Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Open AI at $500bn sends the whole AI edifice surging once again.</li>
<li>Siltronic's jumped 12% in EU and the outlook for the likes of Sumco and Shin Estu remains very positive.</li>
<li>Market see record deliveries for Tesla more as front-loading than an increase in overall demand, but robots likely to keep turning heads.</li>
</ul>


Open AI at $500bn sends the whole AI edifice surging once again.
Siltronic's jumped 12% in EU and the outlook for the likes of Sumco and Shin Estu remains very positive.
Market see record deliveries for Tesla more as front-loading than an increase in overall demand, but robots likely to keep turning heads.


Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Expecting Hit from China Export Restrictions May Take Shine off SPE

<ul>
<li>Tech and memory especially keep grinding higher with good showing from semi-cap.</li>
<li>Kioxia management expects to double memory output at several fabs over next 5-years.</li>
<li>MHI cutting their FY guidance as reality not quite meeting expectations...will the market care though?</li>
</ul>


Tech and memory especially keep grinding higher with good showing from semi-cap.
Kioxia management expects to double memory output at several fabs over next 5-years.
MHI cutting their FY guidance as reality not quite meeting expectations...will the market care though?


Japan Morning Connection: Shutdown Concerns Brushed Aside as Govt Set to Close This Morning

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>Trump's Miram quick to show how dovish a republican picked committee could look.</li>
<li>Quantum names surged higher with D-Wave touting successes in Japan.</li>
<li>Kokusai Elec now +36% in a week as the market finally sees the NAND connection with flash memory pricing to remain tight through 2026.</li>
</ul>


Trump's Miram quick to show how dovish a republican picked committee could look.
Quantum names surged higher with D-Wave touting successes in Japan.
Kokusai Elec now +36% in a week as the market finally sees the NAND connection with flash memory pricing to remain tight through 2026.


Japan Morning Connection: Fed Cuts 25 Bps as Expected, Markets Finish Largely Unchanged

<ul>
<li>Semi-Cap higher after positive comments from JPM on ASML that the worst is behind it given strong WFE and memory trends.</li>
<li>Wafer names surging globally as demand for memory outstrips supply, while Wolfspeed announces its has reached 200m SiC capability.</li>
<li>A brave short seller for Coreweave calling it a “debt fuelled GPU rental business with no moat”.</li>
</ul>


Semi-Cap higher after positive comments from JPM on ASML that the worst is behind it given strong WFE and memory trends.
Wafer names surging globally as demand for memory outstrips supply, while Wolfspeed announces its has reached 200m SiC capability.
A brave short seller for Coreweave calling it a “debt fuelled GPU rental business with no moat”.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Plateauing Ahead of Fed, but Semi's Still Managing to Tick Higher

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Expecting Hit from China Export Restrictions May Take Shine off SPE

AMAT expecting a $710m hit to its revenue from new US export restrictions which may dampen Japan SPE somewhat. Expect another jump higher for...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Shutdown Concerns Brushed Aside as Govt Set to Close This Morning

A move higher for pharma after Pfizer made a deal with Trump, expect squeezy moves for heavily shorted JP names. A positive for memory plays, with...

Andrew Jackson

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Fed Cuts 25 Bps as Expected, Markets Finish Largely Unchanged

Positive news sent Quantum computing names surging higher. NVDA dropped on news that Chinese Govt is encouraging companies towards Chinese made AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Plateauing Ahead of Fed, but Semi's Still Managing to Tick Higher

Apple suppliers sent higher after announcement of Apple involvement with IC packaging. Power and industrial semi's shaking off China's anti-dumping...

Andrew Jackson

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