Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ADP jobs paints a rosy picture for rate cuts despite the lack of official data this Friday.</li>
<li>Memory melted higher again, while INTC lines up AMD as a potential Fab customer.</li>
<li>Softbank will jump after Qualcomm announced use of ARM v9 in its latest PC and smartphone chips.</li>
</ul>


ADP jobs paints a rosy picture for rate cuts despite the lack of official data this Friday.
Memory melted higher again, while INTC lines up AMD as a potential Fab customer.
Softbank will jump after Qualcomm announced use of ARM v9 in its latest PC and smartphone chips.


Japan Morning Connection: No Hoots Given as Market Beelines for Hyper Risk-On as Govt. Shuts Down

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Japanese equities rose but is AI optimism starting to appear fatigued amid concerns over circular investment flows and capex sustainability. </li>
<li>Diverging central bank policies complicate yen outlook; softer Tokyo inflation and resilient US data challenge expectations for BOJ tightening and Fed easing. </li>
<li>Trump’s 100% drug tariffs hit Japanese pharma stocks, while resource scarcity boosted miners and Russian incursions over EU airspace lifted defence names. </li>
</ul>


Japanese equities rose but is AI optimism starting to appear fatigued amid concerns over circular investment flows and capex sustainability. 
Diverging central bank policies complicate yen outlook; softer Tokyo inflation and resilient US data challenge expectations for BOJ tightening and Fed easing. 
Trump’s 100% drug tariffs hit Japanese pharma stocks, while resource scarcity boosted miners and Russian incursions over EU airspace lifted defence names. 


Japan Strategy Weekly | Between Hype and Hard Ground

<ul>
<li>Technology stocks led gains with Tokyo Electron (+20%) and Resonac (+19%) driven by Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations.</li>
<li>Bank of Japan surprised markets by announcing ETF sales while maintaining rates, intensifying October rate hike speculation and triggering profit-taking.</li>
<li>Mixed economic data showed fourth consecutive month of export declines, but core inflation eased to 2.7%, lowest since November 2024.</li>
</ul>


Technology stocks led gains with Tokyo Electron (+20%) and Resonac (+19%) driven by Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations.
Bank of Japan surprised markets by announcing ETF sales while maintaining rates, intensifying October rate hike speculation and triggering profit-taking.
Mixed economic data showed fourth consecutive month of export declines, but core inflation eased to 2.7%, lowest since November 2024.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

<ul>
<li>Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.</li>
<li>Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.</li>
<li>Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.</li>
</ul>


Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.
Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.
Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

<ul>
<li>Intel rising afterhours on the news the private sector is also coming to its rescue, likely prompted by the Govt.</li>
<li>Palo Alto beating after hours puts focus on Cybersecurity, while the trend for Trend Micro has lots of room to improve.</li>
<li>Homebuilder confidence down to post pandemic lows but homebuilders barely dipping as market looks through to Sep.</li>
</ul>


Intel rising afterhours on the news the private sector is also coming to its rescue, likely prompted by the Govt.
Palo Alto beating after hours puts focus on Cybersecurity, while the trend for Trend Micro has lots of room to improve.
Homebuilder confidence down to post pandemic lows but homebuilders barely dipping as market looks through to Sep.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Changes Intel's Deal to a Stake for Chips Money

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

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Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: No Hoots Given as Market Beelines for Hyper Risk-On as Govt. Shuts Down

Expect the squeeze for pharma to continue off the open. Dell's jump up may help the likes of Fujitsu and NEC. Lam Research sets a more positive...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Between Hype and Hard Ground

Japanese equities rise amid concerns over AI optimism fatigue, diverging central bank policies complicate yen outlook, Trump's drug tariffs impact...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

NVDA taking a stake in Intel to allow codevelopment of chips sent INTC rocketing higher, a positive for Shin Etsu as Intel's largest wafer...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Changes Intel's Deal to a Stake for Chips Money

News just out that Softbank is signing a $2bn investment deal with Intel. Homebuilders barely dipping despite low confidence. Some analysts saying...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Japan Morning Connection: No Hoots Given as Market Beelines for Hyper Risk-On as Govt. Shuts Down

Expect the squeeze for pharma to continue off the open. Dell's jump up may help the likes of Fujitsu and NEC. Lam Research sets a more positive...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Between Hype and Hard Ground

​Japanese equities rise amid concerns over AI optimism fatigue, diverging central bank policies complicate yen outlook, Trump's drug tariffs impact...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

​Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

NVDA taking a stake in Intel to allow codevelopment of chips sent INTC rocketing higher, a positive for Shin Etsu as Intel's largest wafer...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Changes Intel's Deal to a Stake for Chips Money

News just out that Softbank is signing a $2bn investment deal with Intel. Homebuilders barely dipping despite low confidence. Some analysts saying...

Andrew Jackson

Japanese equities rise amid concerns over AI optimism fatigue, diverging central bank policies complicate yen outlook, Trump's drug tariffs impact...

Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...