Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The US released its framework for further semiconductor related export restrictions to China late last week, including access to quantum computers and components, chipmaking tools including gate all-around (GAA) technologies.</li>
<li>US homebuilders jumped after a survey showed new home orders rebounded sharply in August ahead of the expected rate cuts in September.</li>
<li>Plenty of positive headlines for Alimentation Couche-Tard's bid for 7&amp;I, including comments that they are confident financing the deal in cash, and ready and willing to advance friendly discussions.</li>
</ul>


The US released its framework for further semiconductor related export restrictions to China late last week, including access to quantum computers and components, chipmaking tools including gate all-around (GAA) technologies.
US homebuilders jumped after a survey showed new home orders rebounded sharply in August ahead of the expected rate cuts in September.
Plenty of positive headlines for Alimentation Couche-Tard's bid for 7&amp;I, including comments that they are confident financing the deal in cash, and ready and willing to advance friendly discussions.


Japan Morning Connection: US Export Curbs Tighten on China

<ul>
<li>Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.</li>
<li>Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.</li>
<li>Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.</li>
</ul>


Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.
Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.
Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>US profit-taking in tech/growth will set a muted tone to start as the market holds its breath for comments from BoJ Gov. Ueda who addresses parliament this morning.</li>
<li>China chip imports at record highs may add to pressure for the US to broaden its export restrictions for specific technologies as well as  for legacy node equipment.</li>
<li>Koizumi leading the polls will be positive for renewable energy names which remain highly oversold after the multi-year weakness in Japanese small caps.</li>
</ul>


US profit-taking in tech/growth will set a muted tone to start as the market holds its breath for comments from BoJ Gov. Ueda who addresses parliament this morning.
China chip imports at record highs may add to pressure for the US to broaden its export restrictions for specific technologies as well as  for legacy node equipment.
Koizumi leading the polls will be positive for renewable energy names which remain highly oversold after the multi-year weakness in Japanese small caps.


Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

<ul>
<li>Upbeat results briefing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc</a> on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.</li>
<li>With numbers out for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/155896/Pan%20Pacific%20International%20Holdings%20(7532%20JP)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PPIH</a> on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.</li>
<li>AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?</li>
</ul>


Upbeat results briefing from Asahi Intecc on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.
With numbers out for PPIH on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.
AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?


Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

<ul>
<li>ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.</li>
<li>Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">TEL (8035)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai (6525).</a>
</li>
<li>Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8790:1" rel="noopener">KHI (7012 JP)</a> rebound sharply also.</li>
</ul>


ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see Softbank Group (9984 JP) rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.
Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of TEL (8035) and Kokusai (6525).

Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) and KHI (7012 JP) rebound sharply also.


Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Export Curbs Tighten on China

US tightens semiconductor related export restrictions to China, US homebuilders see surge in new home orders, positive headlines surround...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: US Export Curbs Tighten on China

​US tightens semiconductor related export restrictions to China, US homebuilders see surge in new home orders, positive headlines surround...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

​Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

​US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

​Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

​ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

US tightens semiconductor related export restrictions to China, US homebuilders see surge in new home orders, positive headlines surround...

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...