Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.</li>
<li>The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.</li>
<li>AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.</li>
</ul>


The changes for the KOSPI2 INDEX, KOSDAQ150 Index, CSI300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.
The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.
AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.

Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We estimate that the re-approval of PUBG Mobile in the India will contribute to a 5% increase in Krafton’s annual revenue/profit.</li>
<li>Despite being banned in India for several times, PUBG Mobile is expected to receive a warm welcome from local players due to its high quality gameplay and good device compatibility.</li>
<li>We upgraded our rating to "Buy" in Feb.2023, citing reasons such as PUBG Mobile stabilizing in key markets and Bluehole's new product schedule. Currently, we remain optimistic view about Krafton</li>
</ul>


We estimate that the re-approval of PUBG Mobile in the India will contribute to a 5% increase in Krafton’s annual revenue/profit.
Despite being banned in India for several times, PUBG Mobile is expected to receive a warm welcome from local players due to its high quality gameplay and good device compatibility.
We upgraded our rating to "Buy" in Feb.2023, citing reasons such as PUBG Mobile stabilizing in key markets and Bluehole's new product schedule. Currently, we remain optimistic view about Krafton


Krafton Inc (259960 KS)： PUBG's Re-Approval in India Could Bring 5% Revenue/Profit Upside

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Krafton has announced a meaningful shareholder return policy including shares buyback, cancellation, and share based compensation in the next three years.</li>
<li>The combination of improving shareholder return policy along with new games development and China's opening up of its game industry to overseas game makers are likely to positively impact Krafton.</li>
<li>Given Krafton's current market cap of 8.9 trillion won, the estimated share buybacks of 713 billion won would represent 8% of market cap over three years. </li>
</ul>


Krafton has announced a meaningful shareholder return policy including shares buyback, cancellation, and share based compensation in the next three years.
The combination of improving shareholder return policy along with new games development and China's opening up of its game industry to overseas game makers are likely to positively impact Krafton.
Given Krafton's current market cap of 8.9 trillion won, the estimated share buybacks of 713 billion won would represent 8% of market cap over three years. 


Krafton: Improving Corporate Governance Through Shares Cancellation & Stock Based Compensation

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

There is 1 change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet & Game indices. There are some close contests among the top 3 stocks...

Brian Freitas

Krafton Inc (259960 KS)： PUBG's Re-Approval in India Could Bring 5% Revenue/Profit Upside

We estimate that the re-approval of PUBG Mobile in the India will contribute to a 5% increase in Krafton’s annual revenue/profit.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

We forecast one change to the Secondary Battery and Game indices and two changes to the BBIG Index. There are big flows and impact on a few stocks....

Brian Freitas

Krafton: Improving Corporate Governance Through Shares Cancellation & Stock Based Compensation

Krafton has announced a meaningful shareholder return policy including shares buyback, cancellation, and share based compensation in the next three...

Douglas Kim

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