IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that Bain Capital is selling 36.0 million <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> shares through a block trade. IFR reports that the offering is worth up to JPY330 billion (US$2.1 billion).</li>
<li>The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO. The offering is easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV since listing.</li>
<li>Kioxia is anticipated to return to growth in 3Q, and the underlying margin is recovering from recent lows. However, Kioxia’s EV/EBITDA multiple is full compared to peers and historical ranges. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Bain Capital is selling 36.0 million Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) shares through a block trade. IFR reports that the offering is worth up to JPY330 billion (US$2.1 billion).
The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO. The offering is easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV since listing.
Kioxia is anticipated to return to growth in 3Q, and the underlying margin is recovering from recent lows. However, Kioxia’s EV/EBITDA multiple is full compared to peers and historical ranges. 


Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a>. The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) raised around US$800m (including over-allocation) in its Japan IPO, after pricing its IPO in the middle of its range. Its IPO linked lockup will expire soon.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.</li>
<li>Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.</li>
<li>Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.
Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.
Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.


The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> has sold over 5% of shares outstanding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> over the last month as the stock has run up.</li>
<li>The increased market cap and higher float should result in index inclusion and passive buying for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> in November. Then an upweight in another index in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s selling could also lead to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> meeting JPX's tradable share ratio and removes an overhang for the stock.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) has sold over 5% of shares outstanding in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) over the last month as the stock has run up.
The increased market cap and higher float should result in index inclusion and passive buying for Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) in November. Then an upweight in another index in December.

Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s selling could also lead to Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) meeting JPX's tradable share ratio and removes an overhang for the stock.


Kioxia (285A JP): Toshiba Selling Leads to Passive Buying & Removes Overhang

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO and easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV...

Arun George

Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had...

Sumeet Singh

Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Bain is now looking to sell some of its stake in Kioxia after a recent surge in the stock price. It will sell part of its holdings to raise around...

Sumeet Singh

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Kioxia (285A JP): Toshiba Selling Leads to Passive Buying & Removes Overhang

Kioxia was up 98.55% from when this insight was published to yesterday's close. Toshiba sold another 16.5m shares over the last month (and a total...

Brian Freitas

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Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO and easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV...

Arun George

Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had...

Sumeet Singh

Kioxia IPO Lockup Expiry - US$6.7bn Release, with Shareholders Eager to Sell

Bain is now looking to sell some of its stake in Kioxia after a recent surge in the stock price. It will sell part of its holdings to raise around...

Sumeet Singh

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

​Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Kioxia (285A JP): Toshiba Selling Leads to Passive Buying & Removes Overhang

Kioxia was up 98.55% from when this insight was published to yesterday's close. Toshiba sold another 16.5m shares over the last month (and a total...

Brian Freitas

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...