Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2025 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.</li>
<li>There will be 11 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.</li>
<li>The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$5.3bn and US$4.2bn in one-way flows respectively.</li>
</ul>


The December 2025 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
There will be 11 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$5.3bn and US$4.2bn in one-way flows respectively.


Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Victory Giant Technology -A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.
We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor / Index Rebalance

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor (002129 CH)

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 11 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 11 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Inflows Vs Outflows Positive So Far But Time For Caution

Huadian New Energy Group / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 10 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 49 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 10 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 49 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

Qingdao Port International  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

China

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes auto parts. The Company mainly develops, produces, and sells car seat slides, adjusters, lifters, and other functional parts. Kuang-Chi Technologies markets products domestically and internationally.

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Kuang-Chi Technologies (002625 CH)

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

We correctly predicted 110 of the 122 confirmed index changes for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices. This translates to a hit rate of 90%.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

There could be 12 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 2.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$9.8bn. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Inflows Vs Outflows Positive So Far But Time For Caution

The Dec25 CSI 300 rebal could cause US$5.9bn in one-way flows and the CSI 500 rebal could cause US$4.8bn in one-way flows.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

There could be US$4.3bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events in December 2025 based on our latest estimates.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

We correctly predicted 110 of the 122 confirmed index changes for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices. This translates to a hit rate of 90%.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

There could be 12 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 2.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$9.8bn. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Inflows Vs Outflows Positive So Far But Time For Caution

The Dec25 CSI 300 rebal could cause US$5.9bn in one-way flows and the CSI 500 rebal could cause US$4.8bn in one-way flows.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

There could be US$4.3bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events in December 2025 based on our latest estimates.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec25 Results: 90% Hit Rate (110/121 Correct); US$9.5bn Combined One-Way Flow

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Inflows Vs Outflows Positive So Far But Time For Caution

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Trade Moving in the Right Direction; Large Flows Expected

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows