Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported 1Q2022 results on Tuesday. Revenue grew 23.8% YoY to RMB21.1bn while reported operating losses declined to RMB5.6bn (27% of revenue) from RMB7.3bn (43% of revenues) in 1Q2021.</li>
<li>Adjusted operating losses for the quarter further dropped to 24% of revenues from 48% of revenues in 1Q2021 despite drop in livestreaming ARPPU in 1Q2022.</li>
<li>Kuaishou’s shares have lost almost 80% since its IPO in February last year due to the regulatory crackdown.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported 1Q2022 results on Tuesday. Revenue grew 23.8% YoY to RMB21.1bn while reported operating losses declined to RMB5.6bn (27% of revenue) from RMB7.3bn (43% of revenues) in 1Q2021.
Adjusted operating losses for the quarter further dropped to 24% of revenues from 48% of revenues in 1Q2021 despite drop in livestreaming ARPPU in 1Q2022.
Kuaishou’s shares have lost almost 80% since its IPO in February last year due to the regulatory crackdown.


Kuaishou – Continued Drop in Operating Losses with Upside Potential

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Revenue increased by 24% YoY with online marketing, the main business, up 33% YoY.</li>
<li>KS operating loss decreased to RMB5.1 bn in 1Q22 from RMB8.2 bn.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 19% and a price target of HK$75.00. Buy.</li>
</ul>


Revenue increased by 24% YoY with online marketing, the main business, up 33% YoY.
KS operating loss decreased to RMB5.1 bn in 1Q22 from RMB8.2 bn.
We set an upside of 19% and a price target of HK$75.00. Buy.


Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q22, Strong Revenue and Shrinking Loss, 19% Upside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.</li>
<li>The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.</li>
</ul>


Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.
The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.


Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cover Story: China’s race to provide for its aging population</li><li>Shanghai lays out plan to end lockdown and reopen business by June</li><li>Chart of the Day: China’s record-breaking unemployment rates amid Covid lockdowns</li></ul>

Cover Story: China’s race to provide for its aging populationShanghai lays out plan to end lockdown and reopen business by JuneChart of the Day: China’s record-breaking unemployment rates amid Covid lockdowns

CX Daily: China’s Race to Provide for Its Aging Population

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Kuaishou – Continued Drop in Operating Losses with Upside Potential

Revenue grew 23.8% YoY while reported operating losses declined to 27% of revenue from 43% in 1Q2021. MPUs for livestreaming saw strong increase...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q22, Strong Revenue and Shrinking Loss, 19% Upside

Revenue increased by 24% YoY with online marketing, the main business, up 33% YoY. KS operating loss decreased to RMB5.1 bn in 1Q22 from RMB8.2 bn.

Ming Lu

Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. Investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

CX Daily: China’s Race to Provide for Its Aging Population

Cover Story: China’s race to provide for its aging population. Shanghai lays out plan to end lockdown and reopen business by June

Caixin Global

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

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