Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The BOJ released its loan officer survey on 21 April which is generally positive for lending demand at firms and eased credit standards (willingness to lend)</li>
<li>Demand for credit over past 3 months for firms, 43 respondents were about the same, 6 were moderately stronger, 1 substantially stronger. No respondents were weaker</li>
<li>Lending policies saw most respondents unchanged, but there were some as 'eased somewhat' and 1 'eased considerably' with no respondents reporting tightening</li>
</ul>


The BOJ released its loan officer survey on 21 April which is generally positive for lending demand at firms and eased credit standards (willingness to lend)
Demand for credit over past 3 months for firms, 43 respondents were about the same, 6 were moderately stronger, 1 substantially stronger. No respondents were weaker
Lending policies saw most respondents unchanged, but there were some as 'eased somewhat' and 1 'eased considerably' with no respondents reporting tightening


Japan - New Loan Officer Survey Is Positive for Lending Growth, for Banks, Underlying Economy

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Market expectations are for a 25bps rate hike to 1.25% at the BoJ monetary policy meeting this week; we expect BoJ to follow the US Federal Reserve’s 25bp hike today</li>
<li>We take profits on Yokohama removing it from the buy list among our bigger caps universe; we keep Resona Holdings on the buy list along with Kyoto Financial</li>
<li>Resona is best geared to rising rates, and we expect it to deliver higher returns going forward; Kyoto stands out with its high equity holdings relative to its market capitalisation</li>
</ul>


Market expectations are for a 25bps rate hike to 1.25% at the BoJ monetary policy meeting this week; we expect BoJ to follow the US Federal Reserve’s 25bp hike today
We take profits on Yokohama removing it from the buy list among our bigger caps universe; we keep Resona Holdings on the buy list along with Kyoto Financial
Resona is best geared to rising rates, and we expect it to deliver higher returns going forward; Kyoto stands out with its high equity holdings relative to its market capitalisation


Japanese Big Cap Banks – Still Overall Bullish, but Taking Profits on Yokohama Financial

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypay-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35269:1" rel="noopener">PayPay (PAYP US)</a> (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.
PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

<ul>
<li>The expectations for the mid-June BoJ monetary policy meeting are for a 25bps rate hike to 1.00%, given sustained wage growth and generally increasing inflation risks</li>
<li>Valuations are recovering from the Iran war lows, and bank returns are improving but we expect market turbulence going forward and we lock in some gains</li>
<li>We remove Shizuoka from the buy list, among our bigger caps universe, keeping Resona Holdings on the buy list along with Yokohama Financial and Kyoto Financial</li>
</ul>


The expectations for the mid-June BoJ monetary policy meeting are for a 25bps rate hike to 1.00%, given sustained wage growth and generally increasing inflation risks
Valuations are recovering from the Iran war lows, and bank returns are improving but we expect market turbulence going forward and we lock in some gains
We remove Shizuoka from the buy list, among our bigger caps universe, keeping Resona Holdings on the buy list along with Yokohama Financial and Kyoto Financial


Japanese Big Cap Banks – Taking Profits on Shizuoka

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypay-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35269:1" rel="noopener">PayPay (PAYP US)</a>, a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO after pricing below the range.</li>
<li>PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.</li>
<li>We have looked at its past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



PayPay (PAYP US), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO after pricing below the range.
PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.
We have looked at its past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: PayPay IPO Trading - Valuations Digestible, Sentiment Suffering

Japan

Kyoto Financial Group, Inc. offers financial services. The Company provides commodity securities transaction, securities investment, trust, credit guarantee, banking related services, and other services. Kyoto Financial Group also operates real estate management and leasing, economic research, and other businesses.

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Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP)

Japan - New Loan Officer Survey Is Positive for Lending Growth, for Banks, Underlying Economy

Newly released Loan Officer Survey by BOJ has positive implications for current and forward loan growth, especially to companies. We can also...

Daniel Tabbush

Japanese Big Cap Banks – Still Overall Bullish, but Taking Profits on Yokohama Financial

Resona's well geared to rising rates and we expect improving returns, Kyoto has high equity holdings relative to its market cap; we keep Resona,...

Victor Galliano

Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its...

Sumeet Singh

Japanese Big Cap Banks – Taking Profits on Shizuoka

Expecting a 25bps rate hike at June BoJ meeting, valuations recovering post-Iran war lows; we expect turbulent markets, so we remove Shizuoka from...

Victor Galliano

Aequitas: PayPay IPO Trading - Valuations Digestible, Sentiment Suffering

PayPay (PAYP US), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO after pricing below the range. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)