HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>The National Health Commission and eight other departments issued “<em>Opinions on strengthening the capacity building of critical care medical services</em>”. New policy catalysts in the medical device sector arrives.</li>
<li>Current valuations of weight-loss drug companies have “large bubble”, which have basically priced in all the potential of GLP-1s even based on optimistic assumptions. We advise investors to be rational.</li>
<li>The price of core raw materials is showing a continuous upward trend, which will inevitably cause certain difficulties for Pientzehuang’s performance growth in 2024. Valuation has more downside ahead.</li>
</ul>


The National Health Commission and eight other departments issued “Opinions on strengthening the capacity building of critical care medical services”. New policy catalysts in the medical device sector arrives.
Current valuations of weight-loss drug companies have “large bubble”, which have basically priced in all the potential of GLP-1s even based on optimistic assumptions. We advise investors to be rational.
The price of core raw materials is showing a continuous upward trend, which will inevitably cause certain difficulties for Pientzehuang’s performance growth in 2024. Valuation has more downside ahead.


China Healthcare Weekly (May12)-Policy Catalyst in Medical Device, GLP-1 Overvaluation, Pientzehuang

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,023.9 million, led by consumer staples, materials, financials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari Technology, Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology, Midea, Focus Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,023.9 million, led by consumer staples, materials, financials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari Technology, Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology, Midea, Focus Media.


Northbound Flows (May 10th): Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.
HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 2.3bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, some financials.</li>
<li>As outperformed Hs on Monday and Tuesday (when both were open), then Hs rocketed on Thursday and Friday. As will have to catch up early in the week.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 2.3bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, some financials.
As outperformed Hs on Monday and Tuesday (when both were open), then Hs rocketed on Thursday and Friday. As will have to catch up early in the week.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 30-Apr/3-May 2024): Big Volumes, Low Net; As Will Play Catchup

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres


Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

China

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. manufactures spirits.  The Company's spirit products are distilled from sorghum and wheat.  Kweichow Moutai markets its products worldwide.

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Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (May12)-Policy Catalyst in Medical Device, GLP-1 Overvaluation, Pientzehuang

New policy catalysts in medical device sector arrives.Current valuation of weight-loss drug companies have “big bubble”.Due to China's de...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows (May 10th): Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

NORTHBOUND tried to rally flows to catch up to the HK move over the holiday and could not. After Monday, 3 of 4 days were outflows. Local investors...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 30-Apr/3-May 2024): Big Volumes, Low Net; As Will Play Catchup

NORTHBOUND saw net buying and in general A-shares outperformed HK stocks on Monday and Tuesday, but mainland markets were closed the rest of the...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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