Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The bounce on the Kospi Index from just above 2,900 has meant that we are approaching decent levels that need to be watched carefully: </li>
<li>Despite the firmer USD in some corners , the USD has not strengthened in any meaningful way in Asia. Within thatm USDKRW looks vulnerable</li>
<li>It is thus an evolving bias that the Kospi Index in USD terms could see a 10% rally from current levels.</li>
</ul>


The bounce on the Kospi Index from just above 2,900 has meant that we are approaching decent levels that need to be watched carefully: 
Despite the firmer USD in some corners , the USD has not strengthened in any meaningful way in Asia. Within thatm USDKRW looks vulnerable
It is thus an evolving bias that the Kospi Index in USD terms could see a 10% rally from current levels.


Recent price action shows USD weakness re-emergingThree main USD indices are shared below which suggest that the<ul>
<li>DXY Index should ill fall to 92.84 if not the 92 area</li>
<li>BBDXY Index to 1,148 if not 1,138.</li>
<li>ADXY Index back up towards 110 on breach of 108.38</li>
</ul>

Recent price action shows USD weakness re-emergingThree main USD indices are shared below which suggest that the
DXY Index should ill fall to 92.84 if not the 92 area
BBDXY Index to 1,148 if not 1,138.
ADXY Index back up towards 110 on breach of 108.38


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Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

We have been bullish/long the DXY from 89 and more recently from 92 with a target at 94.00-50 and the level to sell the USD and turn short the greenback. Early USD shorts touted in CAD and GBP.US 10yr rise to 1.50% call to support a final USD push into our sell zone. USD will also find a final bid on a secondary pullback in the US equity cycle (EM and Asia FX) in October.We see synergy with yield near 1.50% and a DXY top near 94.DXY bear divergence is maturing into a final drive to the 94+ zone. We want to sell the next USD push/new high.

We have been bullish/long the DXY from 89 and more recently from 92 with a target at 94.00-50 and the level to sell the USD and turn short the greenback. Early USD shorts touted in CAD and GBP.US 10yr rise to 1.50% call to support a final USD push into our sell zone. USD will also find a final bid on a secondary pullback in the US equity cycle (EM and Asia FX) in October.We see synergy with yield near 1.50% and a DXY top near 94.DXY bear divergence is maturing into a final drive to the 94+ zone. We want to sell the next USD push/new high.

Cross Asset Strategy

Recent indications of a weaker USD and the relative / renewed stability in many Equity Indices seem to provide an opportunity in South Korea's Kospi IndexIf the signs of USD weakness are correct in a generally low volatile environment, South Korea's Won starts to look attractive. Furthermore the Kospi Index itself looks more stable after testing decent levels around 3,050.Combining this, there is a clear range on the Kospi in USD terms which now gives the indication of a turn back up from the base of the year's range and points tothe possibility of a rally to the tune of some 8%

Recent indications of a weaker USD and the relative / renewed stability in many Equity Indices seem to provide an opportunity in South Korea's Kospi IndexIf the signs of USD weakness are correct in a generally low volatile environment, South Korea's Won starts to look attractive. Furthermore the Kospi Index itself looks more stable after testing decent levels around 3,050.Combining this, there is a clear range on the Kospi in USD terms which now gives the indication of a turn back up from the base of the year's range and points tothe possibility of a rally to the tune of some 8%

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above 1,152.Korea short from 435-44 zone (437 entry) saw an impulsive break below 425 pivot support. SEC also broke below 79k major support on August 11.Taiwan is prone to follow as flows taper into tech given NDX fade/bend risk on higher yields. Taiwan high degree bear divergence warns of a downside surprise in late August/September.

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above 1,152.Korea short from 435-44 zone (437 entry) saw an impulsive break below 425 pivot support. SEC also broke below 79k major support on August 11.Taiwan is prone to follow as flows taper into tech given NDX fade/bend risk on higher yields. Taiwan high degree bear divergence warns of a downside surprise in late August/September.

Korea Support Break with Taiwan to Follow

South Korea

The South Korean won is the official currency of The Republic of Korea (South Korea). 

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KRW (USDKRW CURNCY)

The Bullish Setups in South Korea

The setup on the Kospi Index and the price action on the USD in Asia (particularly USDKRW) suggests decent gains ahead in South Korea.

Shyam Devani

USD Trend Re-Emerging & Asia Positive

The USD is again on the back foot and looks likely to fall. The area where the trend appears strongest is likely to be in Asia

Shyam Devani

USD DXY 94 Sell Target

We have been bullish/long the DXY from 89 and more recently from 92 with a target at 94.00-50 and the level to sell the USD and turn short the...

Thomas Schroeder

Kospi Index Opportunities

The Kospi Index when measured in USD terms is looking increasingly attractive as equity markets stabilise and the USD looks more vulnerable

Shyam Devani

Korea Support Break with Taiwan to Follow

Following up on our short rotation into Korea and Taiwan. Kospi 200 broke the 425 support in an aggressive nature after the USD/KRW broke out above...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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