Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Post the public disclosure of bank borrowings by the board of IL&amp;FS, where the scale of Indusind Bank’s unsecured exposure to the insolvent parent company became apparent, the bank finally disclosed its total exposure to the beleaguered leviathan in the late hours of October 31. In the analysts call arranged by the bank the following day to discuss this disclosure, nobody in the senior management of the bank was held to account for 8% of the bank’s capital going up in smoke. (Nor did the servile sell-side analysts demand such accountability.) The absence of basic financial analysis by the bank for providing the Rs 20 bn bridge loan may well be an example of how Indusind Bank evaluates large ticket loans. Investors should be concerned about how many such loans have been liberally handed out to book lucrative fees upfront. The stock market, though, rewarded the bank for its disclosure, and the stock closed 2.8% up in a flat market.

Post the public disclosure of bank borrowings by the board of IL&amp;FS, where the scale of Indusind Bank’s unsecured exposure to the insolvent parent company became apparent, the bank finally disclosed its total exposure to the beleaguered leviathan in the late hours of October 31. In the analysts call arranged by the bank the following day to discuss this disclosure, nobody in the senior management of the bank was held to account for 8% of the bank’s capital going up in smoke. (Nor did the servile sell-side analysts demand such accountability.) The absence of basic financial analysis by the bank for providing the Rs 20 bn bridge loan may well be an example of how Indusind Bank evaluates large ticket loans. Investors should be concerned about how many such loans have been liberally handed out to book lucrative fees upfront. The stock market, though, rewarded the bank for its disclosure, and the stock closed 2.8% up in a flat market.

Is IL&FS the Only Cockroach in Indusind Bank’s Portfolio?

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Severe liquidity crunch affects NBFC lending with several NBFCs, including the housing finance companies reporting a slowdown in lending. NBFCs had become an important part of the credit market extending credit to pockets not explored by banks like the SMEs, MSME and self-employed. With a 44% share of the credit market (up from 21% in 2014), NBFCs are an important component of the financial system today and a slowdown in NBFCS will impact sectors like housing, autos and other discretionary consumption products. While the NBFCs are looking to some help from the RBI (direct liquidity support) as it did provide in 2013 but given the rapid growth of NBFC credit (25%+ in FY18), the RBI may just be welcoming this moderation

Severe liquidity crunch affects NBFC lending with several NBFCs, including the housing finance companies reporting a slowdown in lending. NBFCs had become an important part of the credit market extending credit to pockets not explored by banks like the SMEs, MSME and self-employed. With a 44% share of the credit market (up from 21% in 2014), NBFCs are an important component of the financial system today and a slowdown in NBFCS will impact sectors like housing, autos and other discretionary consumption products. While the NBFCs are looking to some help from the RBI (direct liquidity support) as it did provide in 2013 but given the rapid growth of NBFC credit (25%+ in FY18), the RBI may just be welcoming this moderation 

Gold Rush for NBFCs May End as Worst Liquidity Crisis in a Decade Bites; Banks Review Exposure Norms

Post the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) decisive victory in the Uttar Pradesh (UP) state elections, alarm bells have commenced tolling in the capital market.  The cause for concern is the BJP’s promise to the UP electorate to waive off all farm loans and provide fresh loans at zero per cent interest. Media, capital market analysts and prominent bankers have jumped on the bandwagon of moral hazard, ruining the loan payment discipline amongst farmers and apprehensions that the sacrosanct fiscal deficit may be breached as a consequence of such ‘populist’ policies. The BJP electoral promise raises some issues which need to be explored further on whether the central government has the fiscal space to provide for a total farm waiver and whether the criticism of moral hazard is credible.

Post the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) decisive victory in the Uttar Pradesh (UP) state elections, alarm bells have commenced tolling in the capital market.  The cause for concern is the BJP’s promise to the UP electorate to waive off all farm loans and provide fresh loans at zero per cent interest. Media, capital market analysts and prominent bankers have jumped on the bandwagon of moral hazard, ruining the loan payment discipline amongst farmers and apprehensions that the sacrosanct fiscal deficit may be breached as a consequence of such ‘populist’ policies. The BJP electoral promise raises some issues which need to be explored further on whether the central government has the fiscal space to provide for a total farm waiver and whether the criticism of moral hazard is credible.

U.P. Loan Waiver: 'Populist' or a Necessity?

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

India

L&T Finance is an Indian non-banking financial company providing a diverse range of financial products and services to rural and urban customers. Its portfolio includes personal loans, two-wheeler loans, home loans, rural business loans, farm loans, and SME loans, alongside bancassurance products such as life, health, and general insurance. L&T Finance is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 2008.

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L&T Finance (LTF IN)

Is IL&FS the Only Cockroach in Indusind Bank’s Portfolio?

Post the public disclosure of bank borrowings by the board of IL&FS, where the scale of Indusind Bank’s unsecured exposure to the insolvent...

Hemindra Hazari

Gold Rush for NBFCs May End as Worst Liquidity Crisis in a Decade Bites; Banks Review Exposure Norms

Severe liquidity crunch affects NBFC lending with several NBFCs, including the housing finance companies reporting a slowdown in lending. NBFCs had...

Asia Advisors

U.P. Loan Waiver: 'Populist' or a Necessity?

Post the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) decisive victory in the Uttar Pradesh (UP) state elections, alarm bells have commenced tolling in the...

Hemindra Hazari

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this...

Asia Advisors

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

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