Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a> since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.</li>
</ul>


With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>85% of the way through the review period, there could be 4 adds and 5 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 4-8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds outperformed the potential deletes early in the review period before giving up all the gains over the following months.</li>
</ul>


85% of the way through the review period, there could be 4 adds and 5 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 4-8 days of ADV.
The potential adds outperformed the potential deletes early in the review period before giving up all the gains over the following months.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Adds, 5 Deletes Likely in December

<ul>
<li>Today is the last trading day in the review period for the October rebalance of the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> is a high probability add and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a> is a high probability delete. This will reverse the changes from the April rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 3.5x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> and sell nearly 2x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Today is the last trading day in the review period for the October rebalance of the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index.

Wonik Ips (240810 KS) is a high probability add and ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) is a high probability delete. This will reverse the changes from the April rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 3.5x ADV in Wonik Ips (240810 KS) and sell nearly 2x ADV in ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS). 


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Wonik IPS to Replace ISC

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to KRW 984bn (US$738m), valuing the company at KRW 5tn (US$3.75bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Close peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and regional peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> have been trading lower recently and the IPO could price lower than the top end.</li>
<li>The change in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> Fast Entry rules will leave the stock out of the index till June 2025. Inclusion in global indices will have to wait a while too.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 984bn (US$738m), valuing the company at KRW 5tn (US$3.75bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
Close peer KakaoBank (323410 KS) and regional peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) have been trading lower recently and the IPO could price lower than the top end.
The change in KOSPI2 INDEX Fast Entry rules will leave the stock out of the index till June 2025. Inclusion in global indices will have to wait a while too.


K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The last 2 weeks have been painful for investors that were LONG the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a>, and this week is not very promising either.</li>
<li>The index has advanced less than 3% since its last WEEKLY negative Close on September 6th.</li>
<li>The index is in its 3rd consecutive week up (to be confirmed this Friday at the Close) but the current pattern usually ends on the third week up and reverses.</li>
</ul>


The last 2 weeks have been painful for investors that were LONG the KOSPI 200 INDEX, and this week is not very promising either.
The index has advanced less than 3% since its last WEEKLY negative Close on September 6th.
The index is in its 3rd consecutive week up (to be confirmed this Friday at the Close) but the current pattern usually ends on the third week up and reverses.


EQD | A Very Weak KOSPI 200 Is Ready to Pull Back Again

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

There could be 10 changes for the index in December. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV. The adds have outperformed the deletes since...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Adds, 5 Deletes Likely in December

There could be 4 adds, 5 deletes for the KOSPI200 in December. Passive impact ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV. The adds outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Wonik IPS to Replace ISC

Wonik IPS is a high probability add and ISC is a high probability delete in October. Once implemented, this will reverse changes from April....

Brian Freitas

K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

K Bank is looking to raise up to US$738m, valuing the company at US$3.75bn at the top end of the IPO range. Inclusion in the KOSPI200 and global...

Brian Freitas

EQD | A Very Weak KOSPI 200 Is Ready to Pull Back Again

Investors in the KOSPI 200 INDEX have witnessed a modest rally in the nearly 3 weeks after the sell-off (the index has advanced < 2.5% during this...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

There could be 10 changes for the index in December. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV. The adds have outperformed the deletes since...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Adds, 5 Deletes Likely in December

There could be 4 adds, 5 deletes for the KOSPI200 in December. Passive impact ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV. The adds outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Wonik IPS to Replace ISC

Wonik IPS is a high probability add and ISC is a high probability delete in October. Once implemented, this will reverse changes from April....

Brian Freitas

K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

K Bank is looking to raise up to US$738m, valuing the company at US$3.75bn at the top end of the IPO range. Inclusion in the KOSPI200 and global...

Brian Freitas

EQD | A Very Weak KOSPI 200 Is Ready to Pull Back Again

​Investors in the KOSPI 200 INDEX have witnessed a modest rally in the nearly 3 weeks after the sell-off (the index has advanced < 2.5% during this...

Nico Rosti

Investors in the KOSPI 200 INDEX have witnessed a modest rally in the nearly 3 weeks after the sell-off (the index has advanced < 2.5% during this...