Investment Advisor, Upslope Capital Management

Upslope Capital Management

Investment Advisor

Investment advisor for Upslope Partners Fund, LP, a global long/short equity hedge fund.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.</li><li>After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.</li><li>While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.</li></ul>

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.
The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]
Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. 


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$555m in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) is looking to raise up to US$555m in its Korean IPO.
HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about peer comparison.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO - Peer Comparison - Not Particularly Exciting

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, the ship after-service subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$550 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hd-hyundai-marine-solutions-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:135501" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the ship after-service subsidiary of HD Hyundai (267250 KS), aims to raise up to US$550 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case. 
We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, the ship after-service subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$550 million.   </li>
<li>The international book-building will run from 8 to 22 April, while the domestic book will open from 16 to 22 April. Pricing will be announced on 24 April.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the ship after-service subsidiary of HD Hyundai (267250 KS), aims to raise up to US$550 million.   
The international book-building will run from 8 to 22 April, while the domestic book will open from 16 to 22 April. Pricing will be announced on 24 April.
The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.


HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case

Norway

Kongsberg Gruppen ASA develops, manufactures and markets high-technology aerospace and defense products, as well as systems for armed forces in Norway and other countries.  The Company produces anti-ship missiles, launchers, missile control systems, weapon control systems, and maritime and air traffic surveillance systems.

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Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG NO)

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the...

Upslope Capital Management

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO - Peer Comparison - Not Particularly Exciting

HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) is looking to raise up to US$555m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about peer comparison.

Ethan Aw

HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George

HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)