Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

In my previous article "Japan's Governance: Unclear Medium-Term Management Plan - Kusuri No Aoki (3549)", I wrote a review of the company after attending its 4Q results analyst meeting. In this article, I wrote that the possibility of equity financing in the near future was undeniable in order to achieve the same number of new store openings as in the previous fiscal year in response to the decrease in operating cash flow due to the deterioration of working capital, and that it would be difficult to find differentiation in product strategy in the drugstore industry where competition is becoming increasingly fierce and companies are focusing on food products. In the drugstore industry, where competition is becoming increasingly fierce and companies are focusing on food products, it is unclear whether a half-baked pricing strategy will work. This is an update along with a summary of the previous articles.

In my previous article "Japan's Governance: Unclear Medium-Term Management Plan - Kusuri No Aoki (3549)", I wrote a review of the company after attending its 4Q results analyst meeting. In this article, I wrote that the possibility of equity financing in the near future was undeniable in order to achieve the same number of new store openings as in the previous fiscal year in response to the decrease in operating cash flow due to the deterioration of working capital, and that it would be difficult to find differentiation in product strategy in the drugstore industry where competition is becoming increasingly fierce and companies are focusing on food products. In the drugstore industry, where competition is becoming increasingly fierce and companies are focusing on food products, it is unclear whether a half-baked pricing strategy will work. This is an update along with a summary of the previous articles.

Japan's Governance: Unclear Mid-Term Management Plan Update: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings (3549)

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

Japan requires retail developers to submit copious amounts of documentation to open any store over 1,000 sqm. In the past five years, there have been 2,505 applications for these larger developments, 750 of them anchored by drugstores, and more than 400 by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmos-pharmaceutical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3797:1" rel="noopener">Cosmos Pharmaceutical (3349 JP)</a> alone. The figures show that it is drugstores that are expanding more than any other retail sector.

Japan requires retail developers to submit copious amounts of documentation to open any store over 1,000 sqm. In the past five years, there have been 2,505 applications for these larger developments, 750 of them anchored by drugstores, and more than 400 by Cosmos Pharmaceutical (3349 JP) alone. The figures show that it is drugstores that are expanding more than any other retail sector.

Drugstores Leads Large Store Openings in Japan Led by Cosmos Pharma

The merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/matsumotokiyoshi-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2259:1" rel="noopener">Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings Co., Ltd. (3088 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocokara-fine-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15447:1" rel="noopener">Cocokara Fine (3098 JP)</a> is just one symptom of the growing concentration of market share in the drugstore sector.But the sector's leaders are no longer just battling for dominance in drugstore retailing; increasingly drugstores are evolving far behind this niche sector.Drugstore retailing is growing faster than any sector other than e-commerce because drugstores are positioned to meet customer needs for well-being, health and, nowadays, a broad range of daily necessities including food, and so becoming ever more integrated into consumers’ daily shopping experience.Their eclectic ranges also mean they perform well in the middle of natural disasters and crises of various forms and many chains have seen good results thanks to earthquakes, extreme weather and especially thanks to Covid, but this doesn’t fully explain the sector’s success.Crises may have helped, but Japan’s top drugstores are today some of the country’s best retailers in their own right.The following is a complete, in-depth review of the drugstore sector, including rankings, KPIs, and future trends on the sector and the potential winners.Jun Tsuruha, the current <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a> CEO, was widely quoted last year as saying the sector would soon be dominated by just “four or five” major firms. This is far from fantasy, with Tsuruha, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>, Matsukiyo-Cocokara, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmos-pharmaceutical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3797:1" rel="noopener">Cosmos Pharmaceutical (3349 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sugi-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9255:1" rel="noopener">Sugi Holdings (7649 JP)</a> the most likely contenders.

The merger of Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings Co., Ltd. (3088 JP) and Cocokara Fine (3098 JP) is just one symptom of the growing concentration of market share in the drugstore sector.But the sector's leaders are no longer just battling for dominance in drugstore retailing; increasingly drugstores are evolving far behind this niche sector.Drugstore retailing is growing faster than any sector other than e-commerce because drugstores are positioned to meet customer needs for well-being, health and, nowadays, a broad range of daily necessities including food, and so becoming ever more integrated into consumers’ daily shopping experience.Their eclectic ranges also mean they perform well in the middle of natural disasters and crises of various forms and many chains have seen good results thanks to earthquakes, extreme weather and especially thanks to Covid, but this doesn’t fully explain the sector’s success.Crises may have helped, but Japan’s top drugstores are today some of the country’s best retailers in their own right.The following is a complete, in-depth review of the drugstore sector, including rankings, KPIs, and future trends on the sector and the potential winners.Jun Tsuruha, the current Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) CEO, was widely quoted last year as saying the sector would soon be dominated by just “four or five” major firms. This is far from fantasy, with Tsuruha, Welcia Holdings (3141 JP), Matsukiyo-Cocokara, Cosmos Pharmaceutical (3349 JP) and Sugi Holdings (7649 JP) the most likely contenders.

