The SET attempted to rebound but failed due to a lack of supporting factors and weak investor confidence amid concerns over an economic slowdown...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

There should be 3 constituent changes in June and large selling in DELTA due to capping. Passive trackers will need to buy 1.5-3.8x ADV in the adds...

Brian Freitas

Industry Update: Banking - MAY 8, 2025

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”

Krungthai XSpring

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Capping Expected for DELTA; Three Index Changes Likely

We estimate the one-way flow for SET50 during the June 2025 rebalance to be ~US$67mn which translates to a turnover of 2.9%.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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