IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a>, the world's largest supplier of EV and ESS batteries, has filed for an H Share listing to raise US$5 billion.     </li>
<li>CATL’s global EV battery market share, measured in GWh, rose from 27.6% in 2019 to 36.8% in November 2024.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on a leading market position, forecasted return to growth, peer-leading profitability, cash generation, peer-leading FCF margin and an attractive valuation. </li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH), the world's largest supplier of EV and ESS batteries, has filed for an H Share listing to raise US$5 billion.     
CATL’s global EV battery market share, measured in GWh, rose from 27.6% in 2019 to 36.8% in November 2024.
The investment case rests on a leading market position, forecasted return to growth, peer-leading profitability, cash generation, peer-leading FCF margin and an attractive valuation. 


CATL H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that CATL is undervalued. Our base case valuation suggests implied market cap of 1.5 trillion CNY, which represents 33% higher than current levels. </li>
<li>Our valuation sensitivity analysis suggests a market cap valuation range of 1.2 trillion CNY to 1.8 trillion CNY. </li>
<li>We estimate CATL to generate revenue of 431.7 billion RMB (up 16.8% YoY) and net profit of 61.4 billion RMB (up 10.5% YoY) in 2025. </li>
</ul>


Our valuation analysis suggests that CATL is undervalued. Our base case valuation suggests implied market cap of 1.5 trillion CNY, which represents 33% higher than current levels. 
Our valuation sensitivity analysis suggests a market cap valuation range of 1.2 trillion CNY to 1.8 trillion CNY. 
We estimate CATL to generate revenue of 431.7 billion RMB (up 16.8% YoY) and net profit of 61.4 billion RMB (up 10.5% YoY) in 2025. 


<ul>
<li>Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong exchange. CATL is expected to raise at least US$5 billion.</li>
<li>CATL maintained its 36.8% share in the global EV battery market in 2023 and January to November 2024. CATL has excellent fundamentals and improving profit margins. </li>
<li>Major risk factors include additional tariffs by the US, recent addition to Pentagon's blacklist, declining sales in 2024, and lower government subsidies for EVs globally. </li>
</ul>


Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong exchange. CATL is expected to raise at least US$5 billion.
CATL maintained its 36.8% share in the global EV battery market in 2023 and January to November 2024. CATL has excellent fundamentals and improving profit margins. 
Major risk factors include additional tariffs by the US, recent addition to Pentagon's blacklist, declining sales in 2024, and lower government subsidies for EVs globally. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about updates from its most recent filings.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share listing.
CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about updates from its most recent filings.


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

CATL IPO (Hong Kong) Valuation Analysis

Our valuation analysis suggests that CATL is undervalued. Our base case valuation suggests implied market cap of 1.5 trillion CNY, which represents...

Douglas Kim

CATL IPO Listing in Hong Kong Preview

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong exchange. CATL is expected to raise at least US$5...

Douglas Kim

CATL A/H Listing - IPO Filing Updates

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share...

Sumeet Singh

Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

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CATL H Share Listing: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on a leading market position, forecasted return to growth, peer-leading profitability, cash generation, peer-leading FCF...

Arun George

CATL IPO (Hong Kong) Valuation Analysis

Our valuation analysis suggests that CATL is undervalued. Our base case valuation suggests implied market cap of 1.5 trillion CNY, which represents...

Douglas Kim

CATL IPO Listing in Hong Kong Preview

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong exchange. CATL is expected to raise at least US$5...

Douglas Kim

CATL A/H Listing - IPO Filing Updates

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share...

Sumeet Singh

Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh