Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>, but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  </li>
<li>It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .</li>
</ul>


It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT), but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  
It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.
However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .


KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

<ul>
<li>For the upcoming revenue outlook, MediaTek Inc (2454 TT) is likely to reach an upside of around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>MediaTek plans to release 12 million units of the Dimensity 9000 series in 2024F.</li>
<li>Mediatek's target markets include China, India, and Southeast Asia, with China remaining the primary market of focus.</li>
</ul>


For the upcoming revenue outlook, MediaTek Inc (2454 TT) is likely to reach an upside of around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.
MediaTek plans to release 12 million units of the Dimensity 9000 series in 2024F.
Mediatek's target markets include China, India, and Southeast Asia, with China remaining the primary market of focus.


MediaTek (2454.TT): The Revenue Is Likely Upside Around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.

<ul>
<li>This week will see a wave of earnings releases for the industry including Intel, Microsofot, Mediatek, ASE, and UMC.</li>
<li>TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and mobile.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI names were some of the top losers across our Taiwan Tech universe last week.</li>
</ul>


This week will see a wave of earnings releases for the industry including Intel, Microsofot, Mediatek, ASE, and UMC.
TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and mobile.
Taiwan AI names were some of the top losers across our Taiwan Tech universe last week.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch for Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, ASE, UMC Results; AI Names Top Losers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Galaxy Securities (H) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~45% and in a one-way trade of US$1.24bn. There are ~300 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>With only 4 trading days to implementation, there could be large moves on stocks with large flows and impact over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~45% and in a one-way trade of US$1.24bn. There are ~300 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
With only 4 trading days to implementation, there could be large moves on stocks with large flows and impact over the next few days.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$2.5bn to Trade

Taiwan

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

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King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

MediaTek (2454.TT): The Revenue Is Likely Upside Around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.

MediaTek expects a 10% QoQ growth in 1Q24F and plans to release 12 million units of Dimensity 9000 series in 2024F. MediaTek's growth is targeting...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch for Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, ASE, UMC Results; AI Names Top Losers

TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$2.5bn to Trade

There are 364 adds/325 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. One-way turnover is 45% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

​KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

MediaTek (2454.TT): The Revenue Is Likely Upside Around 10% QoQ in 1Q24F.

​MediaTek expects a 10% QoQ growth in 1Q24F and plans to release 12 million units of Dimensity 9000 series in 2024F. MediaTek's growth is targeting...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch for Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, ASE, UMC Results; AI Names Top Losers

TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: 45% Turnover & US$2.5bn to Trade

There are 364 adds/325 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. One-way turnover is 45% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

MediaTek expects a 10% QoQ growth in 1Q24F and plans to release 12 million units of Dimensity 9000 series in 2024F. MediaTek's growth is targeting...