Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.
There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.


Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Apr 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in April were $5.6bn Inflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Apr 30th.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in April were $5.6bn Inflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, ICBC, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, ICBC, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 24th): China Mobile, CCB, ICBC, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Pop Mart Intl, China Life, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, YOFC, CCB, China Hongqiao, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Pop Mart Intl, China Life, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, YOFC, CCB, China Hongqiao, Ping An Insurance.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 17th): Pop Mart Intl, China Life, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, YOFC, CCB

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard Holdings (148 HK)</a> has rallied 24% from its end-of-March trough, closing at HK$40.34 on Tuesday — already above the P75 profit target (HK$37.85) but momentum still intact.</li>
<li>Our model's historical analogues suggest week 3–4 carries peak reversal risk; at week 2, the bull case toward HK$43–45 remains alive but increasingly fragile.</li>
<li>Risk/Reward is shifting: our model favours fading the rally at current levels unless passive flow from the 1888 HK index inclusion drives further upside.</li>
</ul>



Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) has rallied 24% from its end-of-March trough, closing at HK$40.34 on Tuesday — already above the P75 profit target (HK$37.85) but momentum still intact.
Our model's historical analogues suggest week 3–4 carries peak reversal risk; at week 2, the bull case toward HK$43–45 remains alive but increasingly fragile.
Risk/Reward is shifting: our model favours fading the rally at current levels unless passive flow from the 1888 HK index inclusion drives further upside.


Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) Tactical Outlook: Rally Exhaustion Ahead of 1888 HK Index Inclusion

Hong Kong

Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited is a vertically-integrated electronics materials manufacturer, specializing in the production of glass epoxy and paper laminates. The company also produces upstream component materials like copper foils, glass yarns, and epoxy resins, and has diversified interests in properties, chemicals, and hotel services. It was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.

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Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)

Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

The index rebalances at the close tomorrow and there will be huge volume in the constituent changes at the close. Since announcement, the adds have...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $5.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in April. We highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 24th): China Mobile, CCB, ICBC, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile, CCB, ICBC, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 17th): Pop Mart Intl, China Life, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, YOFC, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Pop Mart Intl, China Life, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) Tactical Outlook: Rally Exhaustion Ahead of 1888 HK Index Inclusion

Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) surged 24% from its March low, but our model signals peak reversal risk ahead. Is the 1888 HK index inclusion catalyst...

Nico Rosti

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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