Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This article provides an update on a previously identified pair trading opportunity between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance (BAF IN)</a>, based on statistical mean reversion analysis.</li>
<li>
Key Insights: The trade has now reached its exit signal as the price ratio reverted to its one-standard deviation band, yielding a +4.7% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read It: For investors interested in quantitative trading strategies, this article demonstrates how statistical arbitrage can generate short-term alpha and highlights actionable similar opportunities in the current market.</li>
</ul>



Context: This article provides an update on a previously identified pair trading opportunity between Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) and Bajaj Finance (BAF IN), based on statistical mean reversion analysis.

Key Insights: The trade has now reached its exit signal as the price ratio reverted to its one-standard deviation band, yielding a +4.7% return.

Why Read It: For investors interested in quantitative trading strategies, this article demonstrates how statistical arbitrage can generate short-term alpha and highlights actionable similar opportunities in the current market.


Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) - Trade Exit and Take Profit

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a> Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>While one of the two companies displays higher revenue growth, the valuation might begin to become stretched. Fundamental key figures are provided to complement the statistical analysis.</li>
<li>Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.</li>
</ul>


The Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
While one of the two companies displays higher revenue growth, the valuation might begin to become stretched. Fundamental key figures are provided to complement the statistical analysis.
Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.


Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Jun 2023, CPPIB raised around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a>. Prior to that it had sold a similar amount in Mar 2022.</li>
<li>CPPIB will be released from its placement linked lockup early next month.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and past deals performance.</li>
</ul>


In Jun 2023, CPPIB raised around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN). Prior to that it had sold a similar amount in Mar 2022.
CPPIB will be released from its placement linked lockup early next month.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and past deals performance.


Kotak Mahindra Bank - US$1.2 Billion Lockup Release

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (1546271D IN) </a>is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance earlier. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations in the price range.</li>
</ul>



Meesho (1546271D IN) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO.
Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance earlier. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations in the price range.


Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.</li>
<li>SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.</li>
<li>The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.</li>
</ul>


In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.
SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.
The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited is a full service commercial bank. The Bank offers a wide range of products and services such as personal, commercial, and corporate banking services, including deposit accounts, loans, and investments. Kotak Mahindra Bank serves customers in India.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) - Trade Exit and Take Profit

Update on pair trading opportunity between Kotak Mahindra Bank and Bajaj Finance. The pair has profitably mean-reverted, showcasing the potential...

Gaudenz Schneider

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play

The Price-ratio between Bajaj Finance Ltd and Kotak Mahindra Bank signals a potential relative value opportunity. Trade setup, risk management,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Kotak Mahindra Bank - US$1.2 Billion Lockup Release

In Jun 2023, CPPIB raised around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN). Prior to that it had sold a similar amount in...

Sumeet Singh

Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced

Meesho Ltd (ML) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s implied valuations in the...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

The methodology and capping changes for the Nifty Bank Index will be implemented in 4 tranches, likely ending in March. The flows are big and the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) - Trade Exit and Take Profit

​Update on pair trading opportunity between Kotak Mahindra Bank and Bajaj Finance. The pair has profitably mean-reverted, showcasing the potential...

Gaudenz Schneider

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play

​The Price-ratio between Bajaj Finance Ltd and Kotak Mahindra Bank signals a potential relative value opportunity. Trade setup, risk management,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Kotak Mahindra Bank - US$1.2 Billion Lockup Release

In Jun 2023, CPPIB raised around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN). Prior to that it had sold a similar amount in...

Sumeet Singh

Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced

Meesho Ltd (ML) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s implied valuations in the...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

The methodology and capping changes for the Nifty Bank Index will be implemented in 4 tranches, likely ending in March. The flows are big and the...

Brian Freitas

Update on pair trading opportunity between Kotak Mahindra Bank and Bajaj Finance. The pair has profitably mean-reverted, showcasing the potential...

The Price-ratio between Bajaj Finance Ltd and Kotak Mahindra Bank signals a potential relative value opportunity. Trade setup, risk management,...