Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March 2025 Nikkei 225 review came out with a sparse set of changes. That gives us hints for the September 2025 review.</li>
<li>For the moment, that leads me to believe we get ONE ADD and ONE DELETE though up to three of each is possible. </li>
<li>Even with only one name replacement, there are some big side trades and US$3.2bn a side to trade for now.</li>
</ul>


The March 2025 Nikkei 225 review came out with a sparse set of changes. That gives us hints for the September 2025 review.
For the moment, that leads me to believe we get ONE ADD and ONE DELETE though up to three of each is possible. 
Even with only one name replacement, there are some big side trades and US$3.2bn a side to trade for now.


Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: One ADD, One DELETE Still Probable, Kokusai a Question but $3bn+ a Side

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Expect weakness after poor SMCI numbers sends AI related plays lower in late trading including NVDA and DELL.</li>
<li>Qorvo bucking the trend with a better-then-expected outlook despite Apple uncertainty in China.</li>
<li>Sony looking to spin off its semiconductor solutions business a watershed for unlocking shareholder value.</li>
</ul>


Expect weakness after poor SMCI numbers sends AI related plays lower in late trading including NVDA and DELL.
Qorvo bucking the trend with a better-then-expected outlook despite Apple uncertainty in China.
Sony looking to spin off its semiconductor solutions business a watershed for unlocking shareholder value.


Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

<ul>
<li>Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.</li>
<li>EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.</li>
<li>Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.</li>
</ul>


Intel jumping on plans to cut its bloated workforce and streamline management.
EV plays should pick up after Tesla held after mkt gains from yesterday.
Boeing numbers will help the heavies with better FCF and production outlooks.


Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

<ul>
<li>Disco guidance possibly showing front loading ahead of a potentially far bleaker 2Q.</li>
<li>US homebuilders strong after DR Horton reported strong GPM despite cutting guidance.</li>
<li>Trump re-raising the possibility of fees for Chinese vessels at US ports may be positive for non-Chinese ship builders.</li>
</ul>


Disco guidance possibly showing front loading ahead of a potentially far bleaker 2Q.
US homebuilders strong after DR Horton reported strong GPM despite cutting guidance.
Trump re-raising the possibility of fees for Chinese vessels at US ports may be positive for non-Chinese ship builders.


Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

<ul>
<li>Tech and AI sell off sparked by further chip restrictions to China and poor print from ASML.</li>
<li>Details of trade talks are set to have big implications for autos, energy, defense and agriculture.</li>
<li>US officials order the suspension of Biden era wind project already under constriction, adding more pressure to renewables.</li>
</ul>


Tech and AI sell off sparked by further chip restrictions to China and poor print from ASML.
Details of trade talks are set to have big implications for autos, energy, defense and agriculture.
US officials order the suspension of Biden era wind project already under constriction, adding more pressure to renewables.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Lauding 'great Progress' with Japan Trade Talks.

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: One ADD, One DELETE Still Probable, Kokusai a Question but $3bn+ a Side

Sep25 Nikkei 225 rebal has 3mos to go for data but it's mostly decided. The questions remaining are less about ranks, and more about rules. I'm...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Lauding 'great Progress' with Japan Trade Talks.

Earnings miss from ASML and further chip restrictions to China sparked Tech and AI sell off. JP renewables likely to be impacted by Equinor’s...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: One ADD, One DELETE Still Probable, Kokusai a Question but $3bn+ a Side

Sep25 Nikkei 225 rebal has 3mos to go for data but it's mostly decided. The questions remaining are less about ranks, and more about rules. I'm...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: SMCI Numbers Casts a Gloomy Shadow over All Things AI to Start Today

​Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connction: Tech Surging with Trump Signalling Zero China Tariffs on a Trade Deal

​Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Fails to Hold Early Gains While Semi-Cap Plays Also Sag

​Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Lauding 'great Progress' with Japan Trade Talks.

Earnings miss from ASML and further chip restrictions to China sparked Tech and AI sell off. JP renewables likely to be impacted by Equinor’s...

Andrew Jackson

Poor SMCI numbers will reflect poorly on AI related plays, Qorvo stands out with strong outlook despite Apple uncertainty, Sony's spin off of...

Intel plans to cut workforce and streamline management, EV plays may continue to rise after Tesla's gains, Boeing's improved numbers to benefit...

Disco may suffer from tough 2Q with AI spending nearing its peak, US homebuilders up after strong beat from DR Horton, Trump's fees on Chinese...