HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Bio-heart Biological Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Bio-heart Biological Technology (2185 HK)

<ul>
<li>There are three main ways for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to enter global markets, but the results are completely different. Investors are advised to make cautious judgments based on different cases. </li>
<li>Speed is a crucial factor in the competition for drug development, but there’re precedents in history that late-comers are still able to turn things around, such as GLP-1/weight loss drugs.</li>
<li>We remain conservative about the future commercialization performance of Bio-Heart's BRS and Iberis 2nd. However, the product launch is a catalyst for share price, which provides a good short-term trade opportunity.</li>
</ul>


There are three main ways for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to enter global markets, but the results are completely different. Investors are advised to make cautious judgments based on different cases. 
Speed is a crucial factor in the competition for drug development, but there’re precedents in history that late-comers are still able to turn things around, such as GLP-1/weight loss drugs.
We remain conservative about the future commercialization performance of Bio-Heart's BRS and Iberis 2nd. However, the product launch is a catalyst for share price, which provides a good short-term trade opportunity.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.12) - Three Globalization Strategies, GLP-1/Weight Loss Drug, Bio-Heart

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a> shares broke into a new high after a leaked abstract showed Carvykti cuts risk of progression or death by 74% in earlier multiple myeloma therapy.</li>
<li>Success of Carvykti in earlier lines of MM therapy will lead to rapid intake of the drug and increase the drug’s peak sales opportunity to $5B.</li>
<li>During 2022, Carvykti generated ~$134M in net trade sales. With label and geography expansion of Carvykti, Legend Biotech shares still have further upside potential.  </li>
</ul>



Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) shares broke into a new high after a leaked abstract showed Carvykti cuts risk of progression or death by 74% in earlier multiple myeloma therapy.
Success of Carvykti in earlier lines of MM therapy will lead to rapid intake of the drug and increase the drug’s peak sales opportunity to $5B.
During 2022, Carvykti generated ~$134M in net trade sales. With label and geography expansion of Carvykti, Legend Biotech shares still have further upside potential.  


Legend Biotech (LEGN US): Shares Popped on Promising Clinical Data; Further Upside Potential Remains

Gracell Biotechnologies Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although the pipeline has characteristics, Gracell’s R&amp;D progress cannot catch up with the speed of the transformation of global CGT investment climate. Its commercialization performance could be much lower than expected. </li>
<li>There’s “practical obstacles” for the use of CAR-T, which cannot solve the actual clinical needs at this stage. Doctors would choose other solutions. So, the actual market space is small.</li>
<li>Investors can do short-term trade when Gracell’s valuation is lower than peers, but due to the highly uncertain long-term prospects of this company, we do not recommend long-term hold.</li>
</ul>


Although the pipeline has characteristics, Gracell’s R&amp;D progress cannot catch up with the speed of the transformation of global CGT investment climate. Its commercialization performance could be much lower than expected. 
There’s “practical obstacles” for the use of CAR-T, which cannot solve the actual clinical needs at this stage. Doctors would choose other solutions. So, the actual market space is small.
Investors can do short-term trade when Gracell’s valuation is lower than peers, but due to the highly uncertain long-term prospects of this company, we do not recommend long-term hold.


Gracell Biotechnologies Inc (GRCL.US) - The Overall Outlook for CAR T Therapy Is Highly Uncertain

<ul>
<li>Pharmaron’s disappointing 2022 performance is just a start.Its business layout has always been "one step behind". CGT cannot become the main cornerstone business supporting valuation growth for the next stage.</li>
<li>The overall environment of CXO is different from that of the past. Even if Pharmaron finally achieves end-to-end integration,whether the prosperity of CXO industry still exists is a question mark.</li>
<li>Pharmaron may have entered a vicious circle, so that it is very challenging to generate the expected results no matter which direction the Company tries to break through.  </li>
</ul>


Pharmaron’s disappointing 2022 performance is just a start.Its business layout has always been "one step behind". CGT cannot become the main cornerstone business supporting valuation growth for the next stage.
The overall environment of CXO is different from that of the past. Even if Pharmaron finally achieves end-to-end integration,whether the prosperity of CXO industry still exists is a question mark.
Pharmaron may have entered a vicious circle, so that it is very challenging to generate the expected results no matter which direction the Company tries to break through.  


Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) - Start to Enter a Vicious Circle

<ul>
<li>Genscript doesn’t equal to CGT CXO or cell therapy company,although these two businesses have attracted a lot of attention. It’s inappropriate to look at Genscript only from these two perspectives.</li>
<li>Genscript’s strength and core basic business is gene synthesis,which would remain promising growth. We’re also optimistic about Bestzyme. The chaos in CGT field won’t have a material impact on Genscript. </li>
<li>Investing a company/stock is essentially investing the people. Although Genscript has its core competence, our concern about this company lies in the management. Short-term trading is more appropriate for Genscript.</li>
</ul>


Genscript doesn’t equal to CGT CXO or cell therapy company,although these two businesses have attracted a lot of attention. It’s inappropriate to look at Genscript only from these two perspectives.
Genscript’s strength and core basic business is gene synthesis,which would remain promising growth. We’re also optimistic about Bestzyme. The chaos in CGT field won’t have a material impact on Genscript. 
Investing a company/stock is essentially investing the people. Although Genscript has its core competence, our concern about this company lies in the management. Short-term trading is more appropriate for Genscript.


Genscript Biotech (1548.HK) - Inadequate Cognition Will Lead to Bad Investment Decisions

China

Legend Biotech Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in discovery and development of novel cell therapies for oncology and other indications. Legend Biotech serves customers in the State of New Jersey.

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Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)

China Healthcare Weekly (May.12) - Three Globalization Strategies, GLP-1/Weight Loss Drug, Bio-Heart

There're three ways for companies to enter global markets, but the results are different.Late-comers can still turn things around, such as GLP-1...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech (LEGN US): Shares Popped on Promising Clinical Data; Further Upside Potential Remains

Legend Biotech shares broke into new highs after a leaked abstract showed its CAR-T therapy Carvykti cuts risk of progression or death by 74% in a...

Tina Banerjee

Gracell Biotechnologies Inc (GRCL.US) - The Overall Outlook for CAR T Therapy Is Highly Uncertain

When the market pays more attention to companies' growth certainty, the investment value of Gracell has been transferred from R&D progress to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) - Start to Enter a Vicious Circle

Due to slow layout in end-to-end integration/high uncertainty in CGT, Pharmaron has entered a vicious circle as CXO's fast-growing dividend period...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Genscript Biotech (1548.HK) - Inadequate Cognition Will Lead to Bad Investment Decisions

Genscript doesn’t equal to CGT CXO. Its core competitiveness is gene synthesis,which has larger potential than expected. However,there're concerns...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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