Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

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Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.</li>
<li>Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. </li>
<li>KPIT's new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.</li>
</ul>


Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.
Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. 
KPIT's new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.


KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

<ul>
<li>KPIT raised its full-year FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ from 27-30% earlier, led by a strong Q2FY24 performance. EBITDA margin guidance has been also raised to 20%+ from 19-20%.</li>
<li>Despite wage hike impact of 250bp, EBITDA margin came in at 20%, at the upper end of the 19-20% FY24 guidance. Operating leverage and realization improvement helped offset the impact.</li>
<li>With the strong Q2 performance, we are upgrading our FY24 PAT estimate to INR 580cr+ vs INR 550cr+ earlier and FY25 PAT of INR 730cr+ vs INR 700cr+ earlier.</li>
</ul>


KPIT raised its full-year FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ from 27-30% earlier, led by a strong Q2FY24 performance. EBITDA margin guidance has been also raised to 20%+ from 19-20%.
Despite wage hike impact of 250bp, EBITDA margin came in at 20%, at the upper end of the 19-20% FY24 guidance. Operating leverage and realization improvement helped offset the impact.
With the strong Q2 performance, we are upgrading our FY24 PAT estimate to INR 580cr+ vs INR 550cr+ earlier and FY25 PAT of INR 730cr+ vs INR 700cr+ earlier.


<ul>
<li>KPIT reported a strong Q1FY24 with 7.1% constant-currency (CC) revenue growth and EBIDTA growth of 13.3% QoQ. EBITDA margin expanded by 90bp QoQ to end at 20%.</li>
<li>KPIT is upbeat about the demand environment. OEMs are continuing to spend heavily on new technologies. KPIT itself is investing significantly in R&amp;D, especially Generative AI.</li>
<li>Deal wins was healthy at $190mm vs typical run-rate of $150mm+. The pipeline is also healthy across practices.</li>
</ul>


KPIT reported a strong Q1FY24 with 7.1% constant-currency (CC) revenue growth and EBIDTA growth of 13.3% QoQ. EBITDA margin expanded by 90bp QoQ to end at 20%.
KPIT is upbeat about the demand environment. OEMs are continuing to spend heavily on new technologies. KPIT itself is investing significantly in R&amp;D, especially Generative AI.
Deal wins was healthy at $190mm vs typical run-rate of $150mm+. The pipeline is also healthy across practices.


<ul>
<li>KPIT reported a strong Q4FY23 with 8.5% QoQ growth in CC (Constant Currency) terms. Q4FY23 EBITDA margin at 19.1% came in higher than 18.5%+ expected.</li>
<li>Deal TCV came in highest ever helped by a mega deal of INR $250mm. Even excluding the mega deal, the deal TCV was healthy at $173mm vs $150mm+ typically.</li>
<li>KPIT has guided for an upbeat FY24. FY24 revenue growth is guided to be 27-30% in CC terms. FY24 EBITDA margin is guided at 19-20% vs 18.9% in FY23.</li>
</ul>


KPIT reported a strong Q4FY23 with 8.5% QoQ growth in CC (Constant Currency) terms. Q4FY23 EBITDA margin at 19.1% came in higher than 18.5%+ expected.
Deal TCV came in highest ever helped by a mega deal of INR $250mm. Even excluding the mega deal, the deal TCV was healthy at $173mm vs $150mm+ typically.
KPIT has guided for an upbeat FY24. FY24 revenue growth is guided to be 27-30% in CC terms. FY24 EBITDA margin is guided at 19-20% vs 18.9% in FY23.


KPIT Tech: Strong Q4FY23 and Upbeat FY24 Guidance

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

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Equity Capital Markets

Tata Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> priced its IPO at Rs500 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$365 million. The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tata-technologies-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117597" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tata-technologies-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117850" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment on the sector has improved. In 2023, Indian IPOs with a &gt;US$100 million raise had an average first-day gain of 28.3%. The IPO price is attractive.  </li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) priced its IPO at Rs500 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$365 million. The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Tata Technologies IPO: The Investment Case and Tata Technologies IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The market sentiment on the sector has improved. In 2023, Indian IPOs with a &gt;US$100 million raise had an average first-day gain of 28.3%. The IPO price is attractive.  


India

KPIT Technologies Limited operates as a technology company. The Company specializes in embedded software, artificial intelligence, and digital solutions. KPIT Technologies serves automobile industry worldwide.

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KPIT Technologies (KPITTECH IN)

KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

KPIT reported a strong Q3FY24 and is on track to beat even its upgraded FY24 guidance. Its new initiative, Qorix, is progressing well and holds...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT: Raises Its Full-Year FY24 Guidance

Post the strong Q2FY24 performance, KPIT has upgraded its FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ YoY vs 27-30% earlier. EBITDA margin guidance has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT: Stellar Q1FY24 Earnings

KPIT offers an upside potential of 19%+ IRR over a holding period of <3 years, through the end of FY26. KPIT is a direct beneficiary of rapid...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT Tech: Strong Q4FY23 and Upbeat FY24 Guidance

KPIT reported a strong Q4FY23 with QoQ growth of 8.5% in Constant Currency terms. Margins also came in better than expected. Furthermore, KPIT has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Tata Technologies IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has improved. In 2023, Indian IPOs with a >US$100 million raise had an average first-day gain of 28.3%. The IPO...

Arun George

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