Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX new 52W highs on Bank earnings, AI (thx to MSFT), and Resilient Retail print; MSFT prices Copilot at high end; US bank CEOs showing optimism. </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.8; Look for continued follow through in Japan equity bid; Bank bid thematic gaining more traction on BOJ tweak view;   Kishida cabinet reshuffle?</li>
<li>NUGGET. Isuzu(7202) - Big EV Spending but Still looks Cheap at 1x PBR. A 15% FY3/26 ROE as per mid term plan makes this look interesting for LT investors here.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX new 52W highs on Bank earnings, AI (thx to MSFT), and Resilient Retail print; MSFT prices Copilot at high end; US bank CEOs showing optimism. 
JAPAN. NKY Futures +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.8; Look for continued follow through in Japan equity bid; Bank bid thematic gaining more traction on BOJ tweak view;   Kishida cabinet reshuffle?
NUGGET. Isuzu(7202) - Big EV Spending but Still looks Cheap at 1x PBR. A 15% FY3/26 ROE as per mid term plan makes this look interesting for LT investors here.


Ohayo Japan | Bullish Banks, Ai , US Consumer; NUGGET: Isuzu(7202) - EV Outlook Better for Trucks

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Strong close to Month, Quarter and Half Year as SPX rose +1.2% on Friday; AI Trade Back as NDX100 hit  $5trn Mkt cap; Apple now &gt;$3 trill !</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo Inflation print 3.2% raises questions on national inflation and BOJ's next steps;  Tokyo heats up as Power conservation measures implemented</li>
<li>NUGGET.  We believe Toyota's concerns regarding BEVs are valid. We see them having the technology and manufacturing prowess at scale, strong branding, and global reach to eventually overtake Tesla</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Strong close to Month, Quarter and Half Year as SPX rose +1.2% on Friday; AI Trade Back as NDX100 hit  $5trn Mkt cap; Apple now &gt;$3 trill !
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo Inflation print 3.2% raises questions on national inflation and BOJ's next steps;  Tokyo heats up as Power conservation measures implemented
NUGGET.  We believe Toyota's concerns regarding BEVs are valid. We see them having the technology and manufacturing prowess at scale, strong branding, and global reach to eventually overtake Tesla


Ohayo Japan | Bull Mkt - Nasdaq 100 Stunning +39%YTD ! NUGGET: Toyota(7203) BEV Strategy - A Defense

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.</li>
<li>Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.</li>
<li>Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.</li>
</ul>


Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.
Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.
Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.


<ul>
<li>With energy costs still rising and ongoing supply-chain issues exacerbated by the re-emergence of Covid problems in China, Japanese consumers suddenly face the prospect of genuine price inflation.</li>
<li>How will they respond? Some retailers are trying to resist higher prices at the expense of profits and others have no choice but to raise prices.</li>
<li>We look at the wholesale, retail and consumer response to inflation and which retailers stand to benefit or lose from inflation.</li>
</ul>


With energy costs still rising and ongoing supply-chain issues exacerbated by the re-emergence of Covid problems in China, Japanese consumers suddenly face the prospect of genuine price inflation.
How will they respond? Some retailers are trying to resist higher prices at the expense of profits and others have no choice but to raise prices.
We look at the wholesale, retail and consumer response to inflation and which retailers stand to benefit or lose from inflation.


Widespread Price Rises at Japanese Retail and Wholesale

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/159/736/original/2020-09-18_06-09-24.png?1600376978" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="159736"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/159/737/original/2020-09-18_06-10-21.png?1600377043" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="159737"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>
<p>Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from Thursday's announcements is home centre Alleanza (3546 JP) (formerly Daiyu-LIC) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryobi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7600:1" rel="noopener">Ryobi (5851 JP)</a>.  </p>
</div><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>DAILY STATS - Only one company of the eleven announcements made yesterday has a negative score. All save the lone negative scorer, Ryobi, have a domestic focus.</strong></p></div>


• BEST &amp; WORST •
Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics
Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from Thursday's announcements is home centre Alleanza (3546 JP) (formerly Daiyu-LIC) and Ryobi (5851 JP).  
DAILY STATS - Only one company of the eleven announcements made yesterday has a negative score. All save the lone negative scorer, Ryobi, have a domestic focus.

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​​​​​​17 - Kusuri No Aoki, Alleanza, and Poor Old Ryobi

Japan

Kusuri no Aoki Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides medicines, cosmetics, health foods, beauty care, and household products. Kusuri no Aoki Holdings serves customers in Japan.

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Kusuri no Aoki Holdings (3549 JP)

Ohayo Japan | Bullish Banks, Ai , US Consumer; NUGGET: Isuzu(7202) - EV Outlook Better for Trucks

US equities hit new highs on bank and AI optimism; NKY Futures +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.8; Bank bid thematic gaining more traction on BOJ tweak...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | Bull Mkt - Nasdaq 100 Stunning +39%YTD ! NUGGET: Toyota(7203) BEV Strategy - A Defense

Strong US Close despite the spectre of inflation/Fed hikes; NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo May Inflation print 3.2% - BOJ's next...

Mark Chadwick

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Widespread Price Rises at Japanese Retail and Wholesale

Japan is finally getting inflation after a decade of government failed efforts. We examine the wholesale, retail and consumer response to evaluate...

Michael Causton

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/17 - Kusuri No Aoki, Alleanza, and Poor Old Ryobi

• BEST & WORST • Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from Wednesday's announcements is E-commerce office supplies company Askul (2678...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ohayo Japan | Bullish Banks, Ai , US Consumer; NUGGET: Isuzu(7202) - EV Outlook Better for Trucks

US equities hit new highs on bank and AI optimism; NKY Futures +0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 138.8; Bank bid thematic gaining more traction on BOJ tweak...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | Bull Mkt - Nasdaq 100 Stunning +39%YTD ! NUGGET: Toyota(7203) BEV Strategy - A Defense

Strong US Close despite the spectre of inflation/Fed hikes; NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo May Inflation print 3.2% - BOJ's next...

Mark Chadwick

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Widespread Price Rises at Japanese Retail and Wholesale

Japan is finally getting inflation after a decade of government failed efforts. We examine the wholesale, retail and consumer response to evaluate...

Michael Causton

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​​​​​​17 - Kusuri No Aoki, Alleanza, and Poor Old Ryobi

• BEST & WORST • Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from Wednesday's announcements is E-commerce office supplies company Askul (2678...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/17 - Kusuri No Aoki, Alleanza, and Poor Old Ryobi