Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;</li>
<li>We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.</li>
<li>Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.</li>
</ul>


US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>We expect Kuaishou to report C4Q23 revenue, IFRS op. profit and IFRS net income in-line, 34% and 29% vs. consensus, thanks to margin improvements;</li>
<li>Playlet continued to generate significant organic traffic, leading to decreasing sales marketing cost and growth in advertising inventories. We further expect AI to drive playlet market expansions;</li>
<li>E-Commerce GMV growth was robust. Kuaishou will likely increase take rate in the future. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$79, implying an 17x PE.</li>
</ul>


We expect Kuaishou to report C4Q23 revenue, IFRS op. profit and IFRS net income in-line, 34% and 29% vs. consensus, thanks to margin improvements;
Playlet continued to generate significant organic traffic, leading to decreasing sales marketing cost and growth in advertising inventories. We further expect AI to drive playlet market expansions;
E-Commerce GMV growth was robust. Kuaishou will likely increase take rate in the future. We maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$79, implying an 17x PE.


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)</li>
<li>PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)</li>
</ul>


TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK: Ctrip cooperate with Kuaishou to promote traveling products(+/+/-/-)
PDD/ZTO/1519 HK: PDD partners with ZTO and J&amp;T for upcoming “Open during Spring Festival” event (+/+/+)
PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/ SE/ CPNG/ MELI: Temu planning to add 3P model (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We believe Hang Seng Index’s tumble was due to a comment in a governmental newspaper.</li>
<li>BYD announced that it will sell three models of new energy vehicles in Indonesia.</li>
<li>Trip.com began to sell tickets of scenic locations via the Kuaishou app.</li>
</ul>


We believe Hang Seng Index’s tumble was due to a comment in a governmental newspaper.
BYD announced that it will sell three models of new energy vehicles in Indonesia.
Trip.com began to sell tickets of scenic locations via the Kuaishou app.


China Consumption Weekly: HSI, BYD, Trip.com, Kuaishou, Baidu

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H / Event-Driven

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H

<ul>
<li>An ugly week for HK stocks but SOUTHBOUND flows showed decent net buying at HK$14.7bn on the week. High-Div SOEs continue to be in favour.</li>
<li>What appears to have been strong net selling on the mainland combined with CBBC unwinds in Hong Kong related to mainland-linked stocks caused HK to have a baaaaad week.</li>
<li>The separately published AH Monitor highlights a Really Tough Week. Hs got KILLED vs their A-share counterparts as CBBCs sold the HK names and National Team bought A-shares.</li>
</ul>


An ugly week for HK stocks but SOUTHBOUND flows showed decent net buying at HK$14.7bn on the week. High-Div SOEs continue to be in favour.
What appears to have been strong net selling on the mainland combined with CBBC unwinds in Hong Kong related to mainland-linked stocks caused HK to have a baaaaad week.
The separately published AH Monitor highlights a Really Tough Week. Hs got KILLED vs their A-share counterparts as CBBCs sold the HK names and National Team bought A-shares.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Again BIG Buys as CBBC Hedging Hurts

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth

Kuaishou's revenue and profits are expected to meet expectations, thanks to improved margins. The company's playlet and e-commerce businesses are...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly: HSI, BYD, Trip.com, Kuaishou, Baidu

We believe Hang Seng Index’s tumble was due to a comment on a governmental newspaper. BYD will sell vehicles in Indonesia. Trip.com began to sell...

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Again BIG Buys as CBBC Hedging Hurts

HK Southbound Connect saw large net buying by mainland investors. ETFs did not play a major role in net flows. Tencent did. High-div SOEs were...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

​US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$79) TP Change]: Robust Organic Traffic Supports Robust Growth

​Kuaishou's revenue and profits are expected to meet expectations, thanks to improved margins. The company's playlet and e-commerce businesses are...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM/1024 HK/3690 HK/780 HK/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/CPNG/MELI

​Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly: HSI, BYD, Trip.com, Kuaishou, Baidu

We believe Hang Seng Index’s tumble was due to a comment on a governmental newspaper. BYD will sell vehicles in Indonesia. Trip.com began to sell...

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Again BIG Buys as CBBC Hedging Hurts

HK Southbound Connect saw large net buying by mainland investors. ETFs did not play a major role in net flows. Tencent did. High-div SOEs were...

Travis Lundy

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Kuaishou's revenue and profits are expected to meet expectations, thanks to improved margins. The company's playlet and e-commerce businesses are...

Ctrip teams up with Kuaishou to boost travel offerings; PDD collaborates with ZTO and J&T for Spring Festival event; and Temu considers adding 3P...