Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>&lt;Peacekeeper&gt;'s more aggressive gameplay reforms and monetization changes have delivered better results, leading us to raise its 2024 annualized gross billings estimate slightly.</li>
<li>&lt;DnF Mobile&gt;'s new version experienced a slight decline in player retention, though this is likely temporary. As a result, we have slightly lowered its 2024 annualized grossing estimates.</li>
<li>NetEase's &lt;Eggy Party&gt; received player feedback that fell slightly below expectations. The game continues to face considerable pressure for revenue recovery, prompting us to lower our full-year revenue estimate slightly.</li>
</ul>


&lt;Peacekeeper&gt;'s more aggressive gameplay reforms and monetization changes have delivered better results, leading us to raise its 2024 annualized gross billings estimate slightly.
&lt;DnF Mobile&gt;'s new version experienced a slight decline in player retention, though this is likely temporary. As a result, we have slightly lowered its 2024 annualized grossing estimates.
NetEase's &lt;Eggy Party&gt; received player feedback that fell slightly below expectations. The game continues to face considerable pressure for revenue recovery, prompting us to lower our full-year revenue estimate slightly.


China Online Game Grossing Monitor: October 10, 2024 - December 16, 2024

<ul>
<li>Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; </li>
<li>Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);</li>
<li>We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. </li>
</ul>


Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; 
Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);
We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. 


Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-ai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Z.AI (2513 HK)</a> (aka Knowledge Atlas/Zhipu) is looking to raise around US$2bn via issuing shares and another US$3bn via CBs. The company had raised US$4bn in July 2026.</li>
<li>Zhipu is one of the leading players in China’s domestic LLM space. Its IPO linked lockup had recently expired.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Z.AI (2513 HK) (aka Knowledge Atlas/Zhipu) is looking to raise around US$2bn via issuing shares and another US$3bn via CBs. The company had raised US$4bn in July 2026.
Zhipu is one of the leading players in China’s domestic LLM space. Its IPO linked lockup had recently expired.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Zhipu Placement - Back for Another US$5bn

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 11th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Bilibili (9626 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 11th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Bilibili (9626 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 11th): Bilibili, Tencent, Bidu

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>NTES US: NetEase Denies Full Staff Layoff at Shenzhen Game Division, Clarifies It’s a Product-Specific Adjustment (/)</li>
<li>NTES US: NetEase officially Named Their Urban Open-World RPG &lt;Project Mugen&gt; as &lt;Ananta&gt; (+)</li>
<li>NTES US: NTES US: NetEase Closes Overseas Studio "Worlds Untold" (/)</li>
</ul>


NTES US: NetEase Denies Full Staff Layoff at Shenzhen Game Division, Clarifies It’s a Product-Specific Adjustment (/)
NTES US: NetEase officially Named Their Urban Open-World RPG &lt;Project Mugen&gt; as &lt;Ananta&gt; (+)
NTES US: NTES US: NetEase Closes Overseas Studio "Worlds Untold" (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

China

Kuaishou Technology is a Chinese publicly traded company that operates a leading content community and social platform. It primarily offers short video sharing, live streaming, online marketing services, and e-commerce. The company was founded in March 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: October 10, 2024 - December 16, 2024

Peacekeeper and DnF Mobile continue to show performance volatility, while the Eggy Party has underperformed expectations. Meanwhile, Bilibili's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Aequitas: Zhipu Placement - Back for Another US$5bn

Z.AI (2513 HK) (aka Knowledge Atlas/Zhipu) is looking to raise around US$2bn via issuing shares and another US$3bn via CBs. The company had raised...

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 11th): Bilibili, Tencent, Bidu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Bilibili (9626 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Online Game Grossing Monitor: October 10, 2024 - December 16, 2024

Peacekeeper and DnF Mobile continue to show performance volatility, while the Eggy Party has underperformed expectations. Meanwhile, Bilibili's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

​C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Aequitas: Zhipu Placement - Back for Another US$5bn

Z.AI (2513 HK) (aka Knowledge Atlas/Zhipu) is looking to raise around US$2bn via issuing shares and another US$3bn via CBs. The company had raised...

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 11th): Bilibili, Tencent, Bidu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Bilibili (9626 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

​NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...