Japan Drugstores: Growing Leadership in Food, Household, Cosmetics – and the Odd Medicine Too

Genky DrugStores Co Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

Although counted as a drugstore, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genky-drugstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29203:1" rel="noopener">Genky DrugStores Co Ltd (9267 JP)</a> is one of Japan’s most food-focused discount retailers. The chain has grown rapidly in recent years, with sales up 19% in FY2019 to June alone. It now plans to double that volume over the next three years.Of these new stores, some will be pure supermarkets (of a discount variety) as the company moves beyond drugstores. Last month, Genky opened its first supermarket or "delicious drugstore" as it calls it.As indicated in other insights here, the Japanese discount sector is on a roll and likely to continue to do so for the next decade thanks to vast unsatisfied demand from consumer households under pressure.Genky looks like being one of the beneficiaries.

Although counted as a drugstore, Genky DrugStores Co Ltd (9267 JP) is one of Japan’s most food-focused discount retailers. The chain has grown rapidly in recent years, with sales up 19% in FY2019 to June alone. It now plans to double that volume over the next three years.Of these new stores, some will be pure supermarkets (of a discount variety) as the company moves beyond drugstores. Last month, Genky opened its first supermarket or "delicious drugstore" as it calls it.As indicated in other insights here, the Japanese discount sector is on a roll and likely to continue to do so for the next decade thanks to vast unsatisfied demand from consumer households under pressure.Genky looks like being one of the beneficiaries.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> is Japan’s largest retail conglomerate by revenues but it struggles to make respectable profits.Now, as with Seven-Eleven at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, Aeon may have found the high margin star subsidiary it has been looking for: Welcia Holdings.Welcia is the country’s leading drugstore chain and is growing strongly, exceeding ¥1 trillion in sales for the first time and forecasting an increase to ¥1.8 trillion through 2023.Last year, it made almost as much profit as the whole of Aeon combined but there are plenty of opportunities to extract more profit from this sector.Like most Japanese drugstore stocks, Welcia is currently trading at historically high levels thanks to a surge in sales from March onwards (see below for details)  but with more consolidation coming in the sector led by the leaders, Welcia is a solid buy when dips in the market provide an opportunity.

Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) is Japan’s largest retail conglomerate by revenues but it struggles to make respectable profits.Now, as with Seven-Eleven at Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Aeon may have found the high margin star subsidiary it has been looking for: Welcia Holdings.Welcia is the country’s leading drugstore chain and is growing strongly, exceeding ¥1 trillion in sales for the first time and forecasting an increase to ¥1.8 trillion through 2023.Last year, it made almost as much profit as the whole of Aeon combined but there are plenty of opportunities to extract more profit from this sector.Like most Japanese drugstore stocks, Welcia is currently trading at historically high levels thanks to a surge in sales from March onwards (see below for details)  but with more consolidation coming in the sector led by the leaders, Welcia is a solid buy when dips in the market provide an opportunity.

Japan

KUSURI NO AOKI CO., LTD. operates a drug store chain.  The Company sells medical drugs, cosmetics, toiletries, household and sundry goods, and groceries.  Some of their stores sell alcoholic beverages and frozen foods as well.

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Kusuri No Aoki (3398 JP)

Japan's Governance: Unclear Mid-Term Management Plan Update: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings (3549)

In a previous article, I pointed out a concern in Kusuri No Aoki that the strategy is unclear in the mid-term management plan. I will update this...

Metrical Inc

Drugstores Leads Large Store Openings in Japan Led by Cosmos Pharma

Some analysts think the drugstore sector in Japan is saturated. As the latest govt. data shows, the sector has led in large store expansion in the...

Michael Causton

Japan Drugstores: Growing Leadership in Food, Household, Cosmetics – and the Odd Medicine Too

The Japanese drugstore sector has seen a big merger but there will be more as the sector not only consolidates down to a few leaders but also...

Michael Causton

Genky: Another Japanese Discount Winner

Although counted as a drugstore, Genky is one of Japan’s most food-focused, discount retailers. The chain ihas grown rapidly in recent years, with...

Michael Causton

Welcia: Aeon’s Profit Machine

Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) is Japan’s largest retail conglomerate by revenues but it struggles to make respectable profits.Now, as with Seven-Eleven at...

Michael Causton

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