Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.</li>
<li>Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16</li>
<li>We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology</li>
</ul>


In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.
Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16
We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology


Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We recently visited some start-up game companies in China and concluded that the Chinese gaming market has entered a matured period of competition for existing users;</li>
<li>Tencent's games remain relatively stable, but information about new RMB 10bn level blockbusters is still unknown. New shooting games continue to appear, putting pressure on existing survival shooting games;</li>
<li>We (1) maintain our BUY for Tencent and Unity, (2) maintain SELL for Sea, and (3) downgrade Krafton to SELL to reflect the new competition that shooting games will face.</li>
</ul>


We recently visited some start-up game companies in China and concluded that the Chinese gaming market has entered a matured period of competition for existing users;
Tencent's games remain relatively stable, but information about new RMB 10bn level blockbusters is still unknown. New shooting games continue to appear, putting pressure on existing survival shooting games;
We (1) maintain our BUY for Tencent and Unity, (2) maintain SELL for Sea, and (3) downgrade Krafton to SELL to reflect the new competition that shooting games will face.


Tencent/SEA/Unity/Krafton: More Shooting Games Are Emerging, a Summary of Our Recent Channel Checks

ESG Analyst, Who's Good

Heejeong (Hollie) Park

ESG Analyst

ASIA’S FIRST AI-DRIVEN ESG INSIGHT PROVIDER

Who's Good

Using AI technologies and public data, Who’s Good provides objective and up-to-date corporate ESG insights on Asian companies.

WHY WHO'S GOOD

* Time-sensitive: Time is the essence in finance. Artificial Intelligence (AI) can process vast amount of information in a short span of time. Our powerful algorithm offers real-time in-depth corporate ESG analysis with out compromising its quality.
* Objective: We turned to public big data and news big data as source to base our analysis on and to preserve impartiality. We leverage 350 public big data sources and 93 news data sources in Korea to uncover insights.
* Insightful: Who’s Good ESG analysis coverage extends to all listed and non-listed companies in Korea. This allows us to provide a comprehensive insight into the Korean market.
* Global approach to ESG: Our ESG research framework is built on international standards and principles including UN Global Compact, ISO 26000, ICGN and CFA Guidelines on Corporate Governance to meet the global standards.

<ul>
<li>Recently, a controversy surrounding substantial crypto investments in the political sphere has exerted downward pressure on the stock prices of major listed game companies in South Korea. </li>
<li>In the past five years, there has been a shift in the gaming industry's risk landscape, with social risks giving way to governance risks.</li>
<li>Some game companies have started publishing sustainability reports, but challenges arise due to the inconsistency in environmental data and the difficulties in comparing companies.</li>
</ul>


Recently, a controversy surrounding substantial crypto investments in the political sphere has exerted downward pressure on the stock prices of major listed game companies in South Korea. 
In the past five years, there has been a shift in the gaming industry's risk landscape, with social risks giving way to governance risks.
Some game companies have started publishing sustainability reports, but challenges arise due to the inconsistency in environmental data and the difficulties in comparing companies.


ESG Incident Report: Changing Trends in ESG Risks for Major Listed Game Companies in South Korea

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  </li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.
We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>At the end of September 2022, Korean stocks accounted for 13.6% of total assets of the NPS whose target for domestic stock exposure is 15.9% by end of this year. </li>
<li>In recent months, NPS has been net increasing purchases of companies including Naver, Celltrion, POSCO Chemical, Samsung Life Insurance, and Krafton. </li>
<li>Although the allowable range for SAA by NPS is ±3%p, there is some leeway for NPS to add to the domestic equities given that they were much lower than target. </li>
</ul>


At the end of September 2022, Korean stocks accounted for 13.6% of total assets of the NPS whose target for domestic stock exposure is 15.9% by end of this year. 
In recent months, NPS has been net increasing purchases of companies including Naver, Celltrion, POSCO Chemical, Samsung Life Insurance, and Krafton. 
Although the allowable range for SAA by NPS is ±3%p, there is some leeway for NPS to add to the domestic equities given that they were much lower than target. 


NPS Could Raise Investments in Korean Stocks in December 2022

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

Our bullish outlook on global equities $ACWI remains intact. We are also upgrading Brazil $EWZ to overweight. We continue to expect a rally into...

Vermilion Research

Tencent/SEA/Unity/Krafton: More Shooting Games Are Emerging, a Summary of Our Recent Channel Checks

We (1) maintain our BUY for Tencent and Unity, (2) maintain SELL for Sea, and (3) downgrade Krafton to SELL to reflect the new competition that...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ESG Incident Report: Changing Trends in ESG Risks for Major Listed Game Companies in South Korea

This article uncovers the evolving landscape of ESG risks in the gaming industry, including the impact of cryptocurrency controversies and the...

Heejeong (Hollie) Park

GEM Weekly: 2022 Yearend Edition

In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which GEM stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed, and look forward...

Wium Malan, CFA

NPS Could Raise Investments in Korean Stocks in December 2022

At the end of September 2022, Korean stocks accounted for 13.6% of total assets of the NPS whose target for domestic stock exposure is 15.9% by end...

Douglas Kim

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