Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalancing should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and four members with -5%p or harsher.</li>
<li>It seems better to outright trade individual liquidity-rich stocks: SK Bioscience, SKIET, Kakao Bank, and Krafton.</li>
<li>Considering that SKIET's recent share price correction was severe, we may want to take a relatively long trading window for SKIET while taking a tighter approach to the rest.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalancing should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and four members with -5%p or harsher.
It seems better to outright trade individual liquidity-rich stocks: SK Bioscience, SKIET, Kakao Bank, and Krafton.
Considering that SKIET's recent share price correction was severe, we may want to take a relatively long trading window for SKIET while taking a tighter approach to the rest.


KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: Constituents with a Substantial Free Float Change

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Krafton posted relatively strong numbers for its 3Q with both revenue and OP above sellside estimates.</li>
<li>The analyst questions predictably focused on potential cannibalisation by PUBG New State and of course the metaverse. LOL</li>
<li>With New State having various issues at launch though that may be the least of Krafton's worries.</li>
</ul>


Krafton posted relatively strong numbers for its 3Q with both revenue and OP above sellside estimates.
The analyst questions predictably focused on potential cannibalisation by PUBG New State and of course the metaverse. LOL
With New State having various issues at launch though that may be the least of Krafton's worries.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In the earnings conference today, NCsoft stated that the company plans to launch a blockchain, NFT based game in 2022, which was the biggest highlight in the earnings conference call.</li>
<li>NCsoft reported slightly worse than expected results in 3Q 2021. Despite these results, the market chose to focus on NCsoft's push into the blockchain, NFT based games. </li>
<li>The entire Korean game industry could be re-rated in the coming weeks, bolstered by the ability to capture new markets and customers through the blockchain, NFT based games. </li>
</ul>


In the earnings conference today, NCsoft stated that the company plans to launch a blockchain, NFT based game in 2022, which was the biggest highlight in the earnings conference call.
NCsoft reported slightly worse than expected results in 3Q 2021. Despite these results, the market chose to focus on NCsoft's push into the blockchain, NFT based games. 
The entire Korean game industry could be re-rated in the coming weeks, bolstered by the ability to capture new markets and customers through the blockchain, NFT based games. 


NCsoft - Launch of Blockchain, NFT Based Game [Re-Rating of the Entire Game Sector in Korea?]

<h2>M&amp;A of Lionheart Studio by Kakao Games Corp </h2>In this insight, we discuss the increasing likelihood of an IPO of Lionheart Studio post its controlling stake purchase by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>.  Kakao Games first made its investment in Lionheart Studio in May 2020 and the partnership between the two companies started in August 2018. On 1 November, <a href="https://pulsenews.co.kr/view.php?year=2021&amp;no=1033976" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Games</a> announced that it will acquire an additional 30.37% stake in Lionheart Studio Corp, raising its total stake to 52%.Lionheart Studio is well known for its blockbuster mobile game Odin: Valhalla Rising which was launched in Korea in June 2021 and it was ranked as the top grossing mobile game for 18 weeks in a row at Apple and Google Play app stores in Korea. Kakao Games Corp's subsidiary Kakao Games Europe B.V. will acquire a 30.37% stake in Lionheart Studio by paying 450 billion won for this stake. Lionheart Studio is now valued at 1.5 trillion won. The upfront payment for this acquisition will be made on November 23, 2021. The final acquisition amount will be finalized after Lionheart Studio provides its final business performance through June 30, 2022. Overall, we believe that this M&amp;A of Lionheart Studio and the potential IPO of Lionheart Studio will likely have a positive impact on Kakao Games Corp shares as the company's Odin: Valhalla Rising mobile game has been so successful in reaching top market share for mobile games in Korea.

M&amp;A of Lionheart Studio by Kakao Games Corp In this insight, we discuss the increasing likelihood of an IPO of Lionheart Studio post its controlling stake purchase by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS).  Kakao Games first made its investment in Lionheart Studio in May 2020 and the partnership between the two companies started in August 2018. On 1 November, Kakao Games announced that it will acquire an additional 30.37% stake in Lionheart Studio Corp, raising its total stake to 52%.Lionheart Studio is well known for its blockbuster mobile game Odin: Valhalla Rising which was launched in Korea in June 2021 and it was ranked as the top grossing mobile game for 18 weeks in a row at Apple and Google Play app stores in Korea. Kakao Games Corp's subsidiary Kakao Games Europe B.V. will acquire a 30.37% stake in Lionheart Studio by paying 450 billion won for this stake. Lionheart Studio is now valued at 1.5 trillion won. The upfront payment for this acquisition will be made on November 23, 2021. The final acquisition amount will be finalized after Lionheart Studio provides its final business performance through June 30, 2022. Overall, we believe that this M&amp;A of Lionheart Studio and the potential IPO of Lionheart Studio will likely have a positive impact on Kakao Games Corp shares as the company's Odin: Valhalla Rising mobile game has been so successful in reaching top market share for mobile games in Korea. 

M&A and IPO of Lionheart Studio & Put Option Clause for Its Executives - Impact on Kakao Games

Epic Games’ Fortnite will be shutting down in China on the 15th of November after a two-year testing period. This is a good sign to us that China’s gaming sector is now a structural short. It also increases the probability of our call that Epic may not need Tencent as a shareholder anymore being realised in some form or the other.

Epic Games’ Fortnite will be shutting down in China on the 15th of November after a two-year testing period. This is a good sign to us that China’s gaming sector is now a structural short. It also increases the probability of our call that Epic may not need Tencent as a shareholder anymore being realised in some form or the other.

Tencent – Fortnite Is Punching Out and You Should Too

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: Constituents with a Substantial Free Float Change

KOSPI 200 rebalancing next month should feature a total of 12 constituents having a ±5%p free float change: eight members with +5%p or greater and...

Sanghyun Park

Krafton – A Beat… Or Is It?

Analyst questions for Krafton at 3Q predictably focused on potential cannibalisation by PUBG New State and of course the metaverse. LOL.

Mio Kato

NCsoft - Launch of Blockchain, NFT Based Game [Re-Rating of the Entire Game Sector in Korea?]

In the earnings conference today, NCsoft stated that the company plans to launch a blockchain, NFT based game in 2022, which was the biggest...

Douglas Kim

M&A and IPO of Lionheart Studio & Put Option Clause for Its Executives - Impact on Kakao Games

In this insight, we discuss the increasing likelihood of an IPO of Lionheart Studio post its controlling stake purchase by Kakao Games Corp (293490...

Douglas Kim

Tencent – Fortnite Is Punching Out and You Should Too

Epic Games’ Fortnite will be shutting down in China on the 15th of November after a two-year testing period. This is a good sign to us that China’s...

Mio Kato

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