External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trn</li><li>Ordering seems to have spilt over to FY24 with our checks suggesting ~INR 350bn of bids expected to be awarded during early H1FY24</li><li>During the year, HAM continued to be its preferred mode of awarding with 75/31/3 projects awarded on HAM/EPC/another basis</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trnOrdering seems to have spilt over to FY24 with our checks suggesting ~INR 350bn of bids expected to be awarded during early H1FY24During the year, HAM continued to be its preferred mode of awarding with 75/31/3 projects awarded on HAM/EPC/another basisContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Infrastructure: Stable awarding; calibrated aggression

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) delivered a stable Q3FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT beating our estimates by 4.2/0/4.8% respectively</li><li>Tendering during the quarter was strong with the award-to-tender ratio at 56% (vs 57/34% in Q3FY22/Q2FY23)</li><li>EBITDA margin, at 10.9% (-52/53bps YoY/QoQ), was impacted on account of merger integration costs in LTI Mindtree and higher staff costs in the services portfolio</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) delivered a stable Q3FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT beating our estimates by 4.2/0/4.8% respectivelyTendering during the quarter was strong with the award-to-tender ratio at 56% (vs 57/34% in Q3FY22/Q2FY23)EBITDA margin, at 10.9% (-52/53bps YoY/QoQ), was impacted on account of merger integration costs in LTI Mindtree and higher staff costs in the services portfolioContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tech Mahindra, Nippon Life India Asset

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With only 5 trading days to go in the review period, we see no constituent changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> is the highest ranked non-index constituent, but its free float market cap does not exceed 1.5x the free-float market cap of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>We do not expect LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) to be added to the index in March post the merger between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With only 5 trading days to go in the review period, we see no constituent changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the March rebalance.

Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) is the highest ranked non-index constituent, but its free float market cap does not exceed 1.5x the free-float market cap of Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN). 
We do not expect LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) to be added to the index in March post the merger between Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT IN) and Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN). 


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: No Changes Likely in March

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>L&amp;T Technology (LTTS) posted a flat QoQ topline growth in constant currency (CC) in 3QFY23, missing our estimates of ~2% QoQ growth.</li><li>This was led by seasonality and higher-than-expected furloughs, especially in Plant Engineering (-4.1% QoQ), Telecom &amp; Hi-Tech (-2.8% QoQ) and Medical devices (-1.1%), while Transportation (+4.4% QoQ) and Industrial Products (+1.1% QoQ) offset the drag.</li><li>Despite weak growth, EBIT margin improved 60bp QoQ over a low base (wage hike in 2QFY23), beating our estimates of 18.3%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

L&amp;T Technology (LTTS) posted a flat QoQ topline growth in constant currency (CC) in 3QFY23, missing our estimates of ~2% QoQ growth.This was led by seasonality and higher-than-expected furloughs, especially in Plant Engineering (-4.1% QoQ), Telecom &amp; Hi-Tech (-2.8% QoQ) and Medical devices (-1.1%), while Transportation (+4.4% QoQ) and Industrial Products (+1.1% QoQ) offset the drag.Despite weak growth, EBIT margin improved 60bp QoQ over a low base (wage hike in 2QFY23), beating our estimates of 18.3%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen and Toubro Technology Services - Near-Term Weakness a Concern

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.</li>
<li>We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.</li>
<li>The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.
We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.
The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.


UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

India

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI)

Infrastructure: Stable awarding; calibrated aggression

The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trn

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Tech Mahindra, Nippon Life India Asset

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) delivered a stable Q3FY23, with revenue/EBITDA/APAT beating our estimates by 4.2/0/4.8% respectively

HDFC Securities

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: No Changes Likely in March

We do not expect any changes in March since Pidilite's average FFMC does not exceed 1.5x the FFMC for BPCL. There will be an adhoc change prior to...

Brian Freitas

Larsen and Toubro Technology Services - Near-Term Weakness a Concern

L&T Technology (LTTS) posted a flat QoQ topline growth in constant currency (CC) in 3QFY23, missing our estimates of ~2% QoQ growth.

Motilal Oswal

UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Recent major breakouts for the FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities...

Vermilion Research

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