Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels, presenting attractive entry points. We see little reason to abandon our bullish outlooks for both markets... see page 2• Overweight Materials Sector. We highlight actionable names within the materials sector as global miners continue to emerge from base patterns, most of which still yield attractive entry points, including Vale (VALE) and Rio Tinto (RIO-GB)... see pages 3-5• Opportunities in China. This week we highlight attractive set-ups in China.  Highlighted charts range from Baidu (BIDU) and Bank of China (3988-HK) to Fosun (656-HK) and China Southern Airlines (1055-HK)... see pages 6-8

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels, presenting attractive entry points. We see little reason to abandon our bullish outlooks for both markets... see page 2• Overweight Materials Sector. We highlight actionable names within the materials sector as global miners continue to emerge from base patterns, most of which still yield attractive entry points, including Vale (VALE) and Rio Tinto (RIO-GB)... see pages 3-5• Opportunities in China. This week we highlight attractive set-ups in China.  Highlighted charts range from Baidu (BIDU) and Bank of China (3988-HK) to Fosun (656-HK) and China Southern Airlines (1055-HK)... see pages 6-8

EM Is Cementing Its Leadership Status; Buy Miners

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Equity Capital Markets

Sunic System Ltd. / Equity Capital Markets

The most important question for Sunic's IPO bookbuilding that is currently in progress is whether Sunic will receive more orders from LGD for the small-sized OLED panel production lines that will be housed in LGD's P10. Samsung Display won't do business with Sunic any time soon. In addition, those Chinese and Taiwanese display makers are still some years aways from turning to 6GH. Of course, mid capacity equipment is also an important element for Sunic's overall sales performance. But its success with this product segment also highly depends on its success in the large capacity equipment market since this allows Sunic to gain further trust even from mid capacity equipment buyers. So once again, the whole focus of this IPO bookbuilding is whether Sunic can get orders from LGD for P10 and if so how many.

The most important question for Sunic's IPO bookbuilding that is currently in progress is whether Sunic will receive more orders from LGD for the small-sized OLED panel production lines that will be housed in LGD's P10. Samsung Display won't do business with Sunic any time soon. In addition, those Chinese and Taiwanese display makers are still some years aways from turning to 6GH. Of course, mid capacity equipment is also an important element for Sunic's overall sales performance. But its success with this product segment also highly depends on its success in the large capacity equipment market since this allows Sunic to gain further trust even from mid capacity equipment buyers. So once again, the whole focus of this IPO bookbuilding is whether Sunic can get orders from LGD for P10 and if so how many.

Sunic System IPO Part 2 - Key Considerations for Bookbuilding

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/991" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> said in a regulatory filing that it will have EGM at 10 AM on Aug 29 to decide whether it will move to KOSPI.<div class="content-highlight">Below is the link of this regulatory filing in DART.<a href="http://dart.fss.or.kr/dsaf001/main.do?rcpNo=20170821900093" target="_blank">http://dart.fss.or.kr/dsaf001/main.do?rcpNo=20170821900093</a></div>Apparently, a majority of Celltrion shareholders will approve KOSPI move. So, it now seems that this is almost a done deal. Of course, KOSPI move itself won't make much difference in terms of short trade volume. But what is important is that there is a very high possibility that Celltrion will be included in KOSPI200.Yes, KOSPI200 inclusion is a big thing. So, any trading opportunity here? Alright, let's find it out.

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) said in a regulatory filing that it will have EGM at 10 AM on Aug 29 to decide whether it will move to KOSPI.Below is the link of this regulatory filing in DART.http://dart.fss.or.kr/dsaf001/main.do?rcpNo=20170821900093Apparently, a majority of Celltrion shareholders will approve KOSPI move. So, it now seems that this is almost a done deal. Of course, KOSPI move itself won't make much difference in terms of short trade volume. But what is important is that there is a very high possibility that Celltrion will be included in KOSPI200.Yes, KOSPI200 inclusion is a big thing. So, any trading opportunity here? Alright, let's find it out.

