Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The horse trading continues with Israel bowing to the US and bilateral talks with Japan set to commence imminently.</li>
<li>US shippers outperformed given lower oil despite an outlook for lower global trade overall.</li>
<li>Samsung numbers beating this morning on strong demand for the Galaxy S25 smartphones and DRAM.</li>
</ul>


The horse trading continues with Israel bowing to the US and bilateral talks with Japan set to commence imminently.
US shippers outperformed given lower oil despite an outlook for lower global trade overall.
Samsung numbers beating this morning on strong demand for the Galaxy S25 smartphones and DRAM.


Japan Morning Connection: US Relief Rally Sending JP Futures Sharply Higher

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 95.7 million shares (110.1 million including overallotment), worth around US$1.1 billion (US$1.3 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>Suzuki's goal with the secondary offering is (i) to reduce cross-shareholdings and (ii) to expand and diversify the shareholder base, which should further enhance liquidity.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 21 and 23 April (likely 21 April).</li>
</ul>



Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 95.7 million shares (110.1 million including overallotment), worth around US$1.1 billion (US$1.3 billion including overallotment).
Suzuki's goal with the secondary offering is (i) to reduce cross-shareholdings and (ii) to expand and diversify the shareholder base, which should further enhance liquidity.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 21 and 23 April (likely 21 April).


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): A US$1.1 Billion Secondary Offering

<ul>
<li>Big drops for futures and commodity markets to start the week, so expect heavy selling across the board to start.</li>
<li>Vietnam signalling willingness to cut US tariffs sending related footwear/clothing names who manufacture in country sharply higher.</li>
<li>Nintendo cancelling its US Switch2 pre-sales sending ADR's lower only to snap back as market remains bullish on new console.</li>
</ul>


Big drops for futures and commodity markets to start the week, so expect heavy selling across the board to start.
Vietnam signalling willingness to cut US tariffs sending related footwear/clothing names who manufacture in country sharply higher.
Nintendo cancelling its US Switch2 pre-sales sending ADR's lower only to snap back as market remains bullish on new console.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logistics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11909:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logistics (9301 JP)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 31 March.</li>
<li>Since announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a> stock is up with cumulative excess volume increasing, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logistics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11909:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logistics (9301 JP)</a> is lower on a much bigger increase in cumulative excess volume.</li>
<li>Some of the forecast adds and deletes have moved as one would expect, but positioning for the September rebalance could lead to reversals over the next few weeks and months.</li>
</ul>



BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) replaces Mitsubishi Logistics (9301 JP) in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the close of trading on 31 March.
Since announcement, BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) stock is up with cumulative excess volume increasing, while Mitsubishi Logistics (9301 JP) is lower on a much bigger increase in cumulative excess volume.
Some of the forecast adds and deletes have moved as one would expect, but positioning for the September rebalance could lead to reversals over the next few weeks and months.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Positioning With a Few Days to Implementation

<ul>
<li>Tesla surging on the prospect for auto tariffs and semi's up on the potential for leniency.</li>
<li>US homebuilder woes continue with KB homes reporting a miss after market.</li>
<li>Activist Elliott taking a stake in Sumitomo Reality may see holdings under pressure.</li>
</ul>


Tesla surging on the prospect for auto tariffs and semi's up on the potential for leniency.
US homebuilder woes continue with KB homes reporting a miss after market.
Activist Elliott taking a stake in Sumitomo Reality may see holdings under pressure.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Relief Rally Sending JP Futures Sharply Higher

Israel bows to US pressure, Japan to begin bilateral trade talks. US shippers despite global trade decline. Samsung numbers beat with Galaxy S25...

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): A US$1.1 Billion Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 21 and...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Positioning With a Few Days to Implementation

Baycurrent could follow Nitori's playbook. Mitsubishi Logistics could drop some more. Kokusai is underperforming the SOX. Okuma and Tokuyama are up...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Japan Morning Connection: US Relief Rally Sending JP Futures Sharply Higher

Israel bows to US pressure, Japan to begin bilateral trade talks. US shippers despite global trade decline. Samsung numbers beat with Galaxy S25...

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): A US$1.1 Billion Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 21 and...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Panic Tactic Working Hook, Line, and Sinker

​Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Positioning With a Few Days to Implementation

Baycurrent could follow Nitori's playbook. Mitsubishi Logistics could drop some more. Kokusai is underperforming the SOX. Okuma and Tokuyama are up...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

​Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...

Andrew Jackson

Futures and commodity markets drop, Vietnam related names up after they showed willingless to cut US tariffs, Nintendo cancels Switch2 pre-sales...

Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...