Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Thai equities lack growth and innovation. Big corporations continue to have unfair advantages in terms of access to bank financing and business opportunities.</li>
<li>Thailand is an aging society with rising income disparity and a stalling education system. Hence, we have questioned how Thailand will escape the middle income trap in the near term.</li>
<li>We expect more disruptions and policy blunders which could impair Thai stock performance. We do not believe Thailand can correct its cause in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Thai equities lack growth and innovation. Big corporations continue to have unfair advantages in terms of access to bank financing and business opportunities.
Thailand is an aging society with rising income disparity and a stalling education system. Hence, we have questioned how Thailand will escape the middle income trap in the near term.
We expect more disruptions and policy blunders which could impair Thai stock performance. We do not believe Thailand can correct its cause in the near term.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 21st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank, KCE Electronics, Bumrungrad Hospital, Central Pattana, Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank, Bumrungrad Hospital, Kce Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 21st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank, KCE Electronics, Bumrungrad Hospital, Central Pattana, Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank, Bumrungrad Hospital, Kce Electronics.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY (MRDIY MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> </li>
<li>There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast</a>, the LQ45 Index rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), MR DIY (MRDIY MK), UOB (UOB SP), and Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) 
There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, Vinfast, the LQ45 Index rebalance, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, and Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

TMBThanachart Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ing-groep-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21120:1" rel="noopener">ING Groep NV (INGA NA)</a> is looking to sell a stake of around 5.6% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tmbthanachart-bank-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8090:1" rel="noopener">TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB)</a> to raise up to US$500m via a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>TMBThanachart Bank (TTB) is one of Thailand’s largest commercial banks, formed through the 2019 merger of TMB Bank and Thanachart Bank, with a focus on retail, SME and corporate banking.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



ING Groep NV (INGA NA) is looking to sell a stake of around 5.6% in TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB) to raise up to US$500m via a secondary selldown.
TMBThanachart Bank (TTB) is one of Thailand’s largest commercial banks, formed through the 2019 merger of TMB Bank and Thanachart Bank, with a focus on retail, SME and corporate banking.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: TMBThanachart Bank Placement - Healthy Fundamentals, But Supply Overhang Remains

<ul>
<li>We are now in late July and Thailand still does not have a new Prime Minister (PM) yet.</li>
<li>We believe the future is very uncertain from now until next May when the senate power to elect the PM ends.</li>
<li>The uncertainty is by no means positive for Thailand’s capital market and our view toward any Thai assets remain negative in the near term.</li>
</ul>


We are now in late July and Thailand still does not have a new Prime Minister (PM) yet.
We believe the future is very uncertain from now until next May when the senate power to elect the PM ends.
The uncertainty is by no means positive for Thailand’s capital market and our view toward any Thai assets remain negative in the near term.


Thailand

Krung Thai Bank Public Company Limited is a state-owned commercial bank in Thailand, providing a comprehensive range of financial services including retail banking, corporate lending, and digital platforms like Krungthai NEXT and PaoTang. The bank offers various products such as deposits, loans, credit cards, insurance, and investment solutions to individual, business, and government clients. It was founded on March 14, 1966, and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB)

Thailand: Aging Poor

The political uncertainty in the past 2 decades has not subsided, in our judgment. We then expect more unpredictable disruptions and policy...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): Gulf Energy Development, TMBThanachart Bank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB), TMBThanachart...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Aequitas: TMBThanachart Bank Placement - Healthy Fundamentals, But Supply Overhang Remains

ING is looking to sell a stake of around 5.6% in TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB) to raise up to US$500m. In this note we talk about the deal dynamics...

Akshat Shah

Thailand : A Judicial War Against Pita

The parliament vote to exclude Pita from the PM vote on July 19th highlights Thailand’s country risk, not understood by many analysts. The...

Bondcritic

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