More Discussions on Impacts of Celltrion's KOSPI200 Inclusion

In the attached strategy document we expand upon themes and opportunities in materials, technology and financials as well as an overview of opportunities in EM, Europe, and Japan.Emerging Markets: Breaking out to all-time highs, EM is unfolding as global leadership. Take advantage of pullbacks.Europe: Two words: pullback opportunity. For the past three months, Europe peeled back from the global advance, as prices diverged from bullish headlines. We view this as a welcomed event. Long-term technicals do confirm the improving headlines, but timing matters. And the STOXX 600’s test of the 200-day MA represents a timely entry point.  Just note, Europe is not a relative leader. That status belongs to EM (above).Japan: Japan represents an overlooked opportunity. With EM leading, and Europe crowding headlines, Japan is steadily emerging from a two-year base pattern, setting the stage for another leg higher

In the attached strategy document we expand upon themes and opportunities in materials, technology and financials as well as an overview of opportunities in EM, Europe, and Japan.Emerging Markets: Breaking out to all-time highs, EM is unfolding as global leadership. Take advantage of pullbacks.Europe: Two words: pullback opportunity. For the past three months, Europe peeled back from the global advance, as prices diverged from bullish headlines. We view this as a welcomed event. Long-term technicals do confirm the improving headlines, but timing matters. And the STOXX 600’s test of the 200-day MA represents a timely entry point.  Just note, Europe is not a relative leader. That status belongs to EM (above).Japan: Japan represents an overlooked opportunity. With EM leading, and Europe crowding headlines, Japan is steadily emerging from a two-year base pattern, setting the stage for another leg higher

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight EM, Pullback Opportunities in Europe, Japan Poised to Breakout

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The stunning EM equity rally YTD led by Asia has been justified by improving earnings/macro momentum and underpinned by tumbling IG and HY spreads.EM credit growth has accelerated from 5-6% in late 2016 to about 8% now while global trade volume growth has surged from flat to about 5% y/y.There are signs of complacency - cumulative portfolio inflows exceed $190bn since December and the global fund overweight in EM currencies in July approached historical highs last seen in 2011.If we see a…

The stunning EM equity rally YTD led by Asia has been justified by improving earnings/macro momentum and underpinned by tumbling IG and HY spreads.EM credit growth has accelerated from 5-6% in late 2016 to about 8% now while global trade volume growth has surged from flat to about 5% y/y.There are signs of complacency - cumulative portfolio inflows exceed $190bn since December and the global fund overweight in EM currencies in July approached historical highs last seen in 2011.If we see a…

India Vulnerable to EM Reversal, Li-Ion Batteries Set to Dominate Grid Storage...

South Korea

LG Chem Ltd. is a chemical manufacturer. The Company's products include petrochemicals, plastic resins, and engineering plastics. LG Chem also produces industrial and electronic materials.

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LG Chem (051915 KS)

EM Is Cementing Its Leadership Status; Buy Miners

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels,presenting attractive entry points. We see...

Vermilion Research

Sunic System IPO Part 2 - Key Considerations for Bookbuilding

The most important question for Sunic's IPO bookbuilding that is currently in progress is whether Sunic will receive more orders from LGD for the...

Sanghyun Park

More Discussions on Impacts of Celltrion's KOSPI200 Inclusion

Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) said in a regulatory filing that it will have EGM at 10 AM on Aug 29 to decide whether it will move to KOSPI. Below is...

Sanghyun Park

Global Equity Strategy: Overweight EM, Pullback Opportunities in Europe, Japan Poised to Breakout

In the attached strategy document we expand upon themes and opportunities in materials, technology and financials as well as an overview of...

Vermilion Research

India Vulnerable to EM Reversal, Li-Ion Batteries Set to Dominate Grid Storage...

The stunning EM equity rally YTD led by Asia has been justified by improving earnings/macro momentum and underpinned by tumbling IG and HY...

Sean Maher

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