HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.</li>
<li>The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.</li>
<li>If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.</li>
</ul>


For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.
The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.
If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.


Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>After all the companies in China healthcare industry released their 2021 interim reports, here are the summary and the enlightenment. </li>
<li>With the continuous advancement of medical reform, the reform of public hospital compensation system is an inevitable trend.</li>
<li>The regulated market represented by the United States is the main destination of export of China's varieties of injection.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kintor-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28884:1" rel="noopener">Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brii-biosciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33014:1" rel="noopener">Brii Biosciences (2137 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.00%, while CSI 300 increased 3.52% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
After all the companies in China healthcare industry released their 2021 interim reports, here are the summary and the enlightenment. 
With the continuous advancement of medical reform, the reform of public hospital compensation system is an inevitable trend.
The regulated market represented by the United States is the main destination of export of China's varieties of injection.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939 HK), Luye Pharma (2186 HK), Brii Biosciences (2137 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK). Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.00%, while CSI 300 increased 3.52% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep10)-2021H1 Results Summary,Hospital Compensation Reform,Injection Export

Modern fast pace of life and huge work pressure make hair loss anxiety spread to all kinds of groups. Age is no longer an excuse for hair loss, and it has already been a problem for people who are under 30. In fact, when a problem cuts across groups and ages, it's a sign of the seriousness of the problem. As people pay more and more attention to hair, the awareness of hair health and management is gradually awakening. How to repair hair scientifically, protect hair correctly and restore hair health have been a concern to the public. Therefore, hair loss prevention and hair growth offer a growth potential that simply cannot be ignored.

Modern fast pace of life and huge work pressure make hair loss anxiety spread to all kinds of groups. Age is no longer an excuse for hair loss, and it has already been a problem for people who are under 30. In fact, when a problem cuts across groups and ages, it's a sign of the seriousness of the problem. As people pay more and more attention to hair, the awareness of hair health and management is gradually awakening. How to repair hair scientifically, protect hair correctly and restore hair health have been a concern to the public. Therefore, hair loss prevention and hair growth offer a growth potential that simply cannot be ignored.

Industry Report - Insights on Hair Loss Prevention and Hair Growth Industry

Equity Capital Markets

Vigonvita Life Sciences / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Vigonvita's product revenue is unlikely to show significant improvement in short term. Whether Vigonvita can avoid the pitfalls that peers have fallen into remains to be tested by the market.</li>
<li>With a large amount of idle production capacity, the rationality and necessity of the IPO fundraising plan still including the construction of a new factory in Qingdao are questionable.</li>
<li>Vigonvita's valuation is mainly based on the commercialization of TPN171/VV116. If sales of TPN171 is poor or clinical trial of VV116 fails, valuation will face the risk of significant decline.</li>
</ul>


Vigonvita's product revenue is unlikely to show significant improvement in short term. Whether Vigonvita can avoid the pitfalls that peers have fallen into remains to be tested by the market.
With a large amount of idle production capacity, the rationality and necessity of the IPO fundraising plan still including the construction of a new factory in Qingdao are questionable.
Vigonvita's valuation is mainly based on the commercialization of TPN171/VV116. If sales of TPN171 is poor or clinical trial of VV116 fails, valuation will face the risk of significant decline.


Pre-IPO Vigonvita Life Sciences (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Retail pharmacies experienced performance decline in April and May. Due to negative policies, retail pharmacies will experience industry clearance. Therefore, we do not recommend investors to bottom-fish related stocks now.</li>
<li>There is a logic to biotech's performance from 2023 to present.The clearer the path of sustainable development, the better the stock price performance. They can be divided into three types.</li>
<li>YSB faces big risks and the outlook is not optimistic. If the final valuation of the Company is lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22928:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Pharmaceutical</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-pharmaceuticals-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Pharmaceuticals</a>, we wouldn't be too surprised.</li>
</ul>


Retail pharmacies experienced performance decline in April and May. Due to negative policies, retail pharmacies will experience industry clearance. Therefore, we do not recommend investors to bottom-fish related stocks now.
There is a logic to biotech's performance from 2023 to present.The clearer the path of sustainable development, the better the stock price performance. They can be divided into three types.
YSB faces big risks and the outlook is not optimistic. If the final valuation of the Company is lower than China Resources Pharmaceutical and Shanghai Pharmaceuticals, we wouldn't be too surprised.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy's Dilemma, Logic to Biotech's Stock Price,YSB's Risk

China

Kintor Pharmaceutical is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing innovative small molecule and biological therapeutics for dermatology and oncology, including treatments for androgenetic alopecia, acne vulgaris, and various cancers. The company also develops high-end cosmetics. Kintor Pharmaceutical was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Suzhou, People's Republic of China.

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Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939 HK)

Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

This insight analyzed Pfizer's Paxlovid and Merck’s Molnupiravir after FDA EUA, the global market potential, the impact on China market and related...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep10)-2021H1 Results Summary,Hospital Compensation Reform,Injection Export

The article analyzed the summary and enlightenment of 2021H1 reports of healthcare companies, reform of public hospital compensation system, export...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Industry Report - Insights on Hair Loss Prevention and Hair Growth Industry

This article analyzed China hair loss prevention and hair growth industry in terms of the market potential, the hair loss drugs, the hair...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Vigonvita Life Sciences (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Vigonvita's short-term product revenue outlook is uncertain, with concerns on IPO fundraising rational.If TPN171 sales is poor or clinical trial...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy's Dilemma, Logic to Biotech's Stock Price,YSB's Risk

Retail pharmacies facing industry clearance due to negative policies.Biotech stock performance tied to sustainable development path. YSB faces...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

This insight analyzed Pfizer's Paxlovid and Merck’s Molnupiravir after FDA EUA, the global market potential, the impact on China market and related...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep10)-2021H1 Results Summary,Hospital Compensation Reform,Injection Export

The article analyzed the summary and enlightenment of 2021H1 reports of healthcare companies, reform of public hospital compensation system, export...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Industry Report - Insights on Hair Loss Prevention and Hair Growth Industry

This article analyzed China hair loss prevention and hair growth industry in terms of the market potential, the hair loss drugs, the hair...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Vigonvita Life Sciences (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​Vigonvita's short-term product revenue outlook is uncertain, with concerns on IPO fundraising rational.If TPN171 sales is poor or clinical trial...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun23)-Retail Pharmacy's Dilemma, Logic to Biotech's Stock Price,YSB's Risk

​Retail pharmacies facing industry clearance due to negative policies.Biotech stock performance tied to sustainable development path. YSB faces...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Vigonvita's short-term product revenue outlook is uncertain, with concerns on IPO fundraising rational.If TPN171 sales is poor or clinical trial...

Retail pharmacies facing industry clearance due to negative policies.Biotech stock performance tied to sustainable development path. YSB faces...