External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).</li><li>Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.</li><li>Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li><div><div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul></div></div></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x</li>
<li>The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing</li>
<li>The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x
The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing
The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indraprastha-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6969:1" rel="noopener">Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-petroleum-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19342:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Potential inclusions are Zomato (ZOMATO IN), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN), SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN). 
Potential deletions are Yes Bank (YES IN), Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN). 


NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

L&T Technology Services Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential upside of 6%.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential upside of 6%.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

L&T Technology: Strong Outlook; Expensive Valuations

India

L&T Technology Services Limited operates as an engineering services company. The Company offers design and development solutions throughout the entire product development chain for various industries, including industrial products, consumer electronics, medical devices, telecommunications, automotive, aerospace, trucks and off-highway vehicles, and process engineering.

L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

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L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

IT Sector - Decoding Signal from Noise

In this note, we decode the signal from noise and probe some key questions: (1) How structural is the demand and how correlated is it to the macros...

HDFC Securities

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

IT index is up >40% (mid-tier >100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

There could be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the March rebalance. Plus there will be 2 migrations between the NIFTY and NIFTY NEXT50 indices....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions

HDFC Securities

L&T Technology: Strong Outlook; Expensive Valuations

We recommend a HOLD and assign a 35x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 124/share, which gives a TP of Rs 4,290/share indicating potential...

Axis Direct

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