Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Risk-On names leading gainers in tech, while consumer disc weak after poor airlines and retailer guidance.</li>
<li>More outlets reporting on NAND hikes are on the way...look for upside for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.</li>
<li>Puma -10.7% and a weak consumer outlook enough to take the shine off Asics?</li>
</ul>


Risk-On names leading gainers in tech, while consumer disc weak after poor airlines and retailer guidance.
More outlets reporting on NAND hikes are on the way...look for upside for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.
Puma -10.7% and a weak consumer outlook enough to take the shine off Asics?


Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

<ul>
<li>Japan's SPE rebound yesterday led by Lasertec -10% may be short lived.</li>
<li>However, NVDA's week-long developers conference from Monday may act as dip buying catalyst.</li>
<li>Still room for EU related plays to gain with many related names inherently defensive.</li>
</ul>


Japan's SPE rebound yesterday led by Lasertec -10% may be short lived.
However, NVDA's week-long developers conference from Monday may act as dip buying catalyst.
Still room for EU related plays to gain with many related names inherently defensive.


Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

<ul>
<li>Sandisk +9.7% on reports it will be hiking NAND prices by 10% in April. More to go for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric?</li>
<li>Allegro running out of oomph but I would keep adding Sanken despite the jump.</li>
<li>Nintendo -9.2% Friday on tariff concerns excessive ahead of upcoming Switch2 announcement in April.</li>
</ul>


Sandisk +9.7% on reports it will be hiking NAND prices by 10% in April. More to go for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric?
Allegro running out of oomph but I would keep adding Sanken despite the jump.
Nintendo -9.2% Friday on tariff concerns excessive ahead of upcoming Switch2 announcement in April.


Japan Morning Connection: US Dip Buying for Tech Should See Dip Buying in Japan to Start.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Did Trump do <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CKH (1 HK)</a> a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?</li>
<li>An OK package for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>. Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.</li>
</ul>


Did Trump do CKH (1 HK) a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?
An OK package for Seven &amp; I (3382 JP). Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.

Macromill (3978 JP)'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the offer announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>/JPB’s shares have declined by 2.5%. On 3 March, JPB completed the ToSTNeT-3 buyback by acquiring 13.3 million shares for JPY20 billion.</li>
<li>To understand JPB's trading pattern, it is instructive to examine its 2023 offering, <a target="_blank">Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)</a>/JPI’s 2019 offering, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a>/ JPH’s 2021 offering.</li>
<li>JPB’s shares follow the trading pattern playbook of its 2023 and JPH’s 2021 offerings, in which investors buying the offer were rewarded with positive returns at the payment date.</li>
</ul>


Since the offer announcement, Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)/JPB’s shares have declined by 2.5%. On 3 March, JPB completed the ToSTNeT-3 buyback by acquiring 13.3 million shares for JPY20 billion.
To understand JPB's trading pattern, it is instructive to examine its 2023 offering, Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)/JPI’s 2019 offering, and Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)/ JPH’s 2021 offering.
JPB’s shares follow the trading pattern playbook of its 2023 and JPH’s 2021 offerings, in which investors buying the offer were rewarded with positive returns at the payment date.


Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): The Current Playbook

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

Consumer discretionary struggling due to poor guidance from airlines and retailers. NAND price hikes expected to benefit Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Dip Buying for Tech Should See Dip Buying in Japan to Start.

Sandisk report on hiked NAND prices may cause peers Kioxia and Kokusai Elec to rally. Nintendo drops on excessive tarrif concerns. Sanken may have...

Andrew Jackson

Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): The Current Playbook

JPB’s shares follow the trading pattern playbook of its 2023 and JPH’s 2021 offerings, in which investors buying the offer were rewarded with...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

Consumer discretionary struggling due to poor guidance from airlines and retailers. NAND price hikes expected to benefit Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

​Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Dip Buying for Tech Should See Dip Buying in Japan to Start.

​Sandisk report on hiked NAND prices may cause peers Kioxia and Kokusai Elec to rally. Nintendo drops on excessive tarrif concerns. Sanken may have...

Andrew Jackson

Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): The Current Playbook

JPB’s shares follow the trading pattern playbook of its 2023 and JPH’s 2021 offerings, in which investors buying the offer were rewarded with...

Arun George

Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

Sandisk report on hiked NAND prices may cause peers Kioxia and Kokusai Elec to rally. Nintendo drops on excessive tarrif concerns. Sanken may have...