Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD481.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD748mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD481.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD748mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Korean government has introduced policies ahead of April's elections, with a recent notable announcement addressing the "Korea Discount" by enhancing low PBR stock valuations.</li>
<li>A leading proposal involves creating an index of low PBR companies. There are hints of listing ETFs tracking this index, with potential directives compelling pension funds to invest.</li>
<li>Identifying early inclusions is vital. High-likelihood candidates are low PBR large caps with maintained earnings, dividends/share buyback potential, including Hyundai Dept, E-Mart, Hyundai Steel, IBK, Korean Re, &amp; DL E&amp;C.</li>
</ul>


The Korean government has introduced policies ahead of April's elections, with a recent notable announcement addressing the "Korea Discount" by enhancing low PBR stock valuations.
A leading proposal involves creating an index of low PBR companies. There are hints of listing ETFs tracking this index, with potential directives compelling pension funds to invest.
Identifying early inclusions is vital. High-likelihood candidates are low PBR large caps with maintained earnings, dividends/share buyback potential, including Hyundai Dept, E-Mart, Hyundai Steel, IBK, Korean Re, &amp; DL E&amp;C.


Identifying Specific Implementation Plans for Korea's Low-PBR Improvement Policy

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) stated today that it will cancel its IPO mainly due to low demand.</li>
<li>Despite the company's emphasis on high dividends and high ROA of 5.8% in 2022 (5x average ROA of the domestic non-life insurance companies), many institutional investors emphasized on the negatives.</li>
<li>The major negatives include high interest rates, lack of growth potential, concerns about additional shares sale overhang, and unattractive valuations. </li>
</ul>


Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) stated today that it will cancel its IPO mainly due to low demand.
Despite the company's emphasis on high dividends and high ROA of 5.8% in 2022 (5x average ROA of the domestic non-life insurance companies), many institutional investors emphasized on the negatives.
The major negatives include high interest rates, lack of growth potential, concerns about additional shares sale overhang, and unattractive valuations. 


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO - Cancelled

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a>, a leading guarantee provider in Korea, is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to KRW362 billion (US$272 million).</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seoul-guarantee-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113213" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seoul-guarantee-insurance-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113296" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS), a leading guarantee provider in Korea, is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to KRW362 billion (US$272 million).
We previously discussed the IPO in Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bull Case and Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a>, a leading guarantee provider in Korea, is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to KRW362 billion (US$272 million).</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seoul-guarantee-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113213" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on ongoing market share losses, weak performing credit insurance business, a 1H23 increase in the combined ratio and a decline in ROA/ROE metrics. </li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS), a leading guarantee provider in Korea, is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to KRW362 billion (US$272 million).
In Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on ongoing market share losses, weak performing credit insurance business, a 1H23 increase in the combined ratio and a decline in ROA/ROE metrics. 


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

South Korea

Korean Reinsurance Company is a reinsurer which underwrites life and non-life insurance.  The Company's products include life, fire, marine, auto, casualty, guarantee, pension, long-term, and foreign reinsurance.

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Korean Reinsurance Co (003690 KS)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Identifying Specific Implementation Plans for Korea's Low-PBR Improvement Policy

You'll find the Excel file with targeted names related to low PBR attached below in the DISCUSSION Section. I screened based on estimated consensus...

Sanghyun Park

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO - Cancelled

Seoul Guarantee Insurance cancelled IPO due to low demand as institutional investors highlighted negatives including interest rates, lack of...

Douglas Kim

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we...

Arun George

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on ongoing market share losses, weak performing credit insurance business, a 1H23 increase in the combined ratio and a decline...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Naver, Samsung Electronics, Alteogen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Identifying Specific Implementation Plans for Korea's Low-PBR Improvement Policy

You'll find the Excel file with targeted names related to low PBR attached below in the DISCUSSION Section. I screened based on estimated consensus...

Sanghyun Park

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO - Cancelled

​Seoul Guarantee Insurance cancelled IPO due to low demand as institutional investors highlighted negatives including interest rates, lack of...

Douglas Kim

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we...

Arun George

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on ongoing market share losses, weak performing credit insurance business, a 1H23 increase in the combined ratio and a decline...

Arun George

Seoul Guarantee Insurance cancelled IPO due to low demand as institutional investors highlighted negatives including interest rates, lack of...