Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KRX has announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4454:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae International Co (031430 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the close on 14 March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> while selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4454:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae International (031430 KS)</a> is larger at over 7 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F (066970 KS)</a> lists on the KOSPI market on 29 January; there is a possibility that the stock is also added to the index in March as a Fast Entry.</li>
</ul>


KRX has announced that Posco DX (022100 KS) will replace Shinsegae International Co (031430 KS) in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the close on 14 March.
Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5 days of ADV in Posco DX (022100 KS) while selling in Shinsegae International (031430 KS) is larger at over 7 days of ADV.

L&amp;F (066970 KS) lists on the KOSPI market on 29 January; there is a possibility that the stock is also added to the index in March as a Fast Entry.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The China equity markets have continued to slide and the lower market caps and free float market caps will see a lot of stocks deleted from passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>We currently estimate selling of around US$1.66bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland, in HK and the U.S., and that number could increase as markets continue to underperform.</li>
<li>The potential deletes have dropped a lot over the last 4 months and there has been a marked underperformance versus the headline indices over the last month.</li>
</ul>


The China equity markets have continued to slide and the lower market caps and free float market caps will see a lot of stocks deleted from passive portfolios in February.
We currently estimate selling of around US$1.66bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland, in HK and the U.S., and that number could increase as markets continue to underperform.
The potential deletes have dropped a lot over the last 4 months and there has been a marked underperformance versus the headline indices over the last month.


China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 29 January. That means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> deletion at the close on 26 January.</li>
<li>As the highest ranked non-constituent from the Information Technology sector at the December rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13269:1" rel="noopener">Seronics Co Ltd (042600 KS)</a> will be added to the index.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co (066970 KS)</a> is 1.8m shares (KRW 364bn; 4.98% of shares outstanding; 7.24% of float; 2.4x ADV). There could be recalls from passives and forced covering.</li>
</ul>



L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 29 January. That means KOSDAQ 150 Index deletion at the close on 26 January.
As the highest ranked non-constituent from the Information Technology sector at the December rebalance, Seronics Co Ltd (042600 KS) will be added to the index.
Short interest on L&amp;F Co (066970 KS) is 1.8m shares (KRW 364bn; 4.98% of shares outstanding; 7.24% of float; 2.4x ADV). There could be recalls from passives and forced covering.


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KRX notified local brokerages last week about allowing market orders for single stock futures (SSF) from April. Currently, 192 SSFs are listed.</li>
<li>Anticipating short-term effects, heightened frequency and impact of erroneous orders may cause spot market confusion. KRX plans real-time bid disclosure for SSFs to prevent price distortions.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, we will likely observe SSF price volatility surges. Real-time bid exposure could exacerbate volatility due to premature information revelation. Preemptive position setups considering these factors are advised.</li>
</ul>


KRX notified local brokerages last week about allowing market orders for single stock futures (SSF) from April. Currently, 192 SSFs are listed.
Anticipating short-term effects, heightened frequency and impact of erroneous orders may cause spot market confusion. KRX plans real-time bid disclosure for SSFs to prevent price distortions.
Nonetheless, we will likely observe SSF price volatility surges. Real-time bid exposure could exacerbate volatility due to premature information revelation. Preemptive position setups considering these factors are advised.


KRX Introduces Market Orders for Single Stock Futures: Potential Trading Impacts

Budweiser Brewing  APAC  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

PoscoDX will be added to the KOSPI200 in March as a Fast Entry. Shinsegae Intl will be deleted. LnF lists on the KOSPI market on 29Jan and could...

Brian Freitas

China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling

A rapidly falling market could be upwards of 74 China stocks being deleted from passive portfolios. These stocks have underperformed the headline...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F

Seronics will replace L&F in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on 26 January. There is still a lot of short interest on L&F and there could be...

Brian Freitas

KRX Introduces Market Orders for Single Stock Futures: Potential Trading Impacts

This post investigates KRX's plans to introduce market orders for single stock futures in Korea and looks into potential impacts from a trading...

